Baseball Predictions, Pirates vs. Rockies Betting Picks

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Series Preview

By Mike Rose

A pair of teams flirting with a spot in the playoffs will partake in a crucial series to kick off the week when the Pittsburgh Pirates invade Coors Field to match wits with the Colorado Rockies. The Buccos likely have no shot to win the NL Central that’s been dominated by both the Cubs and Brewers. The Rockies are in the thick of the NL West race sitting 2 games out as well as 2.5 games out in the wild card chase. Without saying, this is a pivotal series for both clubs for a number of reasons.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies

Dates: Monday, August 6 – Wednesday, August 8, 2018
Location: Coors Field, Denver, CO

The Pirates caught fire following the All-Star break rattling off five straight wins and seven of nine to get the team off life support. Unfortunately, Clint Hurdle’s squad was unable to carry that momentum into the following week after splitting with Chicago at home and following it up with a crucial series loss at home to St. Louis over the weekend. Pittsburgh sits two games under .500 on the road for the season ( $195 ).

Like this series’ opponent, the Rockies bolted out of the gates in the second half taking two of three from the D’backs in the desert and followed it up by taking four of five against the Astros and A’s. all three of those teams are playoff worthy. Then the gas ran out. Nolan Arenado and his mates went on to drop three of four at St. Louis and then followed it up with a terrible series loss at Milwaukee over the weekend. As competitive the NL West is this season, they can’t afford to slip up in this home series.

Game 1 Probable Pitchers – Monday, August 6, 2018, 8:40 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Joe Musgrove vs. Kyle Freeland

Musgrove enters start No. 12 of 2018 the owner of a 4-5 record and nifty 3.63 ERA. He’s proven to be an innings eater for a Buccos starting staff that ranks No. 9 overall in the quality starts department. He’s gone seven innings in four of his last five trips to the starting bump, and each of his two second half starts have been of quality. This will be his first career start against the Rockies and first appearance in Coors.

Every year, there’s a pitcher on the Rockies staff that defies Coors Field logic. That arm this season is none other than Kyle Freeland who stands 6-2 with an impressive 2.45 ERA and .223 BAA in the thin air of the Mile High City. Colorado had won each of his five previous starts until he dropped a decision in St. Louis last Wednesday. The Rockies have won seven of his nine overall home starts, but he’s had issues with the Redbirds in going 0-2 with a 4.76 ERA and .360 BAA through two career starts.

Game 2 Probable Pitchers – Tuesday, August 7, 2018, 8:40 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Jameson Taillon vs. Antonio Senzatela

Taillon leads the team in ERA ( 3.74 ) and WHIP ( 1.22 ), but has only managed to go 8-8 through his 22 overall starts. Injuries have once again plagued the youngster, but he’s been solid since the All-Star break after tossing 19 combined innings of 6 ER ball at the Reds, Indians and Cubs. He’ll be tested in this one with it being his first career start at Coors Field. Pittsburgh’s 6-5 with him leading the way on the road where his ERA checks in at 3.59 and BAA at .255.

Senzatela doesn’t offer up much to get excited about. He’s at best a six inning pitcher and is the owner of a 7.0 K/9 average. That said, he’s been pretty darn good of late in limiting the A’s and Cardinals to a grand total of 2 ER and 10 hits over his last 11.2 innings of work. Colorado has however dropped 10 of his 15 overall appearances and split his six home starts where his 3.00 ERA is a bit unusual. The quality effort he just threw at St. Louis was his first since returning from the DL back on July 3.
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Game 2 Probable Pitchers – Wednesday, August 8, 2018, 3:10 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Chris Archer vs. German Marquez

Archer’s first go round as a member of the Pirates was ugly to say the least. The righty was torched for seven hits and five runs ( 4 ER ) through 4.1 innings in his PNC Park debut against the Cardinals. The effort snapped a string of two straight quality efforts he threw for Tampa bay before being shipped off to the National League. He’s made one career start at Coors Field and impressed in doing so logging six innings of four hit and 2 ER ball, but that occurred back in 2016.

Marquez is no doubt the unheralded arm in Colorado’s starting rotation. The righty stands 9-8 with a 4.70 ERA and 1.35 WHIP through 22 starts, but has pitched much better than that of late. Since getting pummeled over the course of June, Senzatela has logged five quality starts through six tries. The lone blowup outing in Arizona really screwed up his peripherals. He enters start No. 23 in fine form, and has dominated Pittsburgh over the course of his career in going 3-0 with a 2.50 ERA, 0.78 WHIP and .105 BAA through three starts.

