MLB Betting: Giants at Padres Odds
By Steven Wisner
If you’re not wagering with BookMaker Sportsbook then you’re just another square bettor. Shop for MLB lines where the pros do so register for your own betting account at BookMaker now! The ballgame pitting the San Francisco Giants versus the San Diego Padres will commence Saturday, July 16, 2016, at 8:40 p.m. ET at PETCO Park. The matchup will be televised regionally on Comcast SportsNet – Bay Area and Fox Sports San Diego.
The Giant All-Stars get to stay in San Diego while the rest of the team meets them down in southern California to kick off the second half with a series against the Padres. Saturday’s middle game of the three game set will be yet another chance for the Giants to stick it to the Padres. After all, heading into the series, San Francisco has won all nine meetings this year.
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The Giants open up the second half with the best record in baseball at 57-33 and have been equally strong on the road as they have at home.
San Francisco won 21 of its last 28 games and despite injuries including three starters on the disabled list, the Giants are playing their best baseball of the season. When you look at the total money you can also see that the Giants have been the best bet this year—at least in the NLF—with a total moneyline of $1,775.
The Padres, meanwhile, fresh off hosting the All-Star game will get back to action, sitting at just 38-51 in the midst of yet another subpar season.
Fresh off a less than stellar All-Star Game start, Johnny Cueto will go back to work in the regular season on Saturday matching up against the Padres’ young right-hander, Luis Perdomo.
As recently as last year, Cueto was considered one of the aces of the sport, but questions arose following a mediocre-at-best few months with the Royals. In the offseason, most teams were skeptical, but the Giants came a calling and got a hell of a pitcher.
The 30-year old workhorse right-hander leads the league in wins, complete games, innings and boasts the lowest homer run per nine inning ratio of any starter.
He’s 13-1 with a 2.47 ERA and 0.997 WHIP. He’s limiting the home runs while allowing fewer than one base runner per inning.
The Giants have won all but two of his 18 starts and each of his last five. Cueto’s thrown 14 of quality starts this year and at least six innings in all but one start, continuously keeping his team in the game.
Perdomo, on the other hand, cannot match any of those numbers.
The 23-year old rookie right-hander is 3-4 with a 7.48 ERA and 1.969 WHIP in 22 games including seven starts. He’s allowing nearly twice the number of base runners per inning as well as over three times the number of homers per nine as Cueto.
Now, Perdomo has been a better starter than reliever, but even starting his numbers are still well above where the Padres want them. In his seven starts, the youngster is 2-3 with a 6.11 ERA and 1.726 WHIP. His strike out numbers, interestingly, go up as a starter.
In general, there’s very little reason to optimistic about this pitching matchup for the Padres, but at least the recent trends makes things a bit less lopsided. Perdomo has thrown three straight quality starts. While he’s just 1-2 in those starts, he’s at least been able to keep his team in the game of late.
The Padres’ offense has been swinging the bat pretty well for quite some time now. Over their last 36 games, they’ve averaged a little over five and a half runs per game and have plated 13 more than the first place Giants since the beginning of June.
Of course, over the course of the full season the Giants still have a nice edge and an OPS 39-points higher, but the offenses over the last month plus have been much closer.
The Padres’ offense has also been a bit healthier—an injury to Jon Jay aside. Still, other than Wil Myers and maybe Yangervis Solarte and Melvin Upton, the San Diego lineup is a bit of a question mark. Matt Kemp has given power, but has a measly .275 OBP, while Brett Wallace, Adam Rosales and Derek Norris have gotten plenty of at bats despite each hitting .213 or worse.
In San Francisco, the lineup is a bit more balanced with Buster Posey, Brandon Belt, and Brandon Crawford—though injuries to Joe Panik, Matt Duffy and Hunter Pence are hindrances. Still, fill in players like Jarrett Parker and Ramiro Pena have been very good when filling in.
Given the offenses have been pretty even for more than a month now, the difference in this game comes down to pitching.
Home field is a nice boost for the Padres, but the Giants are the best team in baseball right now and are winning both at home and on the road. Cueto is the better pitcher and while Perdomo has been better of late, he’s still not likely to give you more than six innings. Look for the Giants to plate a few with Perdomo in the game and more against a dismal Padres defense with Ryan Buchter their only real solid answer in relief.
MLB Odds: Giants 6, Padres 4