Baseball Betting Predictions, Indians vs. Astros Lines

MLB Odds

Indians at Astros Picks

By Mike Rose

The seventh week of the 2018 baseball betting season closes out with a gem when Carlos Carrasco and the Cleveland Indians square off against Lance McCullers Jr. and the Houston Astros on ESPN Sunday Night Baseball. This series has recently been dominated by the Tribe who’ve taken each of the last five meetings as well as seven of the last 10 heading into Friday’s series opener. The under holds a negligible advantage cashing at a 5-4-1 clip.

Cleveland Indians at Houston Astros
Date and Time: Sunday, May 20, 2018, 8 p.m. ET
Location: Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
MLB Odds: Check Back Later
Probable Pitchers: Carlos Carrasco vs. Lance McCullers Jr.
Indians at Astros TV Coverage: ESPN

Let’s face it folks, the AL Central stinks. It’s arguably the least competitive division in all of baseball with no team the owner of a +.500 record entering play on Thursday. That said, the Indians are the cream of the crop having split its first 42 games which has equated to an ugly $1100 deficit for baseball bettors.

Most bothersome is the team’s record away from Progressive Field where its managed only eight wins through 20 tries ( -$861 ). While the offense leads the league in home runs ( 64 ) and has amassed 28 quality starts ( No. 2 ), the bullpen ( No. 30 ) and defense ( #24 ) has left much to be desired. That in large part is why losing clubs like Minnesota and Detroit are hot on their trail for the division lead.

No other team has amasses more wins than the World Series favorite Houston Astros who stood 28-17 heading into Friday’s series opener. Unlike the Cubs last season, Jose Altuve and company haven’t experienced any sort of hangover after winning the franchise its first championship ever a short season ago.

While it sits 11 games over the breakeven point, it’s still cost those attacking the MLB betting lines $201 overall this season. That’s going to happen when you’re installed favorites by the oddsmakers in all but one of your 45 lined games. Though the squad has logged $581 in profit on the road, it’s cost those that backed them at home over $780 overall. Unsurprisingly, they’ll be installed chalk to win this matchup as well.

Player to Watch

Carlos Carrasco – The Tribe’s No. 2 hurler has thrived away from Progressive Field this season in pitching to a 3-1 record and 2.78 ERA. Though he’s 2-1 at home, his ERA is nearly 3.0 runs higher there. For some reason, he’s been more comfortable in hostile than accepting territory. On top of that, he’s excelled versus the Astros in his career pitching to a 3-1 record, 2.67 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. Houston is batting .218 against him lifetime. He’s made a pair of career starts at Minute Maid Park and won each by throwing shutout ball and only five hits through his 15.1 total innings of work. Each of his last four road starts have been of quality.
Baseball Betting Picks
Indians at Astros Picks

As much as I don’t want to get in front of the Houston Astros, they’ve been more susceptible to defeats at home. You seriously never know what you’re going to get whenever McCullers takes to the starting bump. He can give you seven shutout innings with 10 Ks, or he can depart before the fifth with an ugly stat line. His inconsistency has me leaning towards the Tribe in this spot with Carrasco leading the charge. He’s been unbeatable in this ball park, and been at his best on the road. Add Cleveland’s recent dominance of the rivalry into the equation, and there’s no way I can avoid backing the visitors at top-rated sportsbooks. Especially if receiving a plus-money return by linemakers!

MLB Pick: Bet the Indians at BookMaker.eu
MLB Score Prediction: Cleveland 6 – Houston 3

MLB Baseball Odds, Twins vs Cardinals Betting Predictions

Twins at Cardinals Picks

By Mike Rose

Interleague play gets the ESPN Monday Night Baseball treatment when Paul Molitor’s Minnesota Twins invades Busch Stadium for an abbreviated two-game series with the St. Louis Cardinals. These franchises last crossed paths back in 2015 when the Redbirds went into the Twin Cities and got the brooms busted out on them by the Twinkies at Target Field. Both meetings combined for low scorers pushing the under to a lucrative 9-0 in the team’s last nine skirmishes.

