MLB Baseball Betting Picks, Dodgers vs. Cubs Predictions

MLB Betting

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs Series MLB Betting Preview

By Mike Rose

Off a near sweep of the Cardinals in St. Louis, the Chicago Cubs return home to the “Friendly Confines” of Wrigley Field in search of a second straight series win. Up next on the docket will be the Los Angeles Dodgers outfit that took them out behind the woodshed and served up a good ‘ol fashioned beating when the teams last met in last year’s NLCS. LA has held the upper hand of the recent rivalry in winning eight of the last 10 meetings with all but two of those games combining for low scorers.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs
Dates: Monday, June 18 – Wednesday, June 20, 2018
Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL

Dave Roberts’ squad got out to a wretched start to their 2018 campaign, but since the calendar turned to the month of June, Los Angeles is playing like the team many envisioned at the outset of the season. In winning 11 of their 14 June games ( $655 ), the Dodgers enter this series to be held in Wrigleyville only 1.5 games in back of the front running Arizona Diamondbacks. That deficit was close to 10 only a short month ago!

Chicago had a shot to take over sole possession of the NL Central lead on Sunday night, but came up short in yet another shutout. Putting zero runs on the board is something Joe Maddon’s troops have done a bunch over the last week. Of their six played games against Milwaukee and St. Louis, they were shut out three times! That said, Anthony Rizzo and his mates combined for 26 runs in the other three.

Game 1 Probable Pitchers – Monday, June 18, 2018, 8:05 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Kenta Maeda vs. Tyler Chatwood

The book on Maeda has been easy to read this season. Back him in Chavez Ravine and fade him till the cows come home when toeing the visitor’s bump. Within Dodger Stadium, the righty checks in 2-3 with a 3.41 ERA. When on the road, his ERA jumps up to 3.86 and ground ball to fly ball ratio down to 1.62. Those numbers would be even worse if his last four road starts didn’t take place in Miami, San Diego, San Francisco and San Diego again. He owns a lifetime 4.44 ERA on the road and has never pitched at Wrigley Field in hot weather. Chicago’s sticks should eat Monday night.

Regardless of whether the Cubs offense gets going once again, they might need to hang a crooked number on the board just to come out on top with Chatwood on the bump. The righty has been a huge disappointment since being signed as a free agent this past offseason. He’s 3-5 against the MLB betting odds with a 4.12 ERA and .233 BAA. Not terrible. However, his numbers would be so much better if he could figure out a way not to issue free passes. Chatwood’s walked and struck out 58 batters through 63.1 innings – that’s an 8.2 BB/9 people! How the over has only cashed in seven of his 12 starts is beyond me.

Game 2 Probable Pitchers – Tuesday, June 19, 2018, 8:05 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Rich Hill vs. Mike Montgomery

Hill is set to come off the DL for this start, again. The veteran has been on and off the designated list all season. When healthy, he’s been nothing to write home about in going 1-2 with a 6.20 ERA and .303 BAA. In other words, he wasn’t missing bats evidenced by the 30 hits allowed through 24.2 innings. Though he registered better than a K per inning, he also issued 13 walks. The lefty last took to the starting bump back on May 19, and the last thing a rusty arm wants to see right out of the chute is an offense that leads the league in runs scored per game against southpaws ( 6.4 ).

Montgomery is making it known that he deserves a spot in the Cubs starting rotation. The spot starter/long man has been nothing short of a godsend for Maddon since Yu Darvish hit the DL. In his four starts made since, Montgomery has conceded a grand total of 13 hits and 3 ER with as K/BB ratio of 14:3 through 23.2 innings. He came one out away from throwing a quality start in each outing! He haw however had a rough go of it versus LA evidenced by his career 4.15 ERA and 1.62 WHIP.

Game 3 Probable Pitchers – Wednesday, June 20, 2018, 2:20 p.m. ET ( MLB Network )

Ross Stripling vs. Jon Lester

Like Montgomery for Chicago, Stripling has been the same type of saving grace for Los Angeles. The righty is 6-1 with a miniscule 1.76 ERA and opponents are only batting .224 against him. Since getting blown up in his first start after getting yanked from the pen due to Clayton Kershaw’s injury, Stripling has tallied quality starts in five of his eight made starts. He allowed two or less ER in each of them, and the Dodgers have come out on the right side of the scoreboard in each of his last six made starts.