Nationals vs. Brewers Betting Predictions, Baseball Odds

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Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers Baseball Betting Picks

By Mike Rose

The Milwaukee Brewers have to be sick to their stomachs right now. Ten days ago, Craig Counsell’s squad held a decent sized lead over the Cubs for the top spot in the division. After dropping eight of their last 10 ball games, the Brew Crew finds itself 3.5 games back and falling fast. The Washington Nationals simply just haven’t been able to turn on the jets against the MLB odds. They’re running out of time. Maybe Bryce Harper and company are simply just better on paper. Either way, this is as crucial a series as it gets for both clubs with wild card ramifications abundant.

Washington National at Milwaukee Brewers
Date and Time: Tuesday, July 24, 2018, 8:10 p.m. ET
Location: Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
MLB Odds: Check Back Later
Probable Pitchers: Jeremy Hellickson vs. Junior Guerra
Nationals at Brewers TV Coverage: MLB Network

The Nationals went into the All-Star break not feeling the greatest about themselves after dropping two of three at the Pirates and only managing to follow it up with a four game split against the last place Mets. It’s crazy to think just how badly this team has failed to live up to expectations. They were expected to be the runaway winners of the NL East this season. Instead, this veteran club has spun its wheels while younger squads like the Braves and Phillies have had their way with them.

Maybe Dusty Baker wasn’t the problem after all? It’s highly possible someone in the locker room is a cancer. If that’s the case, that due has got to go! There’s simply just way too much talent in D.C. for the Nats to be flirting with a .500 record at this point of the season. Maybe they get back on track here on the road against a scuffling Milwaukee squad considering they’re 26-24 as visitors ( -$217 ).

Brewers’ fans have seen this story play out before. Actually, it’s still fresh in their memory banks after watching their beloved team crack like China dolls the final month of last season. In doing so, the Brewers missed out on postseason play even though they sat atop the NL Central standings a bulk of the season. You’d think they would’ve learned from their mistakes, but right now, that’s simply not the case.

After dropping all five games at PNC Park leading up to the break, Christian Yelich and his mates were just dominated at home by what’s considered to be one of the odds on favorites to win the National League in the Los Angeles Dodgers. Most disparaging was the fact that the series defeat took place in the comforts of their own house where they entered the series 12 games over .500 and up over $1K for baseball bettors. As well as Chicago is playing right now, they better figure it out before their 3.5 game deficit turns into seven!

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The Brewers have held the upper hand in the recent rivalry with Washington by winning six of the last 10 overall meetings. The pitching staffs dominated the proceedings with the under cashing at a 6-3-1 clip. As a host, Milwaukee has also thrived having taken five of the last seven confrontations at Miller Park dating back to 2016. The under is 4-0-1 the last five times these clubs squared off in Milwaukee.

There are some conflicting betting trends to take not of however. Washington has thrived against the NL Central this season in going 8-2, but stands a bankroll killing 4-12 in its last 16 road tilts entering the series. Milwaukee has come out on top seven of the last nine times it hosted a +.500 road team, but again, is dealing with some bothersome injuries and played .200 ball over its last 10 skirmishes.
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Nationals at Brewers Picks

This is an extremely tough series to want to get involved with. The Nats are losers in my book and it doesn’t look like their fortunes will be changing any time soon. Milwaukee is snake bitten right now, and only the baseball gods know when they’ll finally snap out of their funk. Making this matchup all the more tougher to wager upon on the baseball betting odds is the fact that Junior Guerra will be returning from the DL to make the start for the home team. Jeremy Hellickson gets the nod for the visitors. He was great in his two starts leading up to the break after tossing 11 innings of 1 ER ball combined, but I’m simply not a believer. While he’s done a nice job for the Nats this season, Guerra brings in the better overall body of work. He’s been his best at home where he’s only conceded 48 hits through 60 innings, and because of it, I’m willing to pay to see him finally lead the Brewers to a must-have feel good triumph.

MLB Pick: Bet the Brewers at BookMaker.eu
MLB Score Prediction: Milwaukee 6 – Washington 2

 

Baseball Betting Picks, Braves vs. Nationals Predictions

Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Odds

Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Series Preview

By Mike Rose

Both the Atlanta Braves and Washington Nationals went into the All-Star break trailing the Philadelphia Phillies for NL East honors by a half game and 5.5 games respectively. The Nats figured to be the team to coast to the division pennant at the outset of the season. If they’re to live up to expectations, at the very least a series win over one of the teams ahead of them in the standings is a must! They got two of their aces going, so it’s hardly a shock to see them the decisive chalk to win this three-game set.

Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals
Dates:
Friday, July 20 – Sunday, July 22, 2018
Location:
Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.

For all intents and purposes, the Braves are ahead of schedule. Not many predicted Brian Snitker’s team to be a factor in the NL East this season, but alas, they’re right in the thick of it. At 10 games over the breakeven point heading into Friday night’s series opener, Atlanta checks in as the fourth most lucrative bet in all of baseball ( $1208 ). They’re 27-22 on the road which has amounted to a solid $1065 return on investment.

It’s quite a different story in our nation’s capital where the Nationals have largely disappointed through better than half of their regular season docket. Dave Martinez has some work to do in their next 66 games if Bryce Harper and company are to live up to expectations. Though currently in third place of the division, Washington checks in with the second shortest odds to win the division ( +194 ) behind the Phillies ( +149 ).

Game 1 Probable Pitchers – Friday, July 20, 2018, 7:05 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Anibal Sanchez vs. Stephen Strasburg

The veteran right-hander has found new life in the National League. After throwing nothing short of batting practice against AL bats his last three seasons in Detroit, Sanchez has rediscovered how to get opposing bats out. He’ll enter start No. 12 the owner of a 4-2 record and nifty 2.60 ERA. Opponents are only batting .204 against him to date, and he’s yet to allow an earned run in 10 innings thrown at the Nats this season.

Strasburg has proven to be a China doll year in and year out. This season has unfortunately once again been the case. Be that as it may, the righty is one of the best in the game when healthy and firing on all cylinders. This will be his first start in over a month since going on the DL due to shoulder inflammation. Before hitting the shelf, he went 6-6 with a 3.46 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. The Nationals only won two of his seven home starts, but he’s handled Atlanta’s offense with ease limiting Freddie Freeman and company to a .189 BAA and 3 ER over 14.2 innings.

Game 2 Probable Pitchers – Saturday, July 21, 2018, 7:05 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Sean Newcomb vs. Gio Gonzalez

Newcomb was arguably the Braves best starting pitcher through the month of June. Then July hit and the feces hit the fan. In his three made starts before the All-Star break, the lefty is 0-3 with a bloated 9.75 ERA and 2.00 WHIP. He failed to pitch through the sixth inning in each, and didn’t make it through the fourth twice. Though the Nationals have struggled against lefties, he’s had issues with them in going 1-1 with a 5.56 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. This will be his second career start in D.C. He got rocked for 4 ER through four innings in the first.

Though not as dominant as he was a season ago, Gio Gonzalez continues to be the steady anchor that holds down the Nationals starting rotation. No, he doesn’t have the wipeout stuff of Scherzer or Strasburg, but he’s an innings eater and gets the job done more times than not. Relegated to more or less a six inning pitcher, only 36.8 percent of his starts have been of quality. He’s been his best at home where he sports a 3-2 record and 3.09 ERA, and took a no decision versus Atlanta earlier this season after tossing seven innings of 3 ER ball.

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Game 3 Probable Pitchers – Sunday, July 22, 2018, 1:35 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Mike Foltynewicz vs. Max Scherzer

With a 2.66 ERA and a 10.6 K/9 average, Folty has been the Braves staff ace. Unfortunately, his 7-5 record doesn’t state as such, but that has more to do with the 4.4 runs per start he’s received from the offense. Still, he needs to work on his longevity evidenced by a 27.8 quality start percentage. The Braves stand 4-5 in his nine road starts where his ERA falls to 2.54 over 49.2 innings. None of his last six starts have been of quality, but he’s been hard on the Nats through three starts to date in allowing only 3 ER with a 22:5 K/BB ratio over 19.1 innings. He tossed a complete game shutout last time he opposed them back on June 1.

What else can you say about Mad max that hasn’t already been said. He’s without a doubt one of the best starting pitchers in the game, and that won’t change in Sunday’s finale when he toes the bump for the 21st time this season. He’ll be out to snag win No. 13 in this one against a Braves offense he’s limited to just right hits and 2 ER through 14 innings over a pair of starts. Lifetime against Atlanta, Scherzer stands 8-6 with a 3.61 ERA and .254 BAA over 17 starts. Washington’s won seven of his 10 made home starts where he’s only given up 20 ER through 70+ innings of work.

