Baseball Betting Picks, Braves vs. Nationals Predictions

Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Odds

Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Series Preview

By Mike Rose

Both the Atlanta Braves and Washington Nationals went into the All-Star break trailing the Philadelphia Phillies for NL East honors by a half game and 5.5 games respectively. The Nats figured to be the team to coast to the division pennant at the outset of the season. If they’re to live up to expectations, at the very least a series win over one of the teams ahead of them in the standings is a must! They got two of their aces going, so it’s hardly a shock to see them the decisive chalk to win this three-game set.

Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals
Dates:
Friday, July 20 – Sunday, July 22, 2018
Location:
Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.

For all intents and purposes, the Braves are ahead of schedule. Not many predicted Brian Snitker’s team to be a factor in the NL East this season, but alas, they’re right in the thick of it. At 10 games over the breakeven point heading into Friday night’s series opener, Atlanta checks in as the fourth most lucrative bet in all of baseball ( $1208 ). They’re 27-22 on the road which has amounted to a solid $1065 return on investment.

It’s quite a different story in our nation’s capital where the Nationals have largely disappointed through better than half of their regular season docket. Dave Martinez has some work to do in their next 66 games if Bryce Harper and company are to live up to expectations. Though currently in third place of the division, Washington checks in with the second shortest odds to win the division ( +194 ) behind the Phillies ( +149 ).

Game 1 Probable Pitchers – Friday, July 20, 2018, 7:05 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Anibal Sanchez vs. Stephen Strasburg

The veteran right-hander has found new life in the National League. After throwing nothing short of batting practice against AL bats his last three seasons in Detroit, Sanchez has rediscovered how to get opposing bats out. He’ll enter start No. 12 the owner of a 4-2 record and nifty 2.60 ERA. Opponents are only batting .204 against him to date, and he’s yet to allow an earned run in 10 innings thrown at the Nats this season.

Strasburg has proven to be a China doll year in and year out. This season has unfortunately once again been the case. Be that as it may, the righty is one of the best in the game when healthy and firing on all cylinders. This will be his first start in over a month since going on the DL due to shoulder inflammation. Before hitting the shelf, he went 6-6 with a 3.46 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. The Nationals only won two of his seven home starts, but he’s handled Atlanta’s offense with ease limiting Freddie Freeman and company to a .189 BAA and 3 ER over 14.2 innings.

Game 2 Probable Pitchers – Saturday, July 21, 2018, 7:05 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Sean Newcomb vs. Gio Gonzalez

Newcomb was arguably the Braves best starting pitcher through the month of June. Then July hit and the feces hit the fan. In his three made starts before the All-Star break, the lefty is 0-3 with a bloated 9.75 ERA and 2.00 WHIP. He failed to pitch through the sixth inning in each, and didn’t make it through the fourth twice. Though the Nationals have struggled against lefties, he’s had issues with them in going 1-1 with a 5.56 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. This will be his second career start in D.C. He got rocked for 4 ER through four innings in the first.

Though not as dominant as he was a season ago, Gio Gonzalez continues to be the steady anchor that holds down the Nationals starting rotation. No, he doesn’t have the wipeout stuff of Scherzer or Strasburg, but he’s an innings eater and gets the job done more times than not. Relegated to more or less a six inning pitcher, only 36.8 percent of his starts have been of quality. He’s been his best at home where he sports a 3-2 record and 3.09 ERA, and took a no decision versus Atlanta earlier this season after tossing seven innings of 3 ER ball.

Baseball Betting Picks

Game 3 Probable Pitchers – Sunday, July 22, 2018, 1:35 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Mike Foltynewicz vs. Max Scherzer

With a 2.66 ERA and a 10.6 K/9 average, Folty has been the Braves staff ace. Unfortunately, his 7-5 record doesn’t state as such, but that has more to do with the 4.4 runs per start he’s received from the offense. Still, he needs to work on his longevity evidenced by a 27.8 quality start percentage. The Braves stand 4-5 in his nine road starts where his ERA falls to 2.54 over 49.2 innings. None of his last six starts have been of quality, but he’s been hard on the Nats through three starts to date in allowing only 3 ER with a 22:5 K/BB ratio over 19.1 innings. He tossed a complete game shutout last time he opposed them back on June 1.

