Baseball Betting Picks, Braves vs. Nationals Predictions

Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Odds

Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Series Preview

By Mike Rose

Both the Atlanta Braves and Washington Nationals went into the All-Star break trailing the Philadelphia Phillies for NL East honors by a half game and 5.5 games respectively. The Nats figured to be the team to coast to the division pennant at the outset of the season. If they’re to live up to expectations, at the very least a series win over one of the teams ahead of them in the standings is a must! They got two of their aces going, so it’s hardly a shock to see them the decisive chalk to win this three-game set.

Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals
Dates:
Friday, July 20 – Sunday, July 22, 2018
Location:
Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.

For all intents and purposes, the Braves are ahead of schedule. Not many predicted Brian Snitker’s team to be a factor in the NL East this season, but alas, they’re right in the thick of it. At 10 games over the breakeven point heading into Friday night’s series opener, Atlanta checks in as the fourth most lucrative bet in all of baseball ( $1208 ). They’re 27-22 on the road which has amounted to a solid $1065 return on investment.

It’s quite a different story in our nation’s capital where the Nationals have largely disappointed through better than half of their regular season docket. Dave Martinez has some work to do in their next 66 games if Bryce Harper and company are to live up to expectations. Though currently in third place of the division, Washington checks in with the second shortest odds to win the division ( +194 ) behind the Phillies ( +149 ).

Game 1 Probable Pitchers – Friday, July 20, 2018, 7:05 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Anibal Sanchez vs. Stephen Strasburg

The veteran right-hander has found new life in the National League. After throwing nothing short of batting practice against AL bats his last three seasons in Detroit, Sanchez has rediscovered how to get opposing bats out. He’ll enter start No. 12 the owner of a 4-2 record and nifty 2.60 ERA. Opponents are only batting .204 against him to date, and he’s yet to allow an earned run in 10 innings thrown at the Nats this season.

Strasburg has proven to be a China doll year in and year out. This season has unfortunately once again been the case. Be that as it may, the righty is one of the best in the game when healthy and firing on all cylinders. This will be his first start in over a month since going on the DL due to shoulder inflammation. Before hitting the shelf, he went 6-6 with a 3.46 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. The Nationals only won two of his seven home starts, but he’s handled Atlanta’s offense with ease limiting Freddie Freeman and company to a .189 BAA and 3 ER over 14.2 innings.

Game 2 Probable Pitchers – Saturday, July 21, 2018, 7:05 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Sean Newcomb vs. Gio Gonzalez

Newcomb was arguably the Braves best starting pitcher through the month of June. Then July hit and the feces hit the fan. In his three made starts before the All-Star break, the lefty is 0-3 with a bloated 9.75 ERA and 2.00 WHIP. He failed to pitch through the sixth inning in each, and didn’t make it through the fourth twice. Though the Nationals have struggled against lefties, he’s had issues with them in going 1-1 with a 5.56 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. This will be his second career start in D.C. He got rocked for 4 ER through four innings in the first.

Though not as dominant as he was a season ago, Gio Gonzalez continues to be the steady anchor that holds down the Nationals starting rotation. No, he doesn’t have the wipeout stuff of Scherzer or Strasburg, but he’s an innings eater and gets the job done more times than not. Relegated to more or less a six inning pitcher, only 36.8 percent of his starts have been of quality. He’s been his best at home where he sports a 3-2 record and 3.09 ERA, and took a no decision versus Atlanta earlier this season after tossing seven innings of 3 ER ball.

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Game 3 Probable Pitchers – Sunday, July 22, 2018, 1:35 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Mike Foltynewicz vs. Max Scherzer

With a 2.66 ERA and a 10.6 K/9 average, Folty has been the Braves staff ace. Unfortunately, his 7-5 record doesn’t state as such, but that has more to do with the 4.4 runs per start he’s received from the offense. Still, he needs to work on his longevity evidenced by a 27.8 quality start percentage. The Braves stand 4-5 in his nine road starts where his ERA falls to 2.54 over 49.2 innings. None of his last six starts have been of quality, but he’s been hard on the Nats through three starts to date in allowing only 3 ER with a 22:5 K/BB ratio over 19.1 innings. He tossed a complete game shutout last time he opposed them back on June 1.

What else can you say about Mad max that hasn’t already been said. He’s without a doubt one of the best starting pitchers in the game, and that won’t change in Sunday’s finale when he toes the bump for the 21st time this season. He’ll be out to snag win No. 13 in this one against a Braves offense he’s limited to just right hits and 2 ER through 14 innings over a pair of starts. Lifetime against Atlanta, Scherzer stands 8-6 with a 3.61 ERA and .254 BAA over 17 starts. Washington’s won seven of his 10 made home starts where he’s only given up 20 ER through 70+ innings of work.