Baseball MLB Betting Odds, Nationals vs. Mets Predictions

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MLB Betting Picks, Nationals vs. Mets Lines

By Mike Rose

Is there a more disappointing team in the National League than the Washington Nationals? This is a team that was predicted to have a cakewalk journey to the NL East pennant and partake in the playoffs a third straight season. As the regular season nears the All-Star break, that just hasn’t been the case. The team hasn’t been able to get in a groove all season. After dropping the opener in Pittsburgh, Dave Martinez’s squad will look to put their best foot forward in Thursday night’s opener against the New York Mets.

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets
Date and Time: Thursday, July 12, 2018, 7:10 p.m. ET
Location: Citi Field, Queens, NY
MLB Odds: Check Back Later
Probable Pitchers: Max Scherzer vs. Steven Matz
Nationals vs. Mets TV Coverage: Local TV

After taking three of four at home against the wretched Miami Marlins, MLB bettors figured the Nats would hit the road for the ‘Burgh intending on closing the final week of the first week of the season on a high. Not so fast my friend! As small road chalk, Washington only managed top score three runs even though it outhit the Buccos 10-8 to fall by a 6-3 final count.

The defeat dropped Bryce Harper and his mates to a 23-21 on the road where they’ve lost $65 for the season. They have two games remaining at PNC park to pull even, so it’s possible they invade Queens a .500 road team with Hellickson coming of the DL Tuesday and Gio Gonzalez throwing in Thursday’s finale. The Nats have won seven of their last 10 visits to Citi Field.

The New York Mets are nothing more than a dark comedy these days. A complete overhaul of the coaching staff has done nothing to change the direction of this defunct franchise. The injury bug has remained camped outside the ball park with a number of major contributors unable to make an impact this season.

Included in the list of the walking wounded are Noah Syndergaard – big surprise – Yoenis Cespedes – shocking – Todd Frazier, Jay Bruce, Juan Lagares and Travis d’Arnaud. This has forced Mickey Callaway to put together a skeleton crew lineup each and every day the team takes to the playing field. In doing so, the Mets offense unsurprisingly ranks amongst the worst in the league in a number of pertinent statistical categories. After splitting a doubleheader with the Phillies on Monday, New York sits 13 games under .500 as a host ( -$1612 ).

Key Player

Max Scherzer – Mas Max leads the Nats’ pitching staff in ERA ( 2.33 ), wins ( 11 ) and WHIP ( 0.89 ). You’d think Washington would be golden every time he takes to the starting bump, but that hasn’t been the case. Especially recently with the Nationals only coming out on top in two of his last six starts. With nearly 85 percent of his starts being of quality, he’s going to be installed a heavy chalk to lead the visitors to a road win in this spot. Though he hasn’t thrown at the Mets this season, he went 3-1 with a 3.21 ERA and .210 BAA over four starts last season. Lifetime at Citi Field, the righty stands 6-2 with a 1.76 ERA and miniscule 0.78 WHIP. He’s going to have some fun in this one!
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Nationals vs. Mets Picks

At one point in time, Steven Matz was considered to be an up and coming future star of the league. That was before he was forced to go under the knife. Since then, the lefty just hasn’t been able to return to his dominant self. While he enters start No. 18 4-6 with a 3.31 ERA and 1.23 WHIP, he’s only registered 81 Ks through his near 90 innings of work. He’s been at his worst at home where his ERA jumps up to 4.17, and served up 11 of his 13 home runs in that ball park. That said, Washington checks in just 9-18 versus southpaws of whom they’ve averaged less than 4.0 runs per game against. Matz has logged nine innings against the Nats this season and only surrendered 3 ER in a pair of no decisions. New York just might be worth taking a stab on the MLB betting odds at a big dog price, but I’ll got the safer route and look for Scherzer and Matz to shine in a pitcher’s duel.

MLB Pick: Bet the Under at BookMaker.eu

MLB Score Prediction: New York 3 – Washington 2

MLB Baseball Betting Picks, Dodgers vs. Cubs Predictions

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs Series MLB Betting Preview

By Mike Rose

Off a near sweep of the Cardinals in St. Louis, the Chicago Cubs return home to the “Friendly Confines” of Wrigley Field in search of a second straight series win. Up next on the docket will be the Los Angeles Dodgers outfit that took them out behind the woodshed and served up a good ‘ol fashioned beating when the teams last met in last year’s NLCS. LA has held the upper hand of the recent rivalry in winning eight of the last 10 meetings with all but two of those games combining for low scorers.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs
Dates: Monday, June 18 – Wednesday, June 20, 2018
Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL

Dave Roberts’ squad got out to a wretched start to their 2018 campaign, but since the calendar turned to the month of June, Los Angeles is playing like the team many envisioned at the outset of the season. In winning 11 of their 14 June games ( $655 ), the Dodgers enter this series to be held in Wrigleyville only 1.5 games in back of the front running Arizona Diamondbacks. That deficit was close to 10 only a short month ago!