What else can you say about Mad max that hasn’t already been said. He’s without a doubt one of the best starting pitchers in the game, and that won’t change in Sunday’s finale when he toes the bump for the 21st time this season. He’ll be out to snag win No. 13 in this one against a Braves offense he’s limited to just right hits and 2 ER through 14 innings over a pair of starts. Lifetime against Atlanta, Scherzer stands 8-6 with a 3.61 ERA and .254 BAA over 17 starts. Washington’s won seven of his 10 made home starts where he’s only given up 20 ER through 70+ innings of work.

MLB Baseball Picks, Diamondbacks vs Giants Predictions

MLB Baseball Picks

Diamondbacks at Giants Picks

By Mike Rose

For all intents and purposes, the NL West has been very mediocre since the season kicked off in April. With the Los Angeles Dodgers yet to hit their stride, it’s allowed all but the San Diego Padres to remain in the pennant race. With that, the finale of the three game set between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Francisco Giants becomes all the more important. End of the line hurlers are set to match wits in this one with Clay Buchholz throwing against Chris Stratton.

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants
Date and Time: Wednesday, June 6, 2018, 3:45 p.m. ET
Location: ATT Park, San Francisco, CA
MLB Odds: Check Back Later
Probable Pitchers: Clay Buchholz vs. Chris Stratton
Diamondbacks at Giants TV Coverage: Facebook

Entering Monday night’s series opener, the Snakes had logged back-to-back series wins after taking two of three from the Cincinnati Reds and following it up with a clean sweep of the Miami Marlins. The 5-1 homestand propelled them to a 1.5 game lead atop the NL West standings over the Colorado Rockies. While the desert has treated Paul Goldschmidt and company kindly, that hasn’t been the case on the road.

As visitors, Torey Lovullo’s squad sits two games under .500 to cost MLB bettors $49 overall. Their recent body of work in the visitor’s role can best be described as ugly with the club losing eight of nine games to the Mets, Brewers and A’s. You have to go back all the way to the end of April to find the last time Arizona won a series on the road.

Don’t look now, but Bruce Bochy has the Giants playing some exceptional baseball. Off a solid three game home sweep of the Phillies, they entered Monday night’s series opener with the D’backs winners of four straight to saw off some of the baseball betting deficit the teams incurred to date. As it stands, San Francisco sat a game under .500 overall which has amounted to a $346 return on investment.

A bulk of that profit has been logged at home where Buster Posey and his mates sit seven games over the breakeven point ( $621 ). The Giants haven’t dropped as series in front of the hometown faithful since the middle of April when this same Arizona squad went into ATT and took two of three. Since then, they’ve either won or split series against the Nats, Dodgers, Padres, Reds, Rockies and Phillies.

Division Rivalry

Dating back to April 11 of last season, this series has been extremely one-sided. Arizona has dominated their rivals to the tune of 13 wins over the last 20 meetings. In 2018, the Diamondbacks hold a 4-2 advantage after taking two of three at ATT Park and following it up with another series win back at Chase Field. The under cashed in four of those six contests. The rivalry has been a bit closer by the bay where the teams have split the last 10 overall matchups. Total bettors also saw those tilts split with the over and under each cashing in five times.

Baseball Betting Picks

Diamondbacks at Giants Picks

With Madison Bumgarner, Johnny Cueto and Jeff Samardzija all on the DL, Chris Stratton has taken over as the team’s staff ace. Though he enters start No. 13 with a 7-3 overall record, he’s been extremely lucky evidenced by a 4.50 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. Shockingly, he’s been able to amass a 4-1 record through six home starts even though he’s been ripped to the tune of a .307 BAA and 5.28 ERA. That said, he shined in an earlier season start against the Giants back on April 18 when he hurled seven innings of 1 ER ball to go along with a season-best 8 Ks!

I don’t foresee lightning striking twice in this matchup. Clay Buchholz has given up 1 ER in each of his three made starts as a member of the Diamondbacks. Granted, two of those outings came against the injury-riddled Mets and Marlins, but a majority of San Fran’s current roster has never seen his stuff before. That bodes extremely well for him in start No. 4! Should Arizona be installed slight underdogs at top-rated sportsbooks, I wouldn’t hesitate to back the Snakes considering they’ve dominated the recent rivalry.

