Baseball Betting Predictions, Astros vs Indians Lines

MLB Baseball Odds

Astros at Indians Picks

By Mike Rose

A possible ALCS showdown is set to go down on FOX Saturday night when the American League behemoth Houston Astros and Cleveland Indians lock horns in the third game of their extended weekend series. A doozy of a pitching rematch is set to go down with Lance McCullers Jr. set to square off against Carlos Carrasco. The righties went at one another last Sunday night in a game the Astros pulled out by a 3-1 final count. Runs could be tough to come by in this one as well.

Houston Astros at Cleveland Indians
Date and Time: Saturday, April 26, 2018, 7:15 p.m. ET
Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
MLB Odds: Check Back Later
Probable Pitchers: Lance McCullers Jr. vs. Carlos Carrasco
Astros at Indians TV Coverage: FOX

The Astros are one of four teams in all of baseball to have amassed 30+ wins at this point of the season. A.J. Hinch and his staff have done a tremendous job keeping their club level headed so as to not suffer a World Series hangover like many other clubs did before them. Especially with the pennant the first in franchise history.

Houston entered Thursday’s series opener winners of five straight series since dropping two of three to the them smoking hot Arizona Diamondbacks at the beginning of May. The club has gotten to this point by way of owning the best pitching staff in the game that’s backed by an offense that ranks top 10 in runs scored per game ( 4.7 ), batting average ( .256 ) and OPS ( .740 ). Even with the team favored heavily in just about every game, it’s still managed to produce $91 in baseball betting profit!

This season has been a struggle for the Tribe. Terry Francona’s squad did however just secure its first series win in three tries by going into Wrigley Field and taking two straight from the feast or famine Cubs. Maybe the feel good wins will propel this team into playing like the team many envisioned at the outset of the season. Regardless, Cleveland only sits a single game over .500 for the season which has seen them cost baseball bettors nearly $1K of their bankrolls.

The issue has been an offense that doesn’t hit for average ( .247 ) and a defense that’s committed a whopping 29 errors ( No. 18 ). On top of that, the bullpen has been a disgrace with it collectively pitching to an ugly 5.65 ERA. However, Andrew Miller looks to be healthy now and he just came up with his biggest hold to date keeping Chicago scoreless in the 8th inning even though they had runners on first and third with no outs. Him pulling through there could get their beleaguered unit back on track.

Pitching Matchup

Lance McCullers Jr. –McCullers was lights out against the Tribe last time out in Houston. He limited Edwin Encarnacion and company to just one hit and no earned runs through seven innings to log his team-leading sixth win of the season. He also registered 8 Ks! Though Houston has won four of his six road starts, his ERA jumps up to 4.36 as opposed to a nifty 1.73 when at home. He’s 1-1 with a 3.75 ERA and .045 BAA lifetime against Cleveland, but got lit up in his only career start at Progressive Field.

Carlos Carrasco –Carrasco was the tough-luck loser in last Sunday night’s matchup with the Astros. Cleveland’s No. 2 arm tossed 7.2 innings of 3 ER ball to log a third straight quality start. He also tallied 6 Ks and enters start No. 11 with a 63:14 K/BB ratio. Cleveland has split his four home starts where he’s thrown to an unsightly 5.01 ERA and .250 BAA. That said, he’s 3-2 with a 2.83 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and .285 BAA in six career starts against the Astros.
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Astros at Indians Picks

You can have your NBA and NHL Playoffs. I simply can’t wait to take this installment of ESPN Sunday Night Baseball in after getting a taste of this exact pitching matchup only a short week ago. We were all over the home team last Sunday, and that will once again be the case in this revenge bout. Carrasco’s home/away splits are a bit disturbing, but so too are McCullers. I honestly foresee the Tribe blowing him up this time around, and because of it, I’ll be laying the price with Cleveland the baseball betting lines at the top-5 online sportsbooks on both the moneyline and run-line. Look for Carrasco to go deep and get plenty of run support to allow Miller and Cody Reed to seal the deal.

