The 7th season of The Ultimate Fighter is coming to a close with the culmination of a light heavyweight title match between the opposing coaches of this seasons TUF tournament current Champ Quinton “Rampage” Jackson 27-6-0 and Forrest Griffin 15-4-0.
*Light Heavyweight Title Fight
Quinton “Rampage” Jackson -265 (risk $265 to win $100)
Forrest Griffin +205 (risk $100 to win $205)
MY PICK: Ok no one is questioning the tuffness of either of these guys, but you have to consider experience in this matter and although Griffin beat Rua he did lose to Keith Jardine at a time when Jardine was considered filler instead of an actual threat. Jackson on the other hand has been on a literal rampage in the Light Heavyweight division, destroying the Iceman Chuck Liddell, dismantling Dan Henderson for 5 rounds and each bout has shown an improvement in his overall approach. Forrest has come a long way since his loss to Jardin and he is now more controlled and tactical, choosing to use his agility to strike from a distance and then recoiling back to square up his opponent for another combo. Forrest knows he can’t go to the ground with Jackson for the fact that hes not big enough and Jacksons frame is too big for him to grappel plus the fact that Jackson is stronger is jsut one more reason to avoid the ground. This will have to be a standup street fight for Forrest to have a chance otherwise Jackson will mop the floor with him, Rampage will have no quams about going at it on his feet, but as soon as he sees Griffin stumble in the least then he will go directly for the take down and finish it on the ground. Jackson will defend his title, but it should be an action packed fight, one that I will not miss. Take Jackson before the line moves up, its only low because Forrest Griffin is a fan favorite and we all know what happens when people bet with their heart…..THEY LOSE!!!
Middleweights
Patrick “The Predator” Cote +110 (risk $100 to win $110)
Ricardo “Big Dog” Almeida -140 (risk $140 to win $100)
My Pick: Cote is not getting the credit he deserves, this guy has already beaten Kendall Groove standing on his feet. Almeida is good but I don’t think hes had the same battles as Cote and he is being over estimated. Cote is more aggressive and is strong enough to take this guy down. I would jump on Cote at +110 before the bookies