MLB Pick: Bet the Diamondbacks at BookMaker.eu
MLB Score Prediction: Arizona 8 – San Francisco 4

Baseball Betting Predictions, Astros vs Indians Lines

MLB Baseball Odds

Astros at Indians Picks

By Mike Rose

A possible ALCS showdown is set to go down on FOX Saturday night when the American League behemoth Houston Astros and Cleveland Indians lock horns in the third game of their extended weekend series. A doozy of a pitching rematch is set to go down with Lance McCullers Jr. set to square off against Carlos Carrasco. The righties went at one another last Sunday night in a game the Astros pulled out by a 3-1 final count. Runs could be tough to come by in this one as well.

Houston Astros at Cleveland Indians
Date and Time: Saturday, April 26, 2018, 7:15 p.m. ET
Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
MLB Odds: Check Back Later
Probable Pitchers: Lance McCullers Jr. vs. Carlos Carrasco
Astros at Indians TV Coverage: FOX

The Astros are one of four teams in all of baseball to have amassed 30+ wins at this point of the season. A.J. Hinch and his staff have done a tremendous job keeping their club level headed so as to not suffer a World Series hangover like many other clubs did before them. Especially with the pennant the first in franchise history.

Houston entered Thursday’s series opener winners of five straight series since dropping two of three to the them smoking hot Arizona Diamondbacks at the beginning of May. The club has gotten to this point by way of owning the best pitching staff in the game that’s backed by an offense that ranks top 10 in runs scored per game ( 4.7 ), batting average ( .256 ) and OPS ( .740 ). Even with the team favored heavily in just about every game, it’s still managed to produce $91 in baseball betting profit!

This season has been a struggle for the Tribe. Terry Francona’s squad did however just secure its first series win in three tries by going into Wrigley Field and taking two straight from the feast or famine Cubs. Maybe the feel good wins will propel this team into playing like the team many envisioned at the outset of the season. Regardless, Cleveland only sits a single game over .500 for the season which has seen them cost baseball bettors nearly $1K of their bankrolls.

The issue has been an offense that doesn’t hit for average ( .247 ) and a defense that’s committed a whopping 29 errors ( No. 18 ). On top of that, the bullpen has been a disgrace with it collectively pitching to an ugly 5.65 ERA. However, Andrew Miller looks to be healthy now and he just came up with his biggest hold to date keeping Chicago scoreless in the 8th inning even though they had runners on first and third with no outs. Him pulling through there could get their beleaguered unit back on track.

Pitching Matchup

Lance McCullers Jr. –McCullers was lights out against the Tribe last time out in Houston. He limited Edwin Encarnacion and company to just one hit and no earned runs through seven innings to log his team-leading sixth win of the season. He also registered 8 Ks! Though Houston has won four of his six road starts, his ERA jumps up to 4.36 as opposed to a nifty 1.73 when at home. He’s 1-1 with a 3.75 ERA and .045 BAA lifetime against Cleveland, but got lit up in his only career start at Progressive Field.

Carlos Carrasco –Carrasco was the tough-luck loser in last Sunday night’s matchup with the Astros. Cleveland’s No. 2 arm tossed 7.2 innings of 3 ER ball to log a third straight quality start. He also tallied 6 Ks and enters start No. 11 with a 63:14 K/BB ratio. Cleveland has split his four home starts where he’s thrown to an unsightly 5.01 ERA and .250 BAA. That said, he’s 3-2 with a 2.83 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and .285 BAA in six career starts against the Astros.
Baseball Betting Picks
Astros at Indians Picks

You can have your NBA and NHL Playoffs. I simply can’t wait to take this installment of ESPN Sunday Night Baseball in after getting a taste of this exact pitching matchup only a short week ago. We were all over the home team last Sunday, and that will once again be the case in this revenge bout. Carrasco’s home/away splits are a bit disturbing, but so too are McCullers. I honestly foresee the Tribe blowing him up this time around, and because of it, I’ll be laying the price with Cleveland the baseball betting lines at the top-5 online sportsbooks on both the moneyline and run-line. Look for Carrasco to go deep and get plenty of run support to allow Miller and Cody Reed to seal the deal.

MLB Pick: Bet the Indians at BookMaker.eu
MLB Score Prediction: Cleveland 9 – Houston 2