Baseball Predictions, Pirates vs. Rockies Betting Picks

MLB Betting Picks

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Series Preview

By Mike Rose

A pair of teams flirting with a spot in the playoffs will partake in a crucial series to kick off the week when the Pittsburgh Pirates invade Coors Field to match wits with the Colorado Rockies. The Buccos likely have no shot to win the NL Central that’s been dominated by both the Cubs and Brewers. The Rockies are in the thick of the NL West race sitting 2 games out as well as 2.5 games out in the wild card chase. Without saying, this is a pivotal series for both clubs for a number of reasons.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies

Dates: Monday, August 6 – Wednesday, August 8, 2018
Location: Coors Field, Denver, CO

The Pirates caught fire following the All-Star break rattling off five straight wins and seven of nine to get the team off life support. Unfortunately, Clint Hurdle’s squad was unable to carry that momentum into the following week after splitting with Chicago at home and following it up with a crucial series loss at home to St. Louis over the weekend. Pittsburgh sits two games under .500 on the road for the season ( $195 ).

Like this series’ opponent, the Rockies bolted out of the gates in the second half taking two of three from the D’backs in the desert and followed it up by taking four of five against the Astros and A’s. all three of those teams are playoff worthy. Then the gas ran out. Nolan Arenado and his mates went on to drop three of four at St. Louis and then followed it up with a terrible series loss at Milwaukee over the weekend. As competitive the NL West is this season, they can’t afford to slip up in this home series.

Game 1 Probable Pitchers – Monday, August 6, 2018, 8:40 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Joe Musgrove vs. Kyle Freeland

Musgrove enters start No. 12 of 2018 the owner of a 4-5 record and nifty 3.63 ERA. He’s proven to be an innings eater for a Buccos starting staff that ranks No. 9 overall in the quality starts department. He’s gone seven innings in four of his last five trips to the starting bump, and each of his two second half starts have been of quality. This will be his first career start against the Rockies and first appearance in Coors.

Every year, there’s a pitcher on the Rockies staff that defies Coors Field logic. That arm this season is none other than Kyle Freeland who stands 6-2 with an impressive 2.45 ERA and .223 BAA in the thin air of the Mile High City. Colorado had won each of his five previous starts until he dropped a decision in St. Louis last Wednesday. The Rockies have won seven of his nine overall home starts, but he’s had issues with the Redbirds in going 0-2 with a 4.76 ERA and .360 BAA through two career starts.

Game 2 Probable Pitchers – Tuesday, August 7, 2018, 8:40 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Jameson Taillon vs. Antonio Senzatela

Taillon leads the team in ERA ( 3.74 ) and WHIP ( 1.22 ), but has only managed to go 8-8 through his 22 overall starts. Injuries have once again plagued the youngster, but he’s been solid since the All-Star break after tossing 19 combined innings of 6 ER ball at the Reds, Indians and Cubs. He’ll be tested in this one with it being his first career start at Coors Field. Pittsburgh’s 6-5 with him leading the way on the road where his ERA checks in at 3.59 and BAA at .255.

Senzatela doesn’t offer up much to get excited about. He’s at best a six inning pitcher and is the owner of a 7.0 K/9 average. That said, he’s been pretty darn good of late in limiting the A’s and Cardinals to a grand total of 2 ER and 10 hits over his last 11.2 innings of work. Colorado has however dropped 10 of his 15 overall appearances and split his six home starts where his 3.00 ERA is a bit unusual. The quality effort he just threw at St. Louis was his first since returning from the DL back on July 3.
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Game 2 Probable Pitchers – Wednesday, August 8, 2018, 3:10 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Chris Archer vs. German Marquez

Archer’s first go round as a member of the Pirates was ugly to say the least. The righty was torched for seven hits and five runs ( 4 ER ) through 4.1 innings in his PNC Park debut against the Cardinals. The effort snapped a string of two straight quality efforts he threw for Tampa bay before being shipped off to the National League. He’s made one career start at Coors Field and impressed in doing so logging six innings of four hit and 2 ER ball, but that occurred back in 2016.

Marquez is no doubt the unheralded arm in Colorado’s starting rotation. The righty stands 9-8 with a 4.70 ERA and 1.35 WHIP through 22 starts, but has pitched much better than that of late. Since getting pummeled over the course of June, Senzatela has logged five quality starts through six tries. The lone blowup outing in Arizona really screwed up his peripherals. He enters start No. 23 in fine form, and has dominated Pittsburgh over the course of his career in going 3-0 with a 2.50 ERA, 0.78 WHIP and .105 BAA through three starts.