Baseball MLB Betting Odds, Nationals vs. Mets Predictions

Baseball MLB Betting Odds

MLB Betting Picks, Nationals vs. Mets Lines

By Mike Rose

Is there a more disappointing team in the National League than the Washington Nationals? This is a team that was predicted to have a cakewalk journey to the NL East pennant and partake in the playoffs a third straight season. As the regular season nears the All-Star break, that just hasn’t been the case. The team hasn’t been able to get in a groove all season. After dropping the opener in Pittsburgh, Dave Martinez’s squad will look to put their best foot forward in Thursday night’s opener against the New York Mets.

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets
Date and Time: Thursday, July 12, 2018, 7:10 p.m. ET
Location: Citi Field, Queens, NY
MLB Odds: Check Back Later
Probable Pitchers: Max Scherzer vs. Steven Matz
Nationals vs. Mets TV Coverage: Local TV

After taking three of four at home against the wretched Miami Marlins, MLB bettors figured the Nats would hit the road for the ‘Burgh intending on closing the final week of the first week of the season on a high. Not so fast my friend! As small road chalk, Washington only managed top score three runs even though it outhit the Buccos 10-8 to fall by a 6-3 final count.

The defeat dropped Bryce Harper and his mates to a 23-21 on the road where they’ve lost $65 for the season. They have two games remaining at PNC park to pull even, so it’s possible they invade Queens a .500 road team with Hellickson coming of the DL Tuesday and Gio Gonzalez throwing in Thursday’s finale. The Nats have won seven of their last 10 visits to Citi Field.

The New York Mets are nothing more than a dark comedy these days. A complete overhaul of the coaching staff has done nothing to change the direction of this defunct franchise. The injury bug has remained camped outside the ball park with a number of major contributors unable to make an impact this season.

Included in the list of the walking wounded are Noah Syndergaard – big surprise – Yoenis Cespedes – shocking – Todd Frazier, Jay Bruce, Juan Lagares and Travis d’Arnaud. This has forced Mickey Callaway to put together a skeleton crew lineup each and every day the team takes to the playing field. In doing so, the Mets offense unsurprisingly ranks amongst the worst in the league in a number of pertinent statistical categories. After splitting a doubleheader with the Phillies on Monday, New York sits 13 games under .500 as a host ( -$1612 ).

Key Player

Max Scherzer – Mas Max leads the Nats’ pitching staff in ERA ( 2.33 ), wins ( 11 ) and WHIP ( 0.89 ). You’d think Washington would be golden every time he takes to the starting bump, but that hasn’t been the case. Especially recently with the Nationals only coming out on top in two of his last six starts. With nearly 85 percent of his starts being of quality, he’s going to be installed a heavy chalk to lead the visitors to a road win in this spot. Though he hasn’t thrown at the Mets this season, he went 3-1 with a 3.21 ERA and .210 BAA over four starts last season. Lifetime at Citi Field, the righty stands 6-2 with a 1.76 ERA and miniscule 0.78 WHIP. He’s going to have some fun in this one!
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Nationals vs. Mets Picks

At one point in time, Steven Matz was considered to be an up and coming future star of the league. That was before he was forced to go under the knife. Since then, the lefty just hasn’t been able to return to his dominant self. While he enters start No. 18 4-6 with a 3.31 ERA and 1.23 WHIP, he’s only registered 81 Ks through his near 90 innings of work. He’s been at his worst at home where his ERA jumps up to 4.17, and served up 11 of his 13 home runs in that ball park. That said, Washington checks in just 9-18 versus southpaws of whom they’ve averaged less than 4.0 runs per game against. Matz has logged nine innings against the Nats this season and only surrendered 3 ER in a pair of no decisions. New York just might be worth taking a stab on the MLB betting odds at a big dog price, but I’ll got the safer route and look for Scherzer and Matz to shine in a pitcher’s duel.