MLB Pick: Bet the Indians at BookMaker.eu
MLB Score Prediction: Cleveland 9 – Houston 2

Baseball Betting Predictions, Indians vs. Astros Lines

MLB Odds

Indians at Astros Picks

By Mike Rose

The seventh week of the 2018 baseball betting season closes out with a gem when Carlos Carrasco and the Cleveland Indians square off against Lance McCullers Jr. and the Houston Astros on ESPN Sunday Night Baseball. This series has recently been dominated by the Tribe who’ve taken each of the last five meetings as well as seven of the last 10 heading into Friday’s series opener. The under holds a negligible advantage cashing at a 5-4-1 clip.

Cleveland Indians at Houston Astros
Date and Time: Sunday, May 20, 2018, 8 p.m. ET
Location: Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
MLB Odds: Check Back Later
Probable Pitchers: Carlos Carrasco vs. Lance McCullers Jr.
Indians at Astros TV Coverage: ESPN

Let’s face it folks, the AL Central stinks. It’s arguably the least competitive division in all of baseball with no team the owner of a +.500 record entering play on Thursday. That said, the Indians are the cream of the crop having split its first 42 games which has equated to an ugly $1100 deficit for baseball bettors.

Most bothersome is the team’s record away from Progressive Field where its managed only eight wins through 20 tries ( -$861 ). While the offense leads the league in home runs ( 64 ) and has amassed 28 quality starts ( No. 2 ), the bullpen ( No. 30 ) and defense ( #24 ) has left much to be desired. That in large part is why losing clubs like Minnesota and Detroit are hot on their trail for the division lead.

No other team has amasses more wins than the World Series favorite Houston Astros who stood 28-17 heading into Friday’s series opener. Unlike the Cubs last season, Jose Altuve and company haven’t experienced any sort of hangover after winning the franchise its first championship ever a short season ago.

While it sits 11 games over the breakeven point, it’s still cost those attacking the MLB betting lines $201 overall this season. That’s going to happen when you’re installed favorites by the oddsmakers in all but one of your 45 lined games. Though the squad has logged $581 in profit on the road, it’s cost those that backed them at home over $780 overall. Unsurprisingly, they’ll be installed chalk to win this matchup as well.

Player to Watch

Carlos Carrasco – The Tribe’s No. 2 hurler has thrived away from Progressive Field this season in pitching to a 3-1 record and 2.78 ERA. Though he’s 2-1 at home, his ERA is nearly 3.0 runs higher there. For some reason, he’s been more comfortable in hostile than accepting territory. On top of that, he’s excelled versus the Astros in his career pitching to a 3-1 record, 2.67 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. Houston is batting .218 against him lifetime. He’s made a pair of career starts at Minute Maid Park and won each by throwing shutout ball and only five hits through his 15.1 total innings of work. Each of his last four road starts have been of quality.
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Indians at Astros Picks

As much as I don’t want to get in front of the Houston Astros, they’ve been more susceptible to defeats at home. You seriously never know what you’re going to get whenever McCullers takes to the starting bump. He can give you seven shutout innings with 10 Ks, or he can depart before the fifth with an ugly stat line. His inconsistency has me leaning towards the Tribe in this spot with Carrasco leading the charge. He’s been unbeatable in this ball park, and been at his best on the road. Add Cleveland’s recent dominance of the rivalry into the equation, and there’s no way I can avoid backing the visitors at top-rated sportsbooks. Especially if receiving a plus-money return by linemakers!

MLB Pick: Bet the Indians at BookMaker.eu
MLB Score Prediction: Cleveland 6 – Houston 3

MLB Baseball Odds, Twins vs Cardinals Betting Predictions

Twins at Cardinals Picks

By Mike Rose

Interleague play gets the ESPN Monday Night Baseball treatment when Paul Molitor’s Minnesota Twins invades Busch Stadium for an abbreviated two-game series with the St. Louis Cardinals. These franchises last crossed paths back in 2015 when the Redbirds went into the Twin Cities and got the brooms busted out on them by the Twinkies at Target Field. Both meetings combined for low scorers pushing the under to a lucrative 9-0 in the team’s last nine skirmishes.