MLB Baseball Betting Picks, Dodgers vs. Cubs Predictions

MLB Betting

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs Series MLB Betting Preview

By Mike Rose

Off a near sweep of the Cardinals in St. Louis, the Chicago Cubs return home to the “Friendly Confines” of Wrigley Field in search of a second straight series win. Up next on the docket will be the Los Angeles Dodgers outfit that took them out behind the woodshed and served up a good ‘ol fashioned beating when the teams last met in last year’s NLCS. LA has held the upper hand of the recent rivalry in winning eight of the last 10 meetings with all but two of those games combining for low scorers.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs
Dates: Monday, June 18 – Wednesday, June 20, 2018
Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL

Dave Roberts’ squad got out to a wretched start to their 2018 campaign, but since the calendar turned to the month of June, Los Angeles is playing like the team many envisioned at the outset of the season. In winning 11 of their 14 June games ( $655 ), the Dodgers enter this series to be held in Wrigleyville only 1.5 games in back of the front running Arizona Diamondbacks. That deficit was close to 10 only a short month ago!

Chicago had a shot to take over sole possession of the NL Central lead on Sunday night, but came up short in yet another shutout. Putting zero runs on the board is something Joe Maddon’s troops have done a bunch over the last week. Of their six played games against Milwaukee and St. Louis, they were shut out three times! That said, Anthony Rizzo and his mates combined for 26 runs in the other three.

Game 1 Probable Pitchers – Monday, June 18, 2018, 8:05 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Kenta Maeda vs. Tyler Chatwood

The book on Maeda has been easy to read this season. Back him in Chavez Ravine and fade him till the cows come home when toeing the visitor’s bump. Within Dodger Stadium, the righty checks in 2-3 with a 3.41 ERA. When on the road, his ERA jumps up to 3.86 and ground ball to fly ball ratio down to 1.62. Those numbers would be even worse if his last four road starts didn’t take place in Miami, San Diego, San Francisco and San Diego again. He owns a lifetime 4.44 ERA on the road and has never pitched at Wrigley Field in hot weather. Chicago’s sticks should eat Monday night.

Regardless of whether the Cubs offense gets going once again, they might need to hang a crooked number on the board just to come out on top with Chatwood on the bump. The righty has been a huge disappointment since being signed as a free agent this past offseason. He’s 3-5 against the MLB betting odds with a 4.12 ERA and .233 BAA. Not terrible. However, his numbers would be so much better if he could figure out a way not to issue free passes. Chatwood’s walked and struck out 58 batters through 63.1 innings – that’s an 8.2 BB/9 people! How the over has only cashed in seven of his 12 starts is beyond me.

Game 2 Probable Pitchers – Tuesday, June 19, 2018, 8:05 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Rich Hill vs. Mike Montgomery

Hill is set to come off the DL for this start, again. The veteran has been on and off the designated list all season. When healthy, he’s been nothing to write home about in going 1-2 with a 6.20 ERA and .303 BAA. In other words, he wasn’t missing bats evidenced by the 30 hits allowed through 24.2 innings. Though he registered better than a K per inning, he also issued 13 walks. The lefty last took to the starting bump back on May 19, and the last thing a rusty arm wants to see right out of the chute is an offense that leads the league in runs scored per game against southpaws ( 6.4 ).

Montgomery is making it known that he deserves a spot in the Cubs starting rotation. The spot starter/long man has been nothing short of a godsend for Maddon since Yu Darvish hit the DL. In his four starts made since, Montgomery has conceded a grand total of 13 hits and 3 ER with as K/BB ratio of 14:3 through 23.2 innings. He came one out away from throwing a quality start in each outing! He haw however had a rough go of it versus LA evidenced by his career 4.15 ERA and 1.62 WHIP.

Game 3 Probable Pitchers – Wednesday, June 20, 2018, 2:20 p.m. ET ( MLB Network )

Ross Stripling vs. Jon Lester

Like Montgomery for Chicago, Stripling has been the same type of saving grace for Los Angeles. The righty is 6-1 with a miniscule 1.76 ERA and opponents are only batting .224 against him. Since getting blown up in his first start after getting yanked from the pen due to Clayton Kershaw’s injury, Stripling has tallied quality starts in five of his eight made starts. He allowed two or less ER in each of them, and the Dodgers have come out on the right side of the scoreboard in each of his last six made starts.