MLB Pick: Bet the Under at BookMaker.eu

MLB Score Prediction: New York 3 – Washington 2

MLB Baseball Betting Picks, Dodgers vs. Cubs Predictions

MLB Betting

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs Series MLB Betting Preview

By Mike Rose

Off a near sweep of the Cardinals in St. Louis, the Chicago Cubs return home to the “Friendly Confines” of Wrigley Field in search of a second straight series win. Up next on the docket will be the Los Angeles Dodgers outfit that took them out behind the woodshed and served up a good ‘ol fashioned beating when the teams last met in last year’s NLCS. LA has held the upper hand of the recent rivalry in winning eight of the last 10 meetings with all but two of those games combining for low scorers.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs
Dates: Monday, June 18 – Wednesday, June 20, 2018
Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL

Dave Roberts’ squad got out to a wretched start to their 2018 campaign, but since the calendar turned to the month of June, Los Angeles is playing like the team many envisioned at the outset of the season. In winning 11 of their 14 June games ( $655 ), the Dodgers enter this series to be held in Wrigleyville only 1.5 games in back of the front running Arizona Diamondbacks. That deficit was close to 10 only a short month ago!

Chicago had a shot to take over sole possession of the NL Central lead on Sunday night, but came up short in yet another shutout. Putting zero runs on the board is something Joe Maddon’s troops have done a bunch over the last week. Of their six played games against Milwaukee and St. Louis, they were shut out three times! That said, Anthony Rizzo and his mates combined for 26 runs in the other three.

Game 1 Probable Pitchers – Monday, June 18, 2018, 8:05 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Kenta Maeda vs. Tyler Chatwood

The book on Maeda has been easy to read this season. Back him in Chavez Ravine and fade him till the cows come home when toeing the visitor’s bump. Within Dodger Stadium, the righty checks in 2-3 with a 3.41 ERA. When on the road, his ERA jumps up to 3.86 and ground ball to fly ball ratio down to 1.62. Those numbers would be even worse if his last four road starts didn’t take place in Miami, San Diego, San Francisco and San Diego again. He owns a lifetime 4.44 ERA on the road and has never pitched at Wrigley Field in hot weather. Chicago’s sticks should eat Monday night.

Regardless of whether the Cubs offense gets going once again, they might need to hang a crooked number on the board just to come out on top with Chatwood on the bump. The righty has been a huge disappointment since being signed as a free agent this past offseason. He’s 3-5 against the MLB betting odds with a 4.12 ERA and .233 BAA. Not terrible. However, his numbers would be so much better if he could figure out a way not to issue free passes. Chatwood’s walked and struck out 58 batters through 63.1 innings – that’s an 8.2 BB/9 people! How the over has only cashed in seven of his 12 starts is beyond me.

Game 2 Probable Pitchers – Tuesday, June 19, 2018, 8:05 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Rich Hill vs. Mike Montgomery

Hill is set to come off the DL for this start, again. The veteran has been on and off the designated list all season. When healthy, he’s been nothing to write home about in going 1-2 with a 6.20 ERA and .303 BAA. In other words, he wasn’t missing bats evidenced by the 30 hits allowed through 24.2 innings. Though he registered better than a K per inning, he also issued 13 walks. The lefty last took to the starting bump back on May 19, and the last thing a rusty arm wants to see right out of the chute is an offense that leads the league in runs scored per game against southpaws ( 6.4 ).

Montgomery is making it known that he deserves a spot in the Cubs starting rotation. The spot starter/long man has been nothing short of a godsend for Maddon since Yu Darvish hit the DL. In his four starts made since, Montgomery has conceded a grand total of 13 hits and 3 ER with as K/BB ratio of 14:3 through 23.2 innings. He came one out away from throwing a quality start in each outing! He haw however had a rough go of it versus LA evidenced by his career 4.15 ERA and 1.62 WHIP.

Game 3 Probable Pitchers – Wednesday, June 20, 2018, 2:20 p.m. ET ( MLB Network )

Ross Stripling vs. Jon Lester

Like Montgomery for Chicago, Stripling has been the same type of saving grace for Los Angeles. The righty is 6-1 with a miniscule 1.76 ERA and opponents are only batting .224 against him. Since getting blown up in his first start after getting yanked from the pen due to Clayton Kershaw’s injury, Stripling has tallied quality starts in five of his eight made starts. He allowed two or less ER in each of them, and the Dodgers have come out on the right side of the scoreboard in each of his last six made starts.