Aces gonna ace! Lester has a down 2017 season. Some might say he was simply hungover and fatigued from the Cubs championship run the year prior. That’s not the case in 2018. The lefty has far and away been the best arm within Chicago’s rotation in going 8-2 with a 2.28 ERA and .207 BAA. Though 17-7 versus left-handers, Los Angeles has only plated an average of 4.0 runs per game against southpaws. He owns a 3.89 ERA and .220 BAA lifetime against the Dodgers, and the Cubs have won five of his six home starts. The finale of this series should play out to an excellent pitcher’s duel.Baseball Betting Picks

Baseball Betting Predictions, Indians vs. Astros Lines

MLB Odds

Indians at Astros Picks

By Mike Rose

The seventh week of the 2018 baseball betting season closes out with a gem when Carlos Carrasco and the Cleveland Indians square off against Lance McCullers Jr. and the Houston Astros on ESPN Sunday Night Baseball. This series has recently been dominated by the Tribe who’ve taken each of the last five meetings as well as seven of the last 10 heading into Friday’s series opener. The under holds a negligible advantage cashing at a 5-4-1 clip.

Cleveland Indians at Houston Astros
Date and Time: Sunday, May 20, 2018, 8 p.m. ET
Location: Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
MLB Odds: Check Back Later
Probable Pitchers: Carlos Carrasco vs. Lance McCullers Jr.
Indians at Astros TV Coverage: ESPN

Let’s face it folks, the AL Central stinks. It’s arguably the least competitive division in all of baseball with no team the owner of a +.500 record entering play on Thursday. That said, the Indians are the cream of the crop having split its first 42 games which has equated to an ugly $1100 deficit for baseball bettors.

Most bothersome is the team’s record away from Progressive Field where its managed only eight wins through 20 tries ( -$861 ). While the offense leads the league in home runs ( 64 ) and has amassed 28 quality starts ( No. 2 ), the bullpen ( No. 30 ) and defense ( #24 ) has left much to be desired. That in large part is why losing clubs like Minnesota and Detroit are hot on their trail for the division lead.

No other team has amasses more wins than the World Series favorite Houston Astros who stood 28-17 heading into Friday’s series opener. Unlike the Cubs last season, Jose Altuve and company haven’t experienced any sort of hangover after winning the franchise its first championship ever a short season ago.

While it sits 11 games over the breakeven point, it’s still cost those attacking the MLB betting lines $201 overall this season. That’s going to happen when you’re installed favorites by the oddsmakers in all but one of your 45 lined games. Though the squad has logged $581 in profit on the road, it’s cost those that backed them at home over $780 overall. Unsurprisingly, they’ll be installed chalk to win this matchup as well.

Player to Watch

Carlos Carrasco – The Tribe’s No. 2 hurler has thrived away from Progressive Field this season in pitching to a 3-1 record and 2.78 ERA. Though he’s 2-1 at home, his ERA is nearly 3.0 runs higher there. For some reason, he’s been more comfortable in hostile than accepting territory. On top of that, he’s excelled versus the Astros in his career pitching to a 3-1 record, 2.67 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. Houston is batting .218 against him lifetime. He’s made a pair of career starts at Minute Maid Park and won each by throwing shutout ball and only five hits through his 15.1 total innings of work. Each of his last four road starts have been of quality.
Baseball Betting Picks
Indians at Astros Picks

As much as I don’t want to get in front of the Houston Astros, they’ve been more susceptible to defeats at home. You seriously never know what you’re going to get whenever McCullers takes to the starting bump. He can give you seven shutout innings with 10 Ks, or he can depart before the fifth with an ugly stat line. His inconsistency has me leaning towards the Tribe in this spot with Carrasco leading the charge. He’s been unbeatable in this ball park, and been at his best on the road. Add Cleveland’s recent dominance of the rivalry into the equation, and there’s no way I can avoid backing the visitors at top-rated sportsbooks. Especially if receiving a plus-money return by linemakers!

