College Football Week 10 Odds, Penn State vs. Michigan State Betting Picks

Penn State vs. Michigan State

Penn State vs. Michigan State ATS Picks

By Andrew Ryan

The Penn State Nittany Lions had their hearts ripped out last week at the Horseshoe by Ohio State. They’ve still got a chance to ultimately reach the College Football Playoff this year, but their margin for error is now officially nil. A win over the Michigan State Spartans in East Lansing is an absolute must at this point.

Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Michigan State Spartans
Date and Time: Saturday, November 4, 2017, 12 p.m. ET
Location: Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI
Opening College Football Odds: Penn State -9
Penn State vs. Michigan State TV Coverage: FOX

It’s going to be interesting to see what happens when the first College Football Playoff rankings come out on Tuesday. The Nittany Lions will surely be in the mix after losing by a single point to Ohio State on Saturday at the Horseshoe. That said, Oklahoma beat Ohio State, and the Sooners don’t seem to be getting enough love for that victory. Penn State should theoretically be behind them both, especially since the Nittany Lions don’t have a single notably victory to date outside of the seemingly suspect triumph over Michigan.

Still, this Penn State team is really good. Saquon Barkley was bottled up against the Buckeyes to the tune of just 44 yards on 21 carries, but he showed explosiveness in the running game and the passing game while tossing in a kickoff return for a touchdown that started the game.

That said, these Nittany Lions had over a 97 percent chance of beating Ohio State according to ESPN’s FPI with less than five minutes to play and blew it. It’s going to be really hard to rebound from such a defeat.

Michigan State built National Championship hopes for a hot minute, but after losing in three overtimes at Northwestern on Saturday, all of that is now gone. The Spartans still actually control the Big Ten East if they can win out, but that requires beating Penn State at home this week and Ohio State on the road next week. Good luck with that.

It wasn’t all that shocking to see Sparty go down in Evanston; Michigan State was only -2 in the game. However, to give up 432 yards in the game and let the Wildcats score touchdowns in all three of their overtime periods was something that we didn’t expect to see.

We also didn’t think that Brian Lewerke had a 445-yard passing performance in him. That’s what happens when MSU rushes for just 95 yards on 30 carries, nine carries and 30 yards of which came from Lewerke himself.

Key Stat

21.4 – The percentage of the time Barkley has been stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage this season.

Barkley has evolved into a true home run hitter, but just as he had plenty of problems getting going at times against Ohio State, this could be a huge test against a really good defensive line that has had some moments of real dominance this season.

Barkley is going to get his yards and his scores in all likelihood due to the fact that he’s incredibly tricky to try to bring down when he gets into open spaces, but keep in mind that he was bottled up when PSU needed him the most. Six of Barkley’s last nine runs went for negative yardage against the Bucks.

Penn State vs. Michigan State Free Picks

This is a great spot to back Sparty at your favorite online sportsbook. The game against Northwestern was always a lookahead spot, especially with not just one, but two games against top-10 teams coming up in succession. Sure, that game was lost, but the Spartans probably spent much of their week with their eyes on this game against Penn State.

We suspect the Nittany Lions are going to get a raw deal from the Selection Committee. We think they should be in front of unbeaten teams like Wisconsin and Miami, but we aren’t sure that’s going to be the case. This is a good football team and one that can beat anyone in the nation.

Still, it’s hard to rebound from such an emotional loss, especially with expectations abound that this game will be a blowout. Look for the Spartans to get back to basics and turn this game into a grind. We’re not sure Penn State is going to have the ability to survive if that’s the case.

College Football ATS Pick: Michigan State +9 at BookMaker.eu
College Football Score Prediction: Michigan State 20, Penn State 17

NCAAF Week 9 Odds, Florida Gators vs. Georgia Bulldogs Betting Picks

Florida vs. Georgia ATS Picks

Florida vs. Georgia ATS Picks

By Andrew Ryan

The traditions in the SEC are really like none other, especially this time of year. Right around Halloween every single season, fans from the Sunshine State and the Peach State descend upon Jacksonville for the duel between the Florida Gators and the Georgia Bulldogs. UGA has a chance to really put its foot down on the throats of the rest of the SEC East, but Florida has had a history of being a pain in this game, especially when the Dawgs are favored as they are at all of the top online sportsbooks in this one.

Florida Gators vs. Georgia Bulldogs
Date and Time: Saturday, October 28, 2017, 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
Opening College Football Odds: Georgia -14
Florida vs. Georgia TV Coverage: CBS

It’s good to be a Bulldog right now.