Minnesota Twins at St. Louis Cardinals
Date and Time: Monday, May 7, 2018, 8 p.m. ET
Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
MLB Odds: Check Back Later
Probable Pitchers: Fernando Romero vs. Carlos Martinez
Twins at Cardinals TV Coverage: ESPN

The Twins got out to a semi-decent start to their 2018 campaign by rattling off wins in eight of their first 13 games. Then they went on to drop eight straight games and completely fell off the mat. Since snapping the losing streak, they’ve managed just one win in their last four tries. Overall, the Twins have proven to be one of the bigger money burners in the league costing MLB bettors upwards of $700 overall.

A bulk of that deficit has been incurred on the road where Eddie Rosario and his mates have secured just three wins through 12 tries ( -$591 ). This is a team that ranks No. 20 in the league in scoring runs ( 4.1 RPG ) and has produced the fewest quality starts ( 8 ). On top of all that, the bullpen sports a sickening 5.93 ERA while the defense has committed 17 errors ( No. 16 ). This team has no doubt taken a step backwards through the first five weeks after qualifying for the play-in game a short season ago.

Since dropping two of three to the Brewers back on April 11, the Cardinals have been one of the hottest teams in the league. Yadier Molina and his mates have rattled off wins in 11 of their last 17 opportunities. In doing so, they currently sit a half game in back of the Brewers for the NL Central lead and rank out as the twelfth most lucrative team to wager on in baseball ( $225 ).

However, nothing about this team jumps off the page when you break it down statistically. The offense is league average in scoring 4.6 runs per game while batting .235 overall ( No. 24 ). The pitching staff has thrown to the No. 4 ranked ERA ( 3.32 ) and amassed 14 quality starts, but the defense is below average in fielding percentage and I’m not sure you can trust the bullpen entirely regardless of Bud Norris currently in good form. Still, the team has protected its house in winning nine of 14 in front of the hometown faithful ( $167 ), and gets the advantage of playing there in the series opener.

Pitching Matchup

Fernando Romero –The youngster impressed in his 2018 debut by tossing 5.2 innings of shutout baseball at the Toronto Blue jays to log his first career win in the big leagues. Though he issued a trio of free passes, he also racked up 5five strikeouts. He’s proven to be a reliable strikeout pitcher at all levels, but will have his work cut out for him in this spot versus a Cardinals lineup that’s been the tenth toughest lineup to punch out. He does have the advantage of St. Louis hitting lefties better than righties.

Carlos Martinez – C-Mart is starting to once again pitch like the ace Mike Matheny had hoped for last season. He’ll enter his eighth start of the year 3-1 with a miniscule 1.40 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. Though his BB/9 average sits at 3.8, he’s offset the free passes by racking up 45 strikeouts in 45 total innings of work. Like his offense, Minnesota has been average against right-handed pitching ( No. 17 ). He’s been nearly untouchable at home where his ERA falls to 1.07 and BAA to .205. St. Louis has won all four of his home starts, and he’s only conceded 2 ER in his last three starts.

Baseball Betting Picks

Twins at Cardinals Picks

As much as I want to believe Minnesota has what it takes to take down the Cardinals ace, I just don’t see it happening. Pitching at home against Toronto is a much different scenario than tossing in hostile Busch in your very first road test at the MLB level. That’s something I don’t foresee Romero conquering in this spot. He looks to be a viable arm that will give Molitor and his staff solid innings down the road, but he’s simply not prepared for this challenge. All things being equal, Minnesota’s only shot of beating the MLB betting lines at the best online sportsbooks would be if St. Louis suffers a major letdown after taking on the Cubs the previous three days. While that’s entirely possible, I’m not willing to bank on it.

MLB Pick: Bet the Cardinals at BookMaker.eu
MLB Score Prediction: St. Louis 8 – Minnesota 2

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Indiana Hoosiers Picks, Week 1 College Football Odds

Ohio State vs. Indiana ATS Picks

By Andrew Ryan

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Indiana Hoosiers

The Ohio State Buckeyes are starting to get to the status of the Alabama Crimson Tide. Sure, Nick Saban’s dynasty isn’t set to be tarnished any time in the near future, but Urban Meyer has put together a program that doesn’t know how to rebuild; the Buckeyes merely reload with highly-touted recruits every single season. That’s bad news for the Indiana Hoosiers in the opening Big Ten battle of the 2017 season.