MLB Pick: Bet the Indians at BookMaker.eu
MLB Score Prediction: Cleveland 6 – Houston 3

Indians vs Orioles Predictions, Baseball Betting Picks

Baseball Betting Picks

Indians at Orioles Picks

By Mike Rose

After earning a split with the AL Central leading Twins in Puerto Rico, the Cleveland Indians will look to gain some ground in Game 2 of their weekend set with the hapless Baltimore Orioles. The O’s have gotten out to a wretched start to their 2018 campaign managing just five wins through 19 overall tries. One has to wonder just how much hotter the seat can get under Buck Showalter before a change is in order.

Cleveland Indians at Baltimore Orioles
Date and Time: Saturday, April 21, 2018, 4:05 p.m. ET
Location: Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
MLB Odds: Check Back Later
Probable Pitchers: Mike Clevinger vs. Chris Tillman
Indians at Orioles TV Coverage: FS1

The Tribe’s offense continues to flounder. That was eerily apparent in their 2-1 sixteen inning loss to the Twins on Wednesday that prevented them from surpassing Minnesota in the standings. Though the club enters this series averaging 5.0 runs over its last five games, it gets chopped down to just 3.5 runs over their last 10. None of Francisco Lindor, Jose Ramirez or Edwin Encarnacion is currently batting their weight.

Thankfully, Terry Francona has gotten a huge boost from his pitching staff. If not, the Tribe would no doubt be hanging out at the bottom of the league standings instead of second place. The staff ranks No. 2 in the quality starts department with 10, while the bullpen checks in at No. 6 with a 2.79 ERA. MLB bettors are still waiting for it to all fall into place.

If things have been bad in Cleveland and the Indians still sit a couple games over the breakeven point, words simply can’t describe what’s going on in Baltimore right now. Save for Manny Machado and to an extent Try Mancini, the Orioles are getting next to nothing from the offense right now. It’s scored three runs or less in six of its last 10 games and ranks No. 27 overall with a .223 batting average.

Unlike today’s opponent, the Orioles are also getting next to nothing from their pitching staff. Dylan Bundy and Andrew Cashner have been reliable, but it’s been nothing short of ugly after that. Baltimore ranks No. 26 in staff ERA ( 5.11 ), No. 29 in WHIP ( 1.57 ) and below league average in strikeouts. Add to the mix a bullpen ERA of 4.72 ( No. 23 ), and it’s clearly apparent the team is struggling in most facets of the game.

Key Stat

13 –Unlucky No. 13 is the amount of errors Baltimore’s defense has committed through its first 19 games. No Bueno! Along with failing to hit for an above average batting average and having next to nothing to rely upon on the bump, the O’s are also making their pitcher’s jobs that much harder by booting balls in the field. This only adds insult to injury for a team that’s only won back-to-back games once this season, and sports an embarrassing 2-4 record ( -$224 ) in front of the hometown faithful.

Baseball Betting Picks

Indians at Orioles Picks

The Tribe made a mockery of this AL rivalry a short season ago in winning six of the seven overall meetings. With Chris Tillman getting the starting nod in this one, Cleveland is going to be in an excellent position to improve upon that gaudy record. The O’s veteran has been peppered relentlessly each of the last two seasons. He enters this tilt 0-3 with a bloated 11.91 ERA and allowed at least 4 ER in his three made starts. Mike Clevinger hasn’t excelled like his fantasy owners would’ve liked, but at least he’s been reliable in allowing just 5 ER over 19.2 innings of work. I don’t foresee it getting any better for the home team in this matchup. Cleveland is by far the better of the two ball clubs, and I thoroughly expect them to show that throughout this series on the MLB betting lines at top online sportsbooks.

MLB Pick: Bet the Indians at BookMaker.eu
MLB Score Prediction: Cleveland 8 – Baltimore 3

 

Red Sox vs. Yankees Betting Predictions, MLB Baseball Picks

MLB Betting: Red Sox at Yankees Odds

By Steven Wisner

MLB Betting Odds

If you’re not wagering with BookMaker Sportsbook then you’re just another square bettor. Shop for MLB lines where the pros do so register for your own betting account at BookMaker now! The ballgame pitting the Boston Red Sox versus the New York Yankees will commence Sunday, September 3, 2017, at 8:08 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium. The contest will be televised nationally on ESPN.

