College Football Week 10 Odds, Penn State vs. Michigan State Betting Picks

Penn State vs. Michigan State

Penn State vs. Michigan State ATS Picks

By Andrew Ryan

The Penn State Nittany Lions had their hearts ripped out last week at the Horseshoe by Ohio State. They’ve still got a chance to ultimately reach the College Football Playoff this year, but their margin for error is now officially nil. A win over the Michigan State Spartans in East Lansing is an absolute must at this point.

Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Michigan State Spartans
Date and Time: Saturday, November 4, 2017, 12 p.m. ET
Location: Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI
Opening College Football Odds: Penn State -9
Penn State vs. Michigan State TV Coverage: FOX

It’s going to be interesting to see what happens when the first College Football Playoff rankings come out on Tuesday. The Nittany Lions will surely be in the mix after losing by a single point to Ohio State on Saturday at the Horseshoe. That said, Oklahoma beat Ohio State, and the Sooners don’t seem to be getting enough love for that victory. Penn State should theoretically be behind them both, especially since the Nittany Lions don’t have a single notably victory to date outside of the seemingly suspect triumph over Michigan.

Still, this Penn State team is really good. Saquon Barkley was bottled up against the Buckeyes to the tune of just 44 yards on 21 carries, but he showed explosiveness in the running game and the passing game while tossing in a kickoff return for a touchdown that started the game.

That said, these Nittany Lions had over a 97 percent chance of beating Ohio State according to ESPN’s FPI with less than five minutes to play and blew it. It’s going to be really hard to rebound from such a defeat.

Michigan State built National Championship hopes for a hot minute, but after losing in three overtimes at Northwestern on Saturday, all of that is now gone. The Spartans still actually control the Big Ten East if they can win out, but that requires beating Penn State at home this week and Ohio State on the road next week. Good luck with that.

It wasn’t all that shocking to see Sparty go down in Evanston; Michigan State was only -2 in the game. However, to give up 432 yards in the game and let the Wildcats score touchdowns in all three of their overtime periods was something that we didn’t expect to see.

We also didn’t think that Brian Lewerke had a 445-yard passing performance in him. That’s what happens when MSU rushes for just 95 yards on 30 carries, nine carries and 30 yards of which came from Lewerke himself.

Key Stat

21.4 – The percentage of the time Barkley has been stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage this season.

Barkley has evolved into a true home run hitter, but just as he had plenty of problems getting going at times against Ohio State, this could be a huge test against a really good defensive line that has had some moments of real dominance this season.

Barkley is going to get his yards and his scores in all likelihood due to the fact that he’s incredibly tricky to try to bring down when he gets into open spaces, but keep in mind that he was bottled up when PSU needed him the most. Six of Barkley’s last nine runs went for negative yardage against the Bucks.

Penn State vs. Michigan State Free Picks

This is a great spot to back Sparty at your favorite online sportsbook. The game against Northwestern was always a lookahead spot, especially with not just one, but two games against top-10 teams coming up in succession. Sure, that game was lost, but the Spartans probably spent much of their week with their eyes on this game against Penn State.

We suspect the Nittany Lions are going to get a raw deal from the Selection Committee. We think they should be in front of unbeaten teams like Wisconsin and Miami, but we aren’t sure that’s going to be the case. This is a good football team and one that can beat anyone in the nation.

Still, it’s hard to rebound from such an emotional loss, especially with expectations abound that this game will be a blowout. Look for the Spartans to get back to basics and turn this game into a grind. We’re not sure Penn State is going to have the ability to survive if that’s the case.

College Football ATS Pick: Michigan State +9 at BookMaker.eu
College Football Score Prediction: Michigan State 20, Penn State 17

NCAAF Week 9 Odds, Florida Gators vs. Georgia Bulldogs Betting Picks

Florida vs. Georgia ATS Picks

Florida vs. Georgia ATS Picks

By Andrew Ryan

The traditions in the SEC are really like none other, especially this time of year. Right around Halloween every single season, fans from the Sunshine State and the Peach State descend upon Jacksonville for the duel between the Florida Gators and the Georgia Bulldogs. UGA has a chance to really put its foot down on the throats of the rest of the SEC East, but Florida has had a history of being a pain in this game, especially when the Dawgs are favored as they are at all of the top online sportsbooks in this one.

Florida Gators vs. Georgia Bulldogs
Date and Time: Saturday, October 28, 2017, 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
Opening College Football Odds: Georgia -14
Florida vs. Georgia TV Coverage: CBS

It’s good to be a Bulldog right now.

Georgia has started off the year at 7-0, has the SEC East title firmly in its grasp and recently landed the No. 1 recruit in the nation in Justin Fields, a man who will probably be the starting quarterback for the Dawgs in two or three years after redshirting.

Just as Mark Richt deserved a ton of credit for helping put Georgia back on the map, his successor, Kirby Smart deserves the credit for kicking the door down and making this team a relevant club in the College Football Playoff. You’d like to think that UGA is going to be favored in the rest of its games this year outside of perhaps a trip to Jordan-Hare to take on Auburn. Win out in the regular season, and the SEC Championship Game presumably against Alabama might not mean a thing. The SEC is good enough to have two teams in the CFP this year, and the winner of the East and winner of the West could end up fighting it out in the playoff down the line as well.

They said “It’s great to be a Florida Gator” too, but we’re not seeing it at the moment.