Aces gonna ace! Lester has a down 2017 season. Some might say he was simply hungover and fatigued from the Cubs championship run the year prior. That’s not the case in 2018. The lefty has far and away been the best arm within Chicago’s rotation in going 8-2 with a 2.28 ERA and .207 BAA. Though 17-7 versus left-handers, Los Angeles has only plated an average of 4.0 runs per game against southpaws. He owns a 3.89 ERA and .220 BAA lifetime against the Dodgers, and the Cubs have won five of his six home starts. The finale of this series should play out to an excellent pitcher’s duel.Baseball Betting Picks

MLB Baseball Picks, Diamondbacks vs Giants Predictions

MLB Baseball Picks

Diamondbacks at Giants Picks

By Mike Rose

For all intents and purposes, the NL West has been very mediocre since the season kicked off in April. With the Los Angeles Dodgers yet to hit their stride, it’s allowed all but the San Diego Padres to remain in the pennant race. With that, the finale of the three game set between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Francisco Giants becomes all the more important. End of the line hurlers are set to match wits in this one with Clay Buchholz throwing against Chris Stratton.

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants
Date and Time: Wednesday, June 6, 2018, 3:45 p.m. ET
Location: ATT Park, San Francisco, CA
MLB Odds: Check Back Later
Probable Pitchers: Clay Buchholz vs. Chris Stratton
Diamondbacks at Giants TV Coverage: Facebook

Entering Monday night’s series opener, the Snakes had logged back-to-back series wins after taking two of three from the Cincinnati Reds and following it up with a clean sweep of the Miami Marlins. The 5-1 homestand propelled them to a 1.5 game lead atop the NL West standings over the Colorado Rockies. While the desert has treated Paul Goldschmidt and company kindly, that hasn’t been the case on the road.

As visitors, Torey Lovullo’s squad sits two games under .500 to cost MLB bettors $49 overall. Their recent body of work in the visitor’s role can best be described as ugly with the club losing eight of nine games to the Mets, Brewers and A’s. You have to go back all the way to the end of April to find the last time Arizona won a series on the road.

Don’t look now, but Bruce Bochy has the Giants playing some exceptional baseball. Off a solid three game home sweep of the Phillies, they entered Monday night’s series opener with the D’backs winners of four straight to saw off some of the baseball betting deficit the teams incurred to date. As it stands, San Francisco sat a game under .500 overall which has amounted to a $346 return on investment.

A bulk of that profit has been logged at home where Buster Posey and his mates sit seven games over the breakeven point ( $621 ). The Giants haven’t dropped as series in front of the hometown faithful since the middle of April when this same Arizona squad went into ATT and took two of three. Since then, they’ve either won or split series against the Nats, Dodgers, Padres, Reds, Rockies and Phillies.

Division Rivalry

Dating back to April 11 of last season, this series has been extremely one-sided. Arizona has dominated their rivals to the tune of 13 wins over the last 20 meetings. In 2018, the Diamondbacks hold a 4-2 advantage after taking two of three at ATT Park and following it up with another series win back at Chase Field. The under cashed in four of those six contests. The rivalry has been a bit closer by the bay where the teams have split the last 10 overall matchups. Total bettors also saw those tilts split with the over and under each cashing in five times.

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Diamondbacks at Giants Picks

With Madison Bumgarner, Johnny Cueto and Jeff Samardzija all on the DL, Chris Stratton has taken over as the team’s staff ace. Though he enters start No. 13 with a 7-3 overall record, he’s been extremely lucky evidenced by a 4.50 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. Shockingly, he’s been able to amass a 4-1 record through six home starts even though he’s been ripped to the tune of a .307 BAA and 5.28 ERA. That said, he shined in an earlier season start against the Giants back on April 18 when he hurled seven innings of 1 ER ball to go along with a season-best 8 Ks!

I don’t foresee lightning striking twice in this matchup. Clay Buchholz has given up 1 ER in each of his three made starts as a member of the Diamondbacks. Granted, two of those outings came against the injury-riddled Mets and Marlins, but a majority of San Fran’s current roster has never seen his stuff before. That bodes extremely well for him in start No. 4! Should Arizona be installed slight underdogs at top-rated sportsbooks, I wouldn’t hesitate to back the Snakes considering they’ve dominated the recent rivalry.

MLB Pick: Bet the Diamondbacks at BookMaker.eu
MLB Score Prediction: Arizona 8 – San Francisco 4

Red Sox vs. Yankees Betting Predictions, MLB Baseball Picks

MLB Betting: Red Sox at Yankees Odds

By Steven Wisner

MLB Betting Odds

If you’re not wagering with BookMaker Sportsbook then you’re just another square bettor. Shop for MLB lines where the pros do so register for your own betting account at BookMaker now! The ballgame pitting the Boston Red Sox versus the New York Yankees will commence Sunday, September 3, 2017, at 8:08 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium. The contest will be televised nationally on ESPN.