Save a postseason meeting, this will be the final contest between the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox. With the Yankees and Sox both leading the AL East at different points throughout the year, this rivalry has gotten better after a few years of indifference. In the first 15 meetings between the teams, the results were split 8-7 with a slight edge to the home team in this series.

You can bet on MLB odds at BookMaker.eu every day of the season.

ODDS ANALYSIS

Dating back 116 years, the Yankees/Red Sox rivalry is the fiercest in baseball and—arguably—all of sports.

In 2,208 career meetings, the Yankees hold the led over the Sox by 88 games. New York also holds the edge in World Series titles 27-8. That’s all great for historians, but baseball is all about what you have done lately and lately, this rivalry has leaned more to the Sox whose last win came in 2013 compared to 2009 for the Bombers.

Getting back to the series at hand, the Yankees have the slight lead in the season series and will host this best of four.

New York is 37-24 at home while the Sox are just a few games over-.500 on the road. Based on overall record, the Sox are the better team, but given the home/road splits, the edge favors the Yanks.

Despite that, the Sox are the team having the better month of August. They’re 17-8 in the month, creating some separation in the division while the Yankees are just .500.

PROBABLE PITCHERS

There is a premier pitching matchup lined up for this series finale. The Red Sox will look for another stellar performance from Chris Sale. Meanwhile, the Yankees figure to send their new ace—and All-Star hurler—Luis Severino to counter the Red Sox’s Cy Young favorite.

Sale was one of the best offseason acquisitions for any team and has been the Cy Young frontrunner in the AL basically the entire season. Recently, Corey Kluber has closed the gap, but that takes nothing away from Sale.

The Sox lefty has been everything Boston has wanted this year, especially against the Yankees. Sale has a 2.12 ERA in four start against New York. Despite that stellar ERA, he’s 0-2 against the Yanks due to terrible run support.

Overall, Sale is 15-6 this year and Boston is 19-8 with him on the mound. Sale is the king of the strikeout. He’s struck out a league leading 264 batters in 185.1 innings of work. That should come in handy against a Yankees team full of high strikeout guys, particularly Aaron Judge.

On the other side, much like Sale for the Sox, Severino has been the Yankees’ best pitcher.

New York’s young right-hander is 11-6 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.102 WHIP. He’s also striking out 10.6 per nine innings.

Severino is having a great season, but his 163.1 innings is already more than double the innings he tossed in the Majors last year so fatigue is an issue.

He’s regressed some lately. He allowed four runs—including giving up three homers—in his last start as the Indians handed him a loss.

Despite that, he’s still 6-2 in his last eight games, though included in that run is a terrible outing against the Red Sox.

The last time Severino faced Boston, he allowed a career high 10 runs—eight earned—on eight hits in just 4.1 innings pitched.

LIVE BETTING

Boston’s biggest issue all season has been the offense, specifically the lack of power.

Losing David Ortiz was a huge blow, but Mookie Betts, Hanley Ramirez and Dustin Pedroia are all still on this team. Betts has regressed. Ramirez has been incredibly streaky and Pedroia was injured, though he is returning this weekend. On top of that, Xander Bogearts and Jackie Bradley Jr. are ice cold right now.

Fortunately for Boston, the additions of Eduardo Nunez and Rafael Devers helped spark the offense.

On the mound, Boston has been throwing the ball well. The bullpen has been shaky at times leading to Craig Kimbrel, but Addison Reed has looked better his last few times out.

The Yankees bullpen, of course, has slumped, too. Given the names, the New York pen should be lock down, but Aroldis Chapman isn’t pitching like Aroldis Chapman. Dellin Betances, while good, does make you hold your breath from time-to-time.

Offensively, the Yankees’ offense has slowed. This was an offense that was lights out early on, but the slow second half by Judge has really took its toll on this team. While it looked as though everything was going right in the first half, we’ve seen players regress since the break.

QUICK PICK

Boston is the better team. The Yankees have a good, young core to build around, but we’re seeing them having their growing pains right now after the first half was all sunshine and rainbows.

Given the home/road splits for these two teams, the Yankees have a good chance at a series win—or at least a split—but the series finale should go to the Sox.

Chris Sale is a lights-out pitcher. He’ll throw a gem against New York and while Severino has pitched well this year, he’s not nearly as proven. He doesn’t have the track record and he’s well past any innings total he’s ever seen. Further, he bombed against Boston last time he faced them and that’s got to wear on your psyche after such a blowout.