Florida has lost consecutive games, is now 3-3, and thanks to losing a game from Hurricane Irma, there’s a real chance this team finishes at 5-6 and isn’t bowl eligible after being ranked in the Top 25 to start the season.

The Gators haven’t scored more than 17 points in any of their three losses this year, and their offense has combined to score just three touchdowns in those three games.

Key Factor

At some point, you have to stop blaming quarterbacks and start blaming coaches. From Treon Harris to Will Grier to Austin Appleby to Luke Del Rio to Malik Zaire to Feleipe Franks… It can’t be possible that all of these men have the exact same problem, right?

Franks is the quarterback du jour at the moment in Gainesville, though as we know, that could change at any given moment. The only reason Franks has a good shot to succeed in this game is because he has two fantastic playmakers in Kadarius Toney and Tyrie Cleveland. These two men are explosive and can stretch the field, and we saw all the problems UGA had stopping the deep pass against Missouri a couple weeks ago.

The difference? Give the Gators three touchdowns, and they’re probably going to win more often than not. Allow three touchdowns to Missouri, and you’re still winning by three or four scores.

Florida vs. Georgia Free Picks

Florida has won 21 of the last 27 games in this series, and though it’s a dog in this one, we have a sense that this defense is going to pull off a big upset in Jacksonville.

If the Gators can force Jake Fromm to put the ball in the air 25-30 times in this one, this could get interesting. We’re not really all that sure if Fromm can really throw the ball or not; we know that he hasn’t had to.

There are just far too many question marks surrounding the Georgia passing game. Parlay that with the Florida dominance in this series over the year, and it’s easy to call this one as an upset.

College Football ATS Pick: Florida +14 at BookMaker.eu
College Football Score Prediction: Florida 24, Georgia 17

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Indiana Hoosiers Picks, Week 1 College Football Odds

Ohio State vs. Indiana ATS Picks

By Andrew Ryan

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Indiana Hoosiers

The Ohio State Buckeyes are starting to get to the status of the Alabama Crimson Tide. Sure, Nick Saban’s dynasty isn’t set to be tarnished any time in the near future, but Urban Meyer has put together a program that doesn’t know how to rebuild; the Buckeyes merely reload with highly-touted recruits every single season. That’s bad news for the Indiana Hoosiers in the opening Big Ten battle of the 2017 season.

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Indiana Hoosiers

Date and Time: Thursday, August 31, 2017, 8 p.m. ET

Location: Memorial Stadium, Bloomington, IN

Opening College Football Odds: Ohio State -21

Ohio State vs. Indiana TV Coverage: ESPN

When the Buckeyes crashed the College Football Playoff last season as the first ever non-conference winner in the “Final Four,” they arguably arrived a year ahead of schedule. After all, quarterback J.T. Barrett is only just now a senior, and the mass majority of a defense that allowed just 300.2 yards and 15.5 points per game returns.

Mike Weber and Barrett combined to account for 42 touchdowns last season, and they rushed for very nearly 2,000 yards between them. Better will be expected this year, especially with Curtis Samuel now in the NFL.

Sure there are some question marks at wide receiver, but Meyer has never been short of options on the outside on a year in, year out basis, even when things seemed limited.

After years of sitting on a very hot seat, Kevin Wilson finally got the axe last season from Indiana.

The cupboard isn’t nearly bare for Wilson’s replacement, Tom Allen. He’ll be getting back nine starters on the defensive side of the ball.

That said, offense is going to be a big question mark. Richard Lagow is no slam dunk to keep this job this year. He’s a statue in the pocket at times, holds onto the ball far too long and makes questionable decisions. Lagow only went 14-of-28 for 182 yards last year when these teams met. He only threw one interception, but after tossing 17 for the season a campaign ago, it wouldn’t be hard to envision him getting picked off two or three times in this one.

Betting Trends of Note

The Buckeyes have a history of coming out and slaughtering teams like this one in September. Sure, a conference game isn’t what’s normally on tap in Week 1, but OSU is making an exception this year for sure.

The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in openers under Meyer, and most of the games haven’t been anywhere near close. Included in this mix are a 56-10 win over Miami (OH) and most recently, a 77-10 ripping of Bowling Green. The Buckeyes started the year at 4-0 SU and ATS last season before “only” beating this Indiana team by 21 at the Horseshoe against a 28-point spread.

Indiana wasn’t a bad team in the Big Ten last season, though it should be noted that it only covered one of its last four games as an underdog in conference play.

Still, the Hoosiers didn’t lose a single game last year by more than the three TDs Ohio State beat them by, and as we now know, they covered that spread. Indiana’s last loss at home by a margin anywhere near this big? A 56-17 loss to Michigan State in 2014.

Ohio State vs. Indiana Free Picks

You just know that Wilson has an axe to grind with his former team. He’s the new offensive coordinator at Ohio State and should be a good one at that.

This is a defense that Wilson built from the ground up, one that should once again end up being a solid unit. But if there’s a man who should know how to pick that unit apart, it’s Wilson.

All the cards are pointing towards a romp for the Buckeyes in Bloomington. It’s odd for OSU to not open up at the ‘Shoe, but we suspect it isn’t going to make any difference. We’d lay 30 in this game if we were forced to do so. Giving just three touchdowns will look like a steal at halftime, and it’s only going to get worse from there for the hosts.

College Football ATS Pick: Ohio State -21 at BookMaker.eu

College Football Score Prediction: Ohio State 56, Indiana 17