MLB Betting: Giants at Red Sox Odds
By Steven Wisner
BookMaker is the only online sportsbook where you can get the earliest MLB moneylines, runlines, totals and props. If you want to wager on baseball odds like the pros do, you need to join BookMaker today! The ballgame between the San Francisco Giants and Boston Red Sox will take place Wednesday, July 20, 2016, at 7:10 p.m. ET at Fenway Park. The matchup can be seen live on ESPN.
After a two-game split in San Francisco in June, these two teams meet up again—this time in Boston—with the final game of two on Wednesday in a potential World Series preview.
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It’s an even numbered year and the Giants are once again on a role. With the best record in baseball, San Francisco has a good shot for another title, but before that, the Giants have got to get through the season with the next task being a powerful Boston Red Sox team.
San Francisco has destroyed its divisional opponents, faired really well against the NL Central, but just a game over .500 against the east and only 6-6 in interleague play.
Boston should be a difficult interleague opponent. The team’s the best offense in baseball and has a beefed up rotation. Boston’s also 30-20 at home and 6-3 against the NL.
As far as total moneyline, San Francisco has been the better bet to date with a $1,174 total moneyline to the Sox’s $148.
In his first start since the Sox parted ways with one of their top prospects to get him, Drew Pomeranz will take the mound against a familiar foe, trying to impress his new team.
The 27-year old southpaw is in a breakout year. After earning a rotation spot in spring training, he was the Padres’ most reliable starter before being traded. Despite pitching for a struggling team, he posted a 8-7 record and pitched to a 2.47 ERA and 1.059 WHIP in 102 innings of work.
Those innings are probably the only concerning number. As a minor league starter, turned reliever, turned swingman, he hasn’t topped 100 innings in any other season at the big league level, dating back to his debut in 2011. Fatigue could set in, but he hasn’t shown any signs of that, yet.
Given he spent the season in the NL West, he’s already pitched against San Francisco three times this year. The first one, he didn’t make it out of the fifth, but his last two he combined for 13 innings, allowing just two runs and six hits combined.
All in all, contrary to what his innings count would suggest, he’s gotten better. His last three starts have resulted in just a single run in 21 innings pitched.
While the Sox’s certainly have an interesting story on the mound, it’s not any more interesting than the Giants’.
After an extended stay on the disabled list, former ace turned enigma Matt Cain will make his return to the mound on Wednesday.
Cain is 1-5 with a 5.34 ERA and 1.517 WHIP in 11 starts, averaging just barely over five innings a start. He’s struggled for quite some time now and while injuries have played a role, he hasn’t had a sub-four ERA since 2012.
The 31-year old right-hander is a huge question mark for the Giants and the only real weakness in an otherwise strong rotation. The Red Sox will look to take advantage of that with their deep lineup.
The Red Sox have scored 67 more runs in three fewer games this season than the Giants. It’s pretty clear that Boston’s offense has far more thump and is much more potent.
The Sox have strong lineup top-to-bottom, even with Jackie Bradley Jr.’s recent regression. Sandy Leon is all of a sudden lighting it up behind the plate and Ryan Hanigan produced a bomb in the series against New York, too. That’s the team’s only real weak offensive position. Otherwise, everyone else is batting at least .260 with five players having at least 10 homers.
San Francisco is a much different offense. They’re unlikely to run up the score or hit multiple home runs. In fact, the Giants have just two players with at least 10 homers: Buster Posey and Brandon Belt with 12 and 10 respectively.
Instead, the team manages to score enough to support a very strong rotation thanks to a balanced lineup with anyone able to be the hero on any given day. Even with a plethora of injuries, the team’s been able to find players to step up day in and day out.
As for the bullpen, that’s one area the Giants have an edge. Boston is without closer Craig Kimbrel and setup man Junichi Tazawa. Koji Uehara, meanwhile, may finally be letting his age show as he’s pitching to a 4.54 ERA thanks to issues with the long ball. They added Brad Ziegler to help, but with the Kimbrel injury, he doesn’t even get them back to the level they were at prior to the injury.
San Francisco’s pen hasn’t been great, either, but its healthier at the moment and provides a bit more certainty.
Look for Boston to get the win at home. They’ve got the better offense and the advantage on the mound. There’s no telling what Cain will provide for the Giants. He’s been a below-average starter for a couple of years now.
With Pomeranz on the mound for Boston, the Red Sox have someone with experience and success against the Giants. He should give Boston a nice chance to put together an early lead and get the win in his team debut.
MLB Odds: Red Sox 6, Giants 3
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