Look for the Sox to hang a couple runs on Severino early and cruise to a close victory with Sale going deep and the duo of Reed and Kimbrel closing it out in the final two frames.

MLB Odds: Red Sox 4, Yankees 2

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MLB Predictions, Oakland Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels Picks

Oakland Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels Series Betting Preview

 

By Kyle Markus

Oakland Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels Betting

The Los Angeles Angels are coming off a sweeping of the Phillies earlier this week and will look to keep it rolling in a matchup with the Oakland Athletics. This is another series the Angels should win and they’ll need to take advantage of the week’s easy schedule. The Angels are currently in third place in the AL West, but sit just one game back from the Mariners.

The Oakland A’s are six games and two spots behind the Angels in the division and face a very different reality this year. The A’s traded star pitcher Sonny Gray to the Yankees this week, finishing off their multiple weeks of selling before the deadline.

This one should mean much more for the Angels and it’s good opportunity for Los Angeles to make up some ground in the wild card race.

Oakland Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels

Dates: Friday, August 4, 2017 – Sunday, August 6, 2017

Location: Angel Stadium, Anaheim, CA

The Angels are 9-8 since the All-Star break and will look to push beyond the .500 mark they’ve been hovering around all season in this series.  The team made one move this week before the deadline, trading reliever David Hernandez to the Diamondbacks for a young prospect on the mound. The playoffs might be a longshot but they are still in sight for Los Angeles and while this week’s victories over the Phillies were expected, the sweep and the dominating way that they won were a welcomed result.

The A’ split a four-game series with the Giants this week. The team fell 11-2 in Thursday’s contest and come into Friday’s game with a record of 48-61. Since the break, the A’s are 9-11.

This is the fourth series between the two squads this season. The Angels lead the A’s 6-4 so far in head-to-head matchups.

Game 1 Probable Pitchers – Friday, August 3, 2017, 10:07 p.m. ET (Local TV)

Troy Scribner (Angels) vs. Jharel Cotton (Athletics)

In Scribner’s major league debut against the Blue Jays on July 29th, the 26-year-old rebounded from a rocky start to get the win and retire the last seven batters he faced. He’ll look for that kind of performance this time again, sans the rocky start perhaps. Scribner was called up from Triple-A last week and was elevated to a starting role after Jesse Chavez was sent to the bullpen.

After showing promise during a brief callup last year, Cotton’s first full rookie season isn’t exactly going as planned. He struggled on the mound early then missed most of July due to blisters on his hands. He returned to the rotation last Sunday and allowed five runs on five hits with five walks in the A’s win over the Twins. He has talent but has yet to put it together.

Game 2 Probable Pitchers – Saturday, August 4, 2017, 9:07 p.m. ET (Local TV)

Tyler Skaggs (Angels) vs. Paul Blackburn (Athletics)

Skaggs will return to the mound Saturday against the A’s after missing three months with a strained oblique. The left-hander only had five starts before the injury sidelined him this season. He has an ERA of 3.99 right now but also has the potential to make the Angels rotation much stronger if he can get back to top form.

Since making his major league debut with the A’s in early July, Blackburn has been decent but has struggled a bit with consistency. In six starts he is 2-1 with a 3.05 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP. In his most recent start against the Giants on Monday, the 26-year-old allowed five runs on eight hits with one walk in 6.1 innings pitched.

Game 3 Probable Pitchers – Sunday, August 6, 2017, 3:37 p.m. ET (Local TV)

Ricky Nolasco (Angels) vs. Sean Manaea (Athletics)

The Angels need Nolasco to pitch well if they are going to make a push in the wild card race. Despite his 5-12 record, the 34-year-old has had bright moments. The team just needs them to be more frequent from here on out. Nolasco has an ERA of 4.90 currently and has recorded 101 strikeouts this season.

Manaea will be eager to move on from his last performance. He allowed six runs on nine hits in just three innings against the Giants on Tuesday. The 25-year-old has still has an ERA of 3.88 on the season, but it’s been a tough stretch for him. He’s allowed 13 runs on 26 hits, including four home runs, in his last three outings. He will certainly be looking to turn things around on Sunday.