Georgia has started off the year at 7-0, has the SEC East title firmly in its grasp and recently landed the No. 1 recruit in the nation in Justin Fields, a man who will probably be the starting quarterback for the Dawgs in two or three years after redshirting.

Just as Mark Richt deserved a ton of credit for helping put Georgia back on the map, his successor, Kirby Smart deserves the credit for kicking the door down and making this team a relevant club in the College Football Playoff. You’d like to think that UGA is going to be favored in the rest of its games this year outside of perhaps a trip to Jordan-Hare to take on Auburn. Win out in the regular season, and the SEC Championship Game presumably against Alabama might not mean a thing. The SEC is good enough to have two teams in the CFP this year, and the winner of the East and winner of the West could end up fighting it out in the playoff down the line as well.

They said “It’s great to be a Florida Gator” too, but we’re not seeing it at the moment.

Florida has lost consecutive games, is now 3-3, and thanks to losing a game from Hurricane Irma, there’s a real chance this team finishes at 5-6 and isn’t bowl eligible after being ranked in the Top 25 to start the season.

The Gators haven’t scored more than 17 points in any of their three losses this year, and their offense has combined to score just three touchdowns in those three games.

Key Factor

At some point, you have to stop blaming quarterbacks and start blaming coaches. From Treon Harris to Will Grier to Austin Appleby to Luke Del Rio to Malik Zaire to Feleipe Franks… It can’t be possible that all of these men have the exact same problem, right?

Franks is the quarterback du jour at the moment in Gainesville, though as we know, that could change at any given moment. The only reason Franks has a good shot to succeed in this game is because he has two fantastic playmakers in Kadarius Toney and Tyrie Cleveland. These two men are explosive and can stretch the field, and we saw all the problems UGA had stopping the deep pass against Missouri a couple weeks ago.

The difference? Give the Gators three touchdowns, and they’re probably going to win more often than not. Allow three touchdowns to Missouri, and you’re still winning by three or four scores.

Florida vs. Georgia Free Picks

Florida has won 21 of the last 27 games in this series, and though it’s a dog in this one, we have a sense that this defense is going to pull off a big upset in Jacksonville.

If the Gators can force Jake Fromm to put the ball in the air 25-30 times in this one, this could get interesting. We’re not really all that sure if Fromm can really throw the ball or not; we know that he hasn’t had to.

There are just far too many question marks surrounding the Georgia passing game. Parlay that with the Florida dominance in this series over the year, and it’s easy to call this one as an upset.

College Football ATS Pick: Florida +14 at BookMaker.eu
College Football Score Prediction: Florida 24, Georgia 17

NCAAF Week 7 Betting Picks, Villanova vs James Madison Predictions

Villanova at James Madison ATS Picks

Villanova at James Madison ATS Picks

By Adam Markowitz

For the eighth time in College GameDay’s history, the best pregame show in college football is heading to an FCS game. The James Madison Dukes have not dropped a single FCS game since Mike Houston took over the coaching duties for the team last year. James Madison knocked off all the big boys on its way to its second national title in 2016, and has looked untouchable so far this year too. The Villanova Wildcats have the unenviable task of being their opponent this weekend.

Villanova Wildcats at James Madison Dukes
Date and Time: Saturday, October 14, 2017, 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Bridgeforth Stadium, Harrisonburg, Virginia
Week 7 College Football Odds at BookMaker.eu: James Madison -15.5 O/U 43.5
Villanova at James Madison TV Coverage: CSLC, MASN

The Dukes are 5-0 and have beat everyone on their schedule by at least double digits. James Madison cruised to a 20-point victory over FBS East Carolina in its opener, and has only been tested once, two weeks ago in a road trip to Delaware. Quarterback Bryan Schor did not have his best performance and that kept the Blue Hens close.

Mark Ferrante is picking up right where Andy Taylor left off with Villanova. The Wildcats have one of the best defenses in the country once again this season, and have only allowed 28 points over their last four games. This defense was the reason that Villanova almost knocked off Temple earlier in the season, and if the Wildcats are going to keep this one close it will be because of the defense.

Player to Watch

For Villanova, all eyes will be on the player taking snaps under center, redshirt freshman Jack Schetelich. Schetelich was thrust into the spotlight after star quarterback Zach Bednarczyk went down with an injury against Towson. Although the Wildcats have kept winning without Bednarczyk, it hasn’t been because of Schetelich.

