Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets betting odds on TNT Tuesday
Written by Fairway Jay of North Shore Sports, Inc.
Why spend hours handicapping NBA lines when you can read everything you need to know about every game here at BookMaker sportsbook. We break down trends, line movements, injuries and more in our betting previews so you can cash your bet! The matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets will go down Tuesday, April 21, 2015, at 9:30 p.m. ET at the Toyota Center. The contest will be broadcast nationally on TNT.
The Houston Rockets ( 57-26 SU, 49-34 ATS ) took down the Dallas Mavericks ( 50-33 SU, 36-45-2 ATS ) 118-108 in Game 1. These familiar division rivals are set for another high-scoring slugfest in Game 2, and with Dwight Howard able to play more minutes and stay out of foul trouble, we see another Rockets win.
Teams that win Game 1 go on to win the series nearly 77 percent of the time. Houston is a 5.5-point favorite in Game 2 and the total was adjusted to 215 following an upward Game 1 move and the Rockets 118-108 win. The Mavericks are the slightly stronger shooting team, but Dallas is the worst rebounding team in the league and Houston is prolific from the three-point line.
With James Harden leading and scoring, Houston’s versatility and depth, and Howard playing more minutes and contributing even more, the Rockets should prove to be too tough for the Mavs to tame in Game 2.
QUOTE TO NOTE
“They were putting two on the ball,” Rockets coach Kevin McHale said. “We got it to the middle, got it to the weak side. Brew made a couple big shots. Trev (Ariza) made a big 3 with the clock running down. Against the two on the ball, you just have to move it. I think we did a pretty good job of that. James is a handful. He demands a lot of attention out there. When they’re doing that and he gets off the ball and moves it, it helps our offense.”
Dallas was 27-0 when making 42 baskets or more this season which is the best ever in NBA history. Yet they lost the playoff opener making 44 baskets on a whopping 99 attempts.
86 – Dallas averaged 86 FG attempts this season to rank No. 5 in the league while Houston averages nearly 84 FG attempts per game. The Mavs took 99 shots in Game 1 while the Rockets attempted 85 of their own.
33 – The Rockets average 33 three-point attempts per game; six more than the next closest team. Houston nails more than 11 three-pointers per game while shooting better than 34 percent from the arc this season. Dallas allows 36 percent shooting from the arc including 10 of 25 in Game 1.
10 – James Harden averaged a league-high 10.17 free throw attempts per game this season and was 15 of 17 in Game 1.
ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION
The Rockets and Mavericks were two of the top four teams in league scoring averaging 104 and 105 points per game respectively. James Harden is a go-to scorer and his 24 points and 11 assists led Houston in Game 1 which included 15 made free throws. The Mavs starting backcourt of Rajon Rondo and Monta Ellis combined for only 31 points and nine assists.
Dallas has depth and solid scoring options, but their defense is still too deficient to hold down the Rockets.
The Rockets held on in Game 1 despite Dwight Howard being plagued by foul trouble. His presence is important to balance the inside game with the Rockets heavy dose of three point shooting. Howard finished with 11 points, five rebounds and five blocks in 17 minutes.
The Mavericks were charging and attacking the lane Howard had vacated on one end and stuffing it with defenders in James Harden’s path on the other end. The Rockets’ depth has been underestimated all season, and seven of their players scored in double figures to open the playoffs with Corey Brewer hitting three big three pointers in the fourth quarter.
Combined with Harden scoring, rebounding, dishing and driving, look for Houston to take a commanding 2-0 series lead.
Houston 112, Dallas 103
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