Red Sox vs. Yankees Betting Predictions, MLB Baseball Picks

MLB Betting: Red Sox at Yankees Odds

By Steven Wisner

MLB Betting Odds

If you’re not wagering with BookMaker Sportsbook then you’re just another square bettor. Shop for MLB lines where the pros do so register for your own betting account at BookMaker now! The ballgame pitting the Boston Red Sox versus the New York Yankees will commence Sunday, September 3, 2017, at 8:08 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium. The contest will be televised nationally on ESPN.

Save a postseason meeting, this will be the final contest between the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox. With the Yankees and Sox both leading the AL East at different points throughout the year, this rivalry has gotten better after a few years of indifference. In the first 15 meetings between the teams, the results were split 8-7 with a slight edge to the home team in this series.

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ODDS ANALYSIS

Dating back 116 years, the Yankees/Red Sox rivalry is the fiercest in baseball and—arguably—all of sports.

In 2,208 career meetings, the Yankees hold the led over the Sox by 88 games. New York also holds the edge in World Series titles 27-8. That’s all great for historians, but baseball is all about what you have done lately and lately, this rivalry has leaned more to the Sox whose last win came in 2013 compared to 2009 for the Bombers.

Getting back to the series at hand, the Yankees have the slight lead in the season series and will host this best of four.

New York is 37-24 at home while the Sox are just a few games over-.500 on the road. Based on overall record, the Sox are the better team, but given the home/road splits, the edge favors the Yanks.

Despite that, the Sox are the team having the better month of August. They’re 17-8 in the month, creating some separation in the division while the Yankees are just .500.

PROBABLE PITCHERS

There is a premier pitching matchup lined up for this series finale. The Red Sox will look for another stellar performance from Chris Sale. Meanwhile, the Yankees figure to send their new ace—and All-Star hurler—Luis Severino to counter the Red Sox’s Cy Young favorite.

Sale was one of the best offseason acquisitions for any team and has been the Cy Young frontrunner in the AL basically the entire season. Recently, Corey Kluber has closed the gap, but that takes nothing away from Sale.

The Sox lefty has been everything Boston has wanted this year, especially against the Yankees. Sale has a 2.12 ERA in four start against New York. Despite that stellar ERA, he’s 0-2 against the Yanks due to terrible run support.

Overall, Sale is 15-6 this year and Boston is 19-8 with him on the mound. Sale is the king of the strikeout. He’s struck out a league leading 264 batters in 185.1 innings of work. That should come in handy against a Yankees team full of high strikeout guys, particularly Aaron Judge.

On the other side, much like Sale for the Sox, Severino has been the Yankees’ best pitcher.

New York’s young right-hander is 11-6 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.102 WHIP. He’s also striking out 10.6 per nine innings.

Severino is having a great season, but his 163.1 innings is already more than double the innings he tossed in the Majors last year so fatigue is an issue.

He’s regressed some lately. He allowed four runs—including giving up three homers—in his last start as the Indians handed him a loss.

Despite that, he’s still 6-2 in his last eight games, though included in that run is a terrible outing against the Red Sox.

The last time Severino faced Boston, he allowed a career high 10 runs—eight earned—on eight hits in just 4.1 innings pitched.

LIVE BETTING

Boston’s biggest issue all season has been the offense, specifically the lack of power.

Losing David Ortiz was a huge blow, but Mookie Betts, Hanley Ramirez and Dustin Pedroia are all still on this team. Betts has regressed. Ramirez has been incredibly streaky and Pedroia was injured, though he is returning this weekend. On top of that, Xander Bogearts and Jackie Bradley Jr. are ice cold right now.

Fortunately for Boston, the additions of Eduardo Nunez and Rafael Devers helped spark the offense.

On the mound, Boston has been throwing the ball well. The bullpen has been shaky at times leading to Craig Kimbrel, but Addison Reed has looked better his last few times out.

The Yankees bullpen, of course, has slumped, too. Given the names, the New York pen should be lock down, but Aroldis Chapman isn’t pitching like Aroldis Chapman. Dellin Betances, while good, does make you hold your breath from time-to-time.

Offensively, the Yankees’ offense has slowed. This was an offense that was lights out early on, but the slow second half by Judge has really took its toll on this team. While it looked as though everything was going right in the first half, we’ve seen players regress since the break.

QUICK PICK

Boston is the better team. The Yankees have a good, young core to build around, but we’re seeing them having their growing pains right now after the first half was all sunshine and rainbows.

Given the home/road splits for these two teams, the Yankees have a good chance at a series win—or at least a split—but the series finale should go to the Sox.

Chris Sale is a lights-out pitcher. He’ll throw a gem against New York and while Severino has pitched well this year, he’s not nearly as proven. He doesn’t have the track record and he’s well past any innings total he’s ever seen. Further, he bombed against Boston last time he faced them and that’s got to wear on your psyche after such a blowout.

Look for the Sox to hang a couple runs on Severino early and cruise to a close victory with Sale going deep and the duo of Reed and Kimbrel closing it out in the final two frames.

MLB Odds: Red Sox 4, Yankees 2

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