US Open Update
The US Open is down to the final 32 men and the final 32 women with the main storylines the potential semifinal matchup between Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer and the surprising run of Maria Sharapova. As the action moves into the fourth round, the men’s side is all about No. 1 Nadal and No. 3 Federer, as none of the other players move the needle. On the women’s side, the top seed Karolina Pliskova is still alive but she doesn’t generate much excitement as people are more interested to watch Sharpova and Venus Williams. Let’s update the US Open as we head into the second week.
- Nadal (1) vs. A. Dolgopolov
If Nadal is going to lose before the semifinals it might come against Dolgopolov who has beaten him twice in eight matchups. Nadal is listed as a -700 favorite in this match.
- Goffin (9) vs. A. Rublev
Goffin will probably be the next player to go up against Nadal but he has had no success against him in the past. Goffin is listed as a 2-1 favorite in this match against Rublev, who at 19-years old is the only remaining teenager remaining on the men’s side.
- Federer (3) vs. P. Kohlschreiber (33)
Federer has never lost to Kohlschreiber in his career going 11-0, so this should be a match that is decided in straight sets. Federer is listed as a -625 favorite in this contest.
- del Potro (24) vs. D. Thiem (6)
The winner of this match would get Federer in the quarterfinals and the winner might be able to give Federer a good match. Even though he is the lower seed, del Potro is listed as a -125 favorite against Thiem.
- Querrey (17) vs. M. Zverev (23)
Querrey is the only player in the lower half of the draw to even make a semifinal in a Grand Slam event. He is listed as a 2-1 favorite in this contest.
- Lorenzi vs. K. Anderson (28)
Anderson will be favored in this match and in the lower half of the draw any player could make the final.
- Shapovalov vs. P. Carreno Busta (12)
The big run for Shapovalov ended on Sunday, as he was beaten by Busta.
- Pouille (16) vs. D. Schwartzman (29)
Pouille is a slight favorite in this matchup between two players getting very little attention.
- Pliskova (1) vs. J. Brady
Pliskova is listed as a -635 favorite in this match against Brady.
- Vandeweghe (20) vs. L. Safarova
Vandeweghe is a slight favorite at -125 against Safarova.
- Svitolina (4) vs. M. Keys (15)
The price on this match is interesting, as Svitolina is just barely favored at -125.
- Kasatkina vs. K. Kanepi
Kasatkina is a 2-1 favorite in this contest.
- Suarez Navarro vs. V. Williams (9)
Venus was a 2-1 favorite to win this match.
- Kvitova (13) vs. G. Muguruza (3)
Muguruza was listed as a -240 favorite in this match.
- Goerges (30) vs. S. Stephens
Stephens was a -175 favorite in this contest.
- Sevastova (16) vs. M. Sharapova
Sharapova was more than a 2-1 favorite to win this match.
On the men’s side it should be Federer vs. Nadal in the semifinals and the winner of that contest should have an easy time in the final, as there is no one in the bottom half that can give either player much of a challenge. Federer and Nadal have met 37 times but never in the US Open. Nadal holds the overall edge at 23-14 but Federer has won the last four meetings.
The women’s side has a little more intrigue, as a number of players are in the mix to win the title. Pliskova is the top seed but she is very beatable. Much of the attention has been on Sharapova but there are other good stories including the 24-year old Stephens, No. 13-seed Kvitova who had her hand slashed at knifepoint last year, and the 37-year old Williams who is trying to shock everyone and win the US Open twenty years after she made the final in her debut.