Chicago had a shot to take over sole possession of the NL Central lead on Sunday night, but came up short in yet another shutout. Putting zero runs on the board is something Joe Maddon’s troops have done a bunch over the last week. Of their six played games against Milwaukee and St. Louis, they were shut out three times! That said, Anthony Rizzo and his mates combined for 26 runs in the other three.

Game 1 Probable Pitchers – Monday, June 18, 2018, 8:05 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Kenta Maeda vs. Tyler Chatwood

The book on Maeda has been easy to read this season. Back him in Chavez Ravine and fade him till the cows come home when toeing the visitor’s bump. Within Dodger Stadium, the righty checks in 2-3 with a 3.41 ERA. When on the road, his ERA jumps up to 3.86 and ground ball to fly ball ratio down to 1.62. Those numbers would be even worse if his last four road starts didn’t take place in Miami, San Diego, San Francisco and San Diego again. He owns a lifetime 4.44 ERA on the road and has never pitched at Wrigley Field in hot weather. Chicago’s sticks should eat Monday night.

Regardless of whether the Cubs offense gets going once again, they might need to hang a crooked number on the board just to come out on top with Chatwood on the bump. The righty has been a huge disappointment since being signed as a free agent this past offseason. He’s 3-5 against the MLB betting odds with a 4.12 ERA and .233 BAA. Not terrible. However, his numbers would be so much better if he could figure out a way not to issue free passes. Chatwood’s walked and struck out 58 batters through 63.1 innings – that’s an 8.2 BB/9 people! How the over has only cashed in seven of his 12 starts is beyond me.

Game 2 Probable Pitchers – Tuesday, June 19, 2018, 8:05 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Rich Hill vs. Mike Montgomery

Hill is set to come off the DL for this start, again. The veteran has been on and off the designated list all season. When healthy, he’s been nothing to write home about in going 1-2 with a 6.20 ERA and .303 BAA. In other words, he wasn’t missing bats evidenced by the 30 hits allowed through 24.2 innings. Though he registered better than a K per inning, he also issued 13 walks. The lefty last took to the starting bump back on May 19, and the last thing a rusty arm wants to see right out of the chute is an offense that leads the league in runs scored per game against southpaws ( 6.4 ).

Montgomery is making it known that he deserves a spot in the Cubs starting rotation. The spot starter/long man has been nothing short of a godsend for Maddon since Yu Darvish hit the DL. In his four starts made since, Montgomery has conceded a grand total of 13 hits and 3 ER with as K/BB ratio of 14:3 through 23.2 innings. He came one out away from throwing a quality start in each outing! He haw however had a rough go of it versus LA evidenced by his career 4.15 ERA and 1.62 WHIP.

Game 3 Probable Pitchers – Wednesday, June 20, 2018, 2:20 p.m. ET ( MLB Network )

Ross Stripling vs. Jon Lester

Like Montgomery for Chicago, Stripling has been the same type of saving grace for Los Angeles. The righty is 6-1 with a miniscule 1.76 ERA and opponents are only batting .224 against him. Since getting blown up in his first start after getting yanked from the pen due to Clayton Kershaw’s injury, Stripling has tallied quality starts in five of his eight made starts. He allowed two or less ER in each of them, and the Dodgers have come out on the right side of the scoreboard in each of his last six made starts.

Aces gonna ace! Lester has a down 2017 season. Some might say he was simply hungover and fatigued from the Cubs championship run the year prior. That’s not the case in 2018. The lefty has far and away been the best arm within Chicago’s rotation in going 8-2 with a 2.28 ERA and .207 BAA. Though 17-7 versus left-handers, Los Angeles has only plated an average of 4.0 runs per game against southpaws. He owns a 3.89 ERA and .220 BAA lifetime against the Dodgers, and the Cubs have won five of his six home starts. The finale of this series should play out to an excellent pitcher’s duel.Baseball Betting Picks