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Indiana Hoosiers

Date and Time: Thursday, August 31, 2017, 8 p.m. ET

Location: Memorial Stadium, Bloomington, IN

Opening College Football Odds: Ohio State -21

Ohio State vs. Indiana TV Coverage: ESPN

When the Buckeyes crashed the College Football Playoff last season as the first ever non-conference winner in the “Final Four,” they arguably arrived a year ahead of schedule. After all, quarterback J.T. Barrett is only just now a senior, and the mass majority of a defense that allowed just 300.2 yards and 15.5 points per game returns.

Mike Weber and Barrett combined to account for 42 touchdowns last season, and they rushed for very nearly 2,000 yards between them. Better will be expected this year, especially with Curtis Samuel now in the NFL.

Sure there are some question marks at wide receiver, but Meyer has never been short of options on the outside on a year in, year out basis, even when things seemed limited.

After years of sitting on a very hot seat, Kevin Wilson finally got the axe last season from Indiana.

The cupboard isn’t nearly bare for Wilson’s replacement, Tom Allen. He’ll be getting back nine starters on the defensive side of the ball.

That said, offense is going to be a big question mark. Richard Lagow is no slam dunk to keep this job this year. He’s a statue in the pocket at times, holds onto the ball far too long and makes questionable decisions. Lagow only went 14-of-28 for 182 yards last year when these teams met. He only threw one interception, but after tossing 17 for the season a campaign ago, it wouldn’t be hard to envision him getting picked off two or three times in this one.

Betting Trends of Note

The Buckeyes have a history of coming out and slaughtering teams like this one in September. Sure, a conference game isn’t what’s normally on tap in Week 1, but OSU is making an exception this year for sure.

The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in openers under Meyer, and most of the games haven’t been anywhere near close. Included in this mix are a 56-10 win over Miami (OH) and most recently, a 77-10 ripping of Bowling Green. The Buckeyes started the year at 4-0 SU and ATS last season before “only” beating this Indiana team by 21 at the Horseshoe against a 28-point spread.

Indiana wasn’t a bad team in the Big Ten last season, though it should be noted that it only covered one of its last four games as an underdog in conference play.

Still, the Hoosiers didn’t lose a single game last year by more than the three TDs Ohio State beat them by, and as we now know, they covered that spread. Indiana’s last loss at home by a margin anywhere near this big? A 56-17 loss to Michigan State in 2014.

Ohio State vs. Indiana Free Picks

You just know that Wilson has an axe to grind with his former team. He’s the new offensive coordinator at Ohio State and should be a good one at that.

This is a defense that Wilson built from the ground up, one that should once again end up being a solid unit. But if there’s a man who should know how to pick that unit apart, it’s Wilson.

All the cards are pointing towards a romp for the Buckeyes in Bloomington. It’s odd for OSU to not open up at the ‘Shoe, but we suspect it isn’t going to make any difference. We’d lay 30 in this game if we were forced to do so. Giving just three touchdowns will look like a steal at halftime, and it’s only going to get worse from there for the hosts.

College Football ATS Pick: Ohio State -21 at BookMaker.eu

College Football Score Prediction: Ohio State 56, Indiana 17

MLB Baseball Picks, New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Lines

Mets vs. Dodgers Picks

By Mike Rose

The last thing the New York Mets want to deal with are the red hot Los Angeles Dodgers after the Nationals just rubbed their face in it over the last four days. Be that as it may, Terry Collins squad must travel west where an offensive dynamo awaits for an extended four game series. Dave Roberts’ squad is in the midst of a competitive three horse race in the NL West, and doesn’t have to leave Chavez Ravine till the end of June. Perfect time to take the lead! Continue reading “MLB Baseball Picks, New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Lines”