Schetelich has been a liability since taking over the job. Ferrante does not trust him to throw the ball much, because when he does disaster strikes far too often. On the year, Schetelich is 8-25 for 120 yards with two touchdowns and five interceptions, and has been sacked six times. It’s hard to put too much blame on a young kid for being put into a situation like this, and it’s a testament to Villanova that it has kept winning with that production.

Matchup to Watch

One of the big things to watch in this game is whether or not James Madison can run the ball on Villanova’s defense. The Dukes are averaging six yards a carry this year and boast one of the most efficient ground games at the FCS level.

However, the ground game has lost some steam without Cardon Johnson. Johnson lit up East Carolina for 265 yards on the ground in the Dukes’ season opener, and the run game hasn’t been as productive without him in the lineup. Trai Sharp and Marcus Marshall have done a decent job, but aren’t as explosive as Johnson.

They will be facing their toughest test so far this season. Villanova has the second-best run defense in the country, allowing just 1.8 yards per carry. The big boys up front have done a great job all year, and have kept this team’s postseason hopes alive.

Villanova at James Madison Free Picks

It’s hard to run on Villanova, but you can throw the ball on this secondary. The unit took a massive hit when it lost Rob Rolle for the season with a torn ACL, and has been vulnerable to good quarterbacks. Lehigh and Temple both found success throwing on this defense and James Madison should be able to do the same thing with Bryan Schor.

Villanova’s defense has thrived on turnovers too. The Wildcats knocked off Maine by forcing six turnovers in a 31-0 rout. James Madison is very good at keeping possession of the football and it’s hard to imagine the Wildcats doing the same against this defense.

This is going to be a long day for Schetelich. James Madison had a bye week last week, and has had ample time to prepare for Villanova. The Wildcats will be lucky to score more than twice against this Dukes defense, and this should be a blowout win for James Madison.

Villanova at James Madison ATS Pick: James Madison -15.5
Villanova at James Madison Score Prediction: James Madison 38 – Villanova 10

Arizona State vs. Stanford Pick Against The Spread, NCAAF Week 5 Odds

Arizona State vs. Stanford ATS Picks

Arizona State vs. Stanford ATS Picks

By Andrew Ryan

David Shaw is one of the best coaches in the country, and that’s why the Stanford Cardinal are never really out of things until they’re out of it. Fresh off of two straight losses, Stanford rallied with a third-string quarterback to destroy UCLA last week. Now comes what should be a much easier task against the Arizona State Sun Devils.

Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Stanford Cardinal
Date and Time: Saturday, September 30, 2017, 4 p.m. ET
Location: Stanford Stadium, Palo Alto, CA
Opening College Football Odds: Stanford -15.5
Arizona State vs. Stanford TV Coverage: Pac-12 Network

Well, that’s much better out of Stanford, isn’t it? On a night when the team allowed almost 600 yards of offense, the Cardinal still got their act together against UCLA thanks to four forced turnovers, a blocked field goal and 263 yards on the ground from Bryce Love to beat the Bruins 58-34.

You hate to say that defense that allowed 595 yards played a “good game” against UCLA, but things are at least coming together in terms of forced turnovers. The Cardinal are disciplined on that side of the ball and are still trying to figure out how to piece it all together this year.

But if Love keeps running like this, he could end up getting his name on the short list when it comes to Heisman Trophy consideration heading into October.

You probably weren’t still awake on Saturday night when Arizona State shocked Oregon 37-35. The Sun Devils had the same sort of problem that Stanford did, as they just flat out couldn’t slow down the Ducks but did just enough offensively to win the game.

The difference is that ASU put together a ridiculous passing performance. N’Keal Harry had seven receptions, 170 yards and a touchdown, while Jalen Harvey hauled in eight balls for 133 yards to help guide the Sun Devils to a big upset and a win that Todd Graham badly needed to take some of the heat off of his rather toasty seat.

Still, for the season, the Sun Devils are just 2-2, and their defense has yet to hold a team under 30 points this year. This doesn’t have a lot of promise to be the first, especially if Love is running wild.

Injury Report

The elephant in the room for Stanford right now revolves around its quarterbacks. We already know that the Cardinal romped UCLA with K.J. Costello surprisingly playing most of the game, but we have to wonder if he can prepare as a starter now that he has clearly supplanted Ryan Burns as the primary backup to Keller Chryst.

Then again, we also have to wonder if it’s going to matter or not. Chryst suffered a head injury and is going to have to clear concussion protocol to play this week. But even if he does, should it matter? Costello went 13-for-19 for 123 yards and two touchdowns and was clearly the best quarterback on the field against a UCLA team that brought in an NFL quarterback to Palo Alto in Josh Rosen.