Aces gonna ace! Lester has a down 2017 season. Some might say he was simply hungover and fatigued from the Cubs championship run the year prior. That’s not the case in 2018. The lefty has far and away been the best arm within Chicago’s rotation in going 8-2 with a 2.28 ERA and .207 BAA. Though 17-7 versus left-handers, Los Angeles has only plated an average of 4.0 runs per game against southpaws. He owns a 3.89 ERA and .220 BAA lifetime against the Dodgers, and the Cubs have won five of his six home starts. The finale of this series should play out to an excellent pitcher’s duel.Baseball Betting Picks

Indians vs Orioles Predictions, Baseball Betting Picks

Baseball Betting Picks

Indians at Orioles Picks

By Mike Rose

After earning a split with the AL Central leading Twins in Puerto Rico, the Cleveland Indians will look to gain some ground in Game 2 of their weekend set with the hapless Baltimore Orioles. The O’s have gotten out to a wretched start to their 2018 campaign managing just five wins through 19 overall tries. One has to wonder just how much hotter the seat can get under Buck Showalter before a change is in order.

Cleveland Indians at Baltimore Orioles
Date and Time: Saturday, April 21, 2018, 4:05 p.m. ET
Location: Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
MLB Odds: Check Back Later
Probable Pitchers: Mike Clevinger vs. Chris Tillman
Indians at Orioles TV Coverage: FS1

The Tribe’s offense continues to flounder. That was eerily apparent in their 2-1 sixteen inning loss to the Twins on Wednesday that prevented them from surpassing Minnesota in the standings. Though the club enters this series averaging 5.0 runs over its last five games, it gets chopped down to just 3.5 runs over their last 10. None of Francisco Lindor, Jose Ramirez or Edwin Encarnacion is currently batting their weight.

Thankfully, Terry Francona has gotten a huge boost from his pitching staff. If not, the Tribe would no doubt be hanging out at the bottom of the league standings instead of second place. The staff ranks No. 2 in the quality starts department with 10, while the bullpen checks in at No. 6 with a 2.79 ERA. MLB bettors are still waiting for it to all fall into place.

If things have been bad in Cleveland and the Indians still sit a couple games over the breakeven point, words simply can’t describe what’s going on in Baltimore right now. Save for Manny Machado and to an extent Try Mancini, the Orioles are getting next to nothing from the offense right now. It’s scored three runs or less in six of its last 10 games and ranks No. 27 overall with a .223 batting average.

Unlike today’s opponent, the Orioles are also getting next to nothing from their pitching staff. Dylan Bundy and Andrew Cashner have been reliable, but it’s been nothing short of ugly after that. Baltimore ranks No. 26 in staff ERA ( 5.11 ), No. 29 in WHIP ( 1.57 ) and below league average in strikeouts. Add to the mix a bullpen ERA of 4.72 ( No. 23 ), and it’s clearly apparent the team is struggling in most facets of the game.

Key Stat

13 –Unlucky No. 13 is the amount of errors Baltimore’s defense has committed through its first 19 games. No Bueno! Along with failing to hit for an above average batting average and having next to nothing to rely upon on the bump, the O’s are also making their pitcher’s jobs that much harder by booting balls in the field. This only adds insult to injury for a team that’s only won back-to-back games once this season, and sports an embarrassing 2-4 record ( -$224 ) in front of the hometown faithful.

Baseball Betting Picks

Indians at Orioles Picks

The Tribe made a mockery of this AL rivalry a short season ago in winning six of the seven overall meetings. With Chris Tillman getting the starting nod in this one, Cleveland is going to be in an excellent position to improve upon that gaudy record. The O’s veteran has been peppered relentlessly each of the last two seasons. He enters this tilt 0-3 with a bloated 11.91 ERA and allowed at least 4 ER in his three made starts. Mike Clevinger hasn’t excelled like his fantasy owners would’ve liked, but at least he’s been reliable in allowing just 5 ER over 19.2 innings of work. I don’t foresee it getting any better for the home team in this matchup. Cleveland is by far the better of the two ball clubs, and I thoroughly expect them to show that throughout this series on the MLB betting lines at top online sportsbooks.

MLB Pick: Bet the Indians at BookMaker.eu
MLB Score Prediction: Cleveland 8 – Baltimore 3

 

MLB Baseball Picks, New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Lines

Mets vs. Dodgers Picks

By Mike Rose

The last thing the New York Mets want to deal with are the red hot Los Angeles Dodgers after the Nationals just rubbed their face in it over the last four days. Be that as it may, Terry Collins squad must travel west where an offensive dynamo awaits for an extended four game series. Dave Roberts’ squad is in the midst of a competitive three horse race in the NL West, and doesn’t have to leave Chavez Ravine till the end of June. Perfect time to take the lead! Continue reading “MLB Baseball Picks, New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Lines”