Minnesota Twins at St. Louis Cardinals
Date and Time: Monday, May 7, 2018, 8 p.m. ET
Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
MLB Odds: Check Back Later
Probable Pitchers: Fernando Romero vs. Carlos Martinez
Twins at Cardinals TV Coverage: ESPN

The Twins got out to a semi-decent start to their 2018 campaign by rattling off wins in eight of their first 13 games. Then they went on to drop eight straight games and completely fell off the mat. Since snapping the losing streak, they’ve managed just one win in their last four tries. Overall, the Twins have proven to be one of the bigger money burners in the league costing MLB bettors upwards of $700 overall.

A bulk of that deficit has been incurred on the road where Eddie Rosario and his mates have secured just three wins through 12 tries ( -$591 ). This is a team that ranks No. 20 in the league in scoring runs ( 4.1 RPG ) and has produced the fewest quality starts ( 8 ). On top of all that, the bullpen sports a sickening 5.93 ERA while the defense has committed 17 errors ( No. 16 ). This team has no doubt taken a step backwards through the first five weeks after qualifying for the play-in game a short season ago.

Since dropping two of three to the Brewers back on April 11, the Cardinals have been one of the hottest teams in the league. Yadier Molina and his mates have rattled off wins in 11 of their last 17 opportunities. In doing so, they currently sit a half game in back of the Brewers for the NL Central lead and rank out as the twelfth most lucrative team to wager on in baseball ( $225 ).

However, nothing about this team jumps off the page when you break it down statistically. The offense is league average in scoring 4.6 runs per game while batting .235 overall ( No. 24 ). The pitching staff has thrown to the No. 4 ranked ERA ( 3.32 ) and amassed 14 quality starts, but the defense is below average in fielding percentage and I’m not sure you can trust the bullpen entirely regardless of Bud Norris currently in good form. Still, the team has protected its house in winning nine of 14 in front of the hometown faithful ( $167 ), and gets the advantage of playing there in the series opener.

Pitching Matchup

Fernando Romero –The youngster impressed in his 2018 debut by tossing 5.2 innings of shutout baseball at the Toronto Blue jays to log his first career win in the big leagues. Though he issued a trio of free passes, he also racked up 5five strikeouts. He’s proven to be a reliable strikeout pitcher at all levels, but will have his work cut out for him in this spot versus a Cardinals lineup that’s been the tenth toughest lineup to punch out. He does have the advantage of St. Louis hitting lefties better than righties.

Carlos Martinez – C-Mart is starting to once again pitch like the ace Mike Matheny had hoped for last season. He’ll enter his eighth start of the year 3-1 with a miniscule 1.40 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. Though his BB/9 average sits at 3.8, he’s offset the free passes by racking up 45 strikeouts in 45 total innings of work. Like his offense, Minnesota has been average against right-handed pitching ( No. 17 ). He’s been nearly untouchable at home where his ERA falls to 1.07 and BAA to .205. St. Louis has won all four of his home starts, and he’s only conceded 2 ER in his last three starts.

Baseball Betting Picks

Twins at Cardinals Picks

As much as I want to believe Minnesota has what it takes to take down the Cardinals ace, I just don’t see it happening. Pitching at home against Toronto is a much different scenario than tossing in hostile Busch in your very first road test at the MLB level. That’s something I don’t foresee Romero conquering in this spot. He looks to be a viable arm that will give Molitor and his staff solid innings down the road, but he’s simply not prepared for this challenge. All things being equal, Minnesota’s only shot of beating the MLB betting lines at the best online sportsbooks would be if St. Louis suffers a major letdown after taking on the Cubs the previous three days. While that’s entirely possible, I’m not willing to bank on it.