Arizona State vs. Stanford Free Picks

Arizona State always feels like a skittish team to us. Manny Wilkins can run all over the place and ad lib plays together, but the offense always feels a little bit off-balance.

Stanford is the polar opposite. Even in such a poor defensive performance against UCLA, you always had the feeling that the team wasn’t going to break and knew what it was doing. Just as it was always about trusting in Christian McCaffrey for three years, it’s now about “feeling the Love.” If Stanford keeps doing that, we’re going to have a hard time making a case for a poor Arizona State defense slowing it down.

Even if the Sun Devils do happen to amass 400 or 500 yards in this game, they’re still going to be up against it to beat this number set by all of your favorite internet sportsbooks.

College Football ATS Pick: Stanford -15.5 at BookMaker.eu
College Football Score Prediction: Stanford 47, Arizona State 27

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Indiana Hoosiers Picks, Week 1 College Football Odds

Ohio State vs. Indiana ATS Picks

By Andrew Ryan

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Indiana Hoosiers

The Ohio State Buckeyes are starting to get to the status of the Alabama Crimson Tide. Sure, Nick Saban’s dynasty isn’t set to be tarnished any time in the near future, but Urban Meyer has put together a program that doesn’t know how to rebuild; the Buckeyes merely reload with highly-touted recruits every single season. That’s bad news for the Indiana Hoosiers in the opening Big Ten battle of the 2017 season.

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Indiana Hoosiers

Date and Time: Thursday, August 31, 2017, 8 p.m. ET

Location: Memorial Stadium, Bloomington, IN

Opening College Football Odds: Ohio State -21

Ohio State vs. Indiana TV Coverage: ESPN

When the Buckeyes crashed the College Football Playoff last season as the first ever non-conference winner in the “Final Four,” they arguably arrived a year ahead of schedule. After all, quarterback J.T. Barrett is only just now a senior, and the mass majority of a defense that allowed just 300.2 yards and 15.5 points per game returns.

Mike Weber and Barrett combined to account for 42 touchdowns last season, and they rushed for very nearly 2,000 yards between them. Better will be expected this year, especially with Curtis Samuel now in the NFL.

Sure there are some question marks at wide receiver, but Meyer has never been short of options on the outside on a year in, year out basis, even when things seemed limited.

After years of sitting on a very hot seat, Kevin Wilson finally got the axe last season from Indiana.

The cupboard isn’t nearly bare for Wilson’s replacement, Tom Allen. He’ll be getting back nine starters on the defensive side of the ball.

That said, offense is going to be a big question mark. Richard Lagow is no slam dunk to keep this job this year. He’s a statue in the pocket at times, holds onto the ball far too long and makes questionable decisions. Lagow only went 14-of-28 for 182 yards last year when these teams met. He only threw one interception, but after tossing 17 for the season a campaign ago, it wouldn’t be hard to envision him getting picked off two or three times in this one.

Betting Trends of Note

The Buckeyes have a history of coming out and slaughtering teams like this one in September. Sure, a conference game isn’t what’s normally on tap in Week 1, but OSU is making an exception this year for sure.

The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in openers under Meyer, and most of the games haven’t been anywhere near close. Included in this mix are a 56-10 win over Miami (OH) and most recently, a 77-10 ripping of Bowling Green. The Buckeyes started the year at 4-0 SU and ATS last season before “only” beating this Indiana team by 21 at the Horseshoe against a 28-point spread.

Indiana wasn’t a bad team in the Big Ten last season, though it should be noted that it only covered one of its last four games as an underdog in conference play.

Still, the Hoosiers didn’t lose a single game last year by more than the three TDs Ohio State beat them by, and as we now know, they covered that spread. Indiana’s last loss at home by a margin anywhere near this big? A 56-17 loss to Michigan State in 2014.

Ohio State vs. Indiana Free Picks

You just know that Wilson has an axe to grind with his former team. He’s the new offensive coordinator at Ohio State and should be a good one at that.

This is a defense that Wilson built from the ground up, one that should once again end up being a solid unit. But if there’s a man who should know how to pick that unit apart, it’s Wilson.

All the cards are pointing towards a romp for the Buckeyes in Bloomington. It’s odd for OSU to not open up at the ‘Shoe, but we suspect it isn’t going to make any difference. We’d lay 30 in this game if we were forced to do so. Giving just three touchdowns will look like a steal at halftime, and it’s only going to get worse from there for the hosts.

College Football ATS Pick: Ohio State -21 at BookMaker.eu

College Football Score Prediction: Ohio State 56, Indiana 17