Save a postseason meeting, this will be the final contest between the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox. With the Yankees and Sox both leading the AL East at different points throughout the year, this rivalry has gotten better after a few years of indifference. In the first 15 meetings between the teams, the results were split 8-7 with a slight edge to the home team in this series.

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ODDS ANALYSIS

Dating back 116 years, the Yankees/Red Sox rivalry is the fiercest in baseball and—arguably—all of sports.

In 2,208 career meetings, the Yankees hold the led over the Sox by 88 games. New York also holds the edge in World Series titles 27-8. That’s all great for historians, but baseball is all about what you have done lately and lately, this rivalry has leaned more to the Sox whose last win came in 2013 compared to 2009 for the Bombers.

Getting back to the series at hand, the Yankees have the slight lead in the season series and will host this best of four.

New York is 37-24 at home while the Sox are just a few games over-.500 on the road. Based on overall record, the Sox are the better team, but given the home/road splits, the edge favors the Yanks.

Despite that, the Sox are the team having the better month of August. They’re 17-8 in the month, creating some separation in the division while the Yankees are just .500.

PROBABLE PITCHERS

There is a premier pitching matchup lined up for this series finale. The Red Sox will look for another stellar performance from Chris Sale. Meanwhile, the Yankees figure to send their new ace—and All-Star hurler—Luis Severino to counter the Red Sox’s Cy Young favorite.

Sale was one of the best offseason acquisitions for any team and has been the Cy Young frontrunner in the AL basically the entire season. Recently, Corey Kluber has closed the gap, but that takes nothing away from Sale.

The Sox lefty has been everything Boston has wanted this year, especially against the Yankees. Sale has a 2.12 ERA in four start against New York. Despite that stellar ERA, he’s 0-2 against the Yanks due to terrible run support.

Overall, Sale is 15-6 this year and Boston is 19-8 with him on the mound. Sale is the king of the strikeout. He’s struck out a league leading 264 batters in 185.1 innings of work. That should come in handy against a Yankees team full of high strikeout guys, particularly Aaron Judge.

On the other side, much like Sale for the Sox, Severino has been the Yankees’ best pitcher.

New York’s young right-hander is 11-6 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.102 WHIP. He’s also striking out 10.6 per nine innings.

Severino is having a great season, but his 163.1 innings is already more than double the innings he tossed in the Majors last year so fatigue is an issue.

He’s regressed some lately. He allowed four runs—including giving up three homers—in his last start as the Indians handed him a loss.

Despite that, he’s still 6-2 in his last eight games, though included in that run is a terrible outing against the Red Sox.

The last time Severino faced Boston, he allowed a career high 10 runs—eight earned—on eight hits in just 4.1 innings pitched.

LIVE BETTING

Boston’s biggest issue all season has been the offense, specifically the lack of power.

Losing David Ortiz was a huge blow, but Mookie Betts, Hanley Ramirez and Dustin Pedroia are all still on this team. Betts has regressed. Ramirez has been incredibly streaky and Pedroia was injured, though he is returning this weekend. On top of that, Xander Bogearts and Jackie Bradley Jr. are ice cold right now.

Fortunately for Boston, the additions of Eduardo Nunez and Rafael Devers helped spark the offense.

On the mound, Boston has been throwing the ball well. The bullpen has been shaky at times leading to Craig Kimbrel, but Addison Reed has looked better his last few times out.

The Yankees bullpen, of course, has slumped, too. Given the names, the New York pen should be lock down, but Aroldis Chapman isn’t pitching like Aroldis Chapman. Dellin Betances, while good, does make you hold your breath from time-to-time.

Offensively, the Yankees’ offense has slowed. This was an offense that was lights out early on, but the slow second half by Judge has really took its toll on this team. While it looked as though everything was going right in the first half, we’ve seen players regress since the break.

QUICK PICK

Boston is the better team. The Yankees have a good, young core to build around, but we’re seeing them having their growing pains right now after the first half was all sunshine and rainbows.

Given the home/road splits for these two teams, the Yankees have a good chance at a series win—or at least a split—but the series finale should go to the Sox.

Chris Sale is a lights-out pitcher. He’ll throw a gem against New York and while Severino has pitched well this year, he’s not nearly as proven. He doesn’t have the track record and he’s well past any innings total he’s ever seen. Further, he bombed against Boston last time he faced them and that’s got to wear on your psyche after such a blowout.

Look for the Sox to hang a couple runs on Severino early and cruise to a close victory with Sale going deep and the duo of Reed and Kimbrel closing it out in the final two frames.

MLB Odds: Red Sox 4, Yankees 2

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