MLB Pick: Bet the Cardinals at BookMaker.eu
MLB Score Prediction: St. Louis 8 – Minnesota 2

Indians vs Orioles Predictions, Baseball Betting Picks

Baseball Betting Picks

Indians at Orioles Picks

By Mike Rose

After earning a split with the AL Central leading Twins in Puerto Rico, the Cleveland Indians will look to gain some ground in Game 2 of their weekend set with the hapless Baltimore Orioles. The O’s have gotten out to a wretched start to their 2018 campaign managing just five wins through 19 overall tries. One has to wonder just how much hotter the seat can get under Buck Showalter before a change is in order.

Cleveland Indians at Baltimore Orioles
Date and Time: Saturday, April 21, 2018, 4:05 p.m. ET
Location: Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
MLB Odds: Check Back Later
Probable Pitchers: Mike Clevinger vs. Chris Tillman
Indians at Orioles TV Coverage: FS1

The Tribe’s offense continues to flounder. That was eerily apparent in their 2-1 sixteen inning loss to the Twins on Wednesday that prevented them from surpassing Minnesota in the standings. Though the club enters this series averaging 5.0 runs over its last five games, it gets chopped down to just 3.5 runs over their last 10. None of Francisco Lindor, Jose Ramirez or Edwin Encarnacion is currently batting their weight.

Thankfully, Terry Francona has gotten a huge boost from his pitching staff. If not, the Tribe would no doubt be hanging out at the bottom of the league standings instead of second place. The staff ranks No. 2 in the quality starts department with 10, while the bullpen checks in at No. 6 with a 2.79 ERA. MLB bettors are still waiting for it to all fall into place.

If things have been bad in Cleveland and the Indians still sit a couple games over the breakeven point, words simply can’t describe what’s going on in Baltimore right now. Save for Manny Machado and to an extent Try Mancini, the Orioles are getting next to nothing from the offense right now. It’s scored three runs or less in six of its last 10 games and ranks No. 27 overall with a .223 batting average.

Unlike today’s opponent, the Orioles are also getting next to nothing from their pitching staff. Dylan Bundy and Andrew Cashner have been reliable, but it’s been nothing short of ugly after that. Baltimore ranks No. 26 in staff ERA ( 5.11 ), No. 29 in WHIP ( 1.57 ) and below league average in strikeouts. Add to the mix a bullpen ERA of 4.72 ( No. 23 ), and it’s clearly apparent the team is struggling in most facets of the game.

Key Stat

13 –Unlucky No. 13 is the amount of errors Baltimore’s defense has committed through its first 19 games. No Bueno! Along with failing to hit for an above average batting average and having next to nothing to rely upon on the bump, the O’s are also making their pitcher’s jobs that much harder by booting balls in the field. This only adds insult to injury for a team that’s only won back-to-back games once this season, and sports an embarrassing 2-4 record ( -$224 ) in front of the hometown faithful.

Baseball Betting Picks

Indians at Orioles Picks

The Tribe made a mockery of this AL rivalry a short season ago in winning six of the seven overall meetings. With Chris Tillman getting the starting nod in this one, Cleveland is going to be in an excellent position to improve upon that gaudy record. The O’s veteran has been peppered relentlessly each of the last two seasons. He enters this tilt 0-3 with a bloated 11.91 ERA and allowed at least 4 ER in his three made starts. Mike Clevinger hasn’t excelled like his fantasy owners would’ve liked, but at least he’s been reliable in allowing just 5 ER over 19.2 innings of work. I don’t foresee it getting any better for the home team in this matchup. Cleveland is by far the better of the two ball clubs, and I thoroughly expect them to show that throughout this series on the MLB betting lines at top online sportsbooks.

MLB Pick: Bet the Indians at BookMaker.eu
MLB Score Prediction: Cleveland 8 – Baltimore 3

 

MLB Baseball Odds, Orioles vs Red Sox Predictions

MLB Baseball Odds

Orioles at Red Sox Picks

By Mike Rose

The Boston Red Sox are flying high right now having gotten out to a 10-2 start and taking two of three from the hated New York Yankees before their weekend series with the Baltimore Orioles. It’s all set to close out on Monday afternoon when the BoSox host the o’s at Fenway Park on Patriots Day. These teams last met on this day back on April 20, 2009. The Red Sox won that game and stand 4-1 against the division rivals on this holiday for the state of Massachusetts and Maine.

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox
Date and Time: Monday, April 16, 2018, 11:05 a.m. ET
Location: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
MLB Odds: Check Back Later
Probable Pitchers: Andrew Cashner vs. Brian Johnson
Orioles at Red Sox TV Coverage: MLB Network

How do you go into the Bronx and take three of four from the Yankees and follow it up by dropping a three game series to the Blue Jays? That’s exactly what Buck Showalter’s squad managed to do, and it looks to only be a sign of the times for this struggling franchise. Once Manny Machado is shipped to another team later this season, this team is going to take a major nosedive.

There simply isn’t much to get excited about when it comes to the Orioles. The starting staff has managed to produce the fifth most quality starts in the league, but the fun stops there. The offense has been a flat out joke! Machado is the only bat hitting better than .300. Chris Davis continues to be a strikeout machine and has only gone yard once. Jonathan Schoop is marred in a huge slump. Adam Jones is a shell of his former self. The list goes on and on. Bottom line, the Orioles offense can’t hit its way out of a paper bag right now.

It’s a much different story in Boston right now with the Red Sox getting out to the second best record in the league. In winning 10 of its 12 played games, Boston has lined those that backed them on the baseball betting odds a cool $743 return on their investment. Not bad for a squad that’s gone off the betting board favored in all but two of their played games.

The club has gotten it done both at the plate, on the mound and in the field. Mookie Betts and company are averaging 5.8 runs per game ( No. 3 ) while batting .259 overall ( No. 4 ). The starting staff has produced the second most quality starts ( 7 ), and owns a staff ERA of 3.08. On top of all that, the defense has only committed a grand total of three errors. Add it all up together, and it equals the hottest team the AL has to offer.

Injuries

Trey Mancini –The second year utility player has gotten out to a rough start to the season after shining in his rookie debut. Showalter batting him all over the order hasn’t done him any favors. Regardless, his status for this series is listed as questionable after he took a pitch off his hand. Mancini was actually batting lead-off for a couple games before getting injured. It will be interesting to see the Orioles lineup should he be forced to miss.

Hanley Ramirez – Xander Bogaerts going down with broken bone in his ankle hurt. Especially with the fifth year player getting out to such a hot start. Unfortunately, Han-Ram could likely be headed to the DL as well after taking a pitch off his wrist. A bad bruise developed, so it’s possible management decides to take it slow with their veteran to allow it to heel. If they do, his .357 batting average and team-high 12 RBI will be sorely missed in the meat of the batting order.

Baseball Betting Picks

Orioles at Red Sox Picks

In a season already loaded with disappointment, offseason acquisition Andrew Cashner has proved to be one of the lone bright spots. The grizzly veteran is 1-1 with a 2.50 ERA and has only allowed 12 hits over the course of his 18 innings of work. He enters his fourth starts of the year having logged quality efforts in each of his last two starts against the Yankees and Blue Jays. He was blasted in this venue last season in his first career start at Fenway Park. I expect him to continue throwing well in this one which has me looking the visitor’s way on the MLB betting lines. After taking their hacks against lefty Chris Sale on Sunday, matching up against Brian Johnson’s weak sauce shouldn’t be a tall order. I know its Patriots Day and everything, but I got a feeling Boston’s going down!

MLB Pick: Bet the Orioles at BookMaker.eu
MLB Score Prediction: Baltimore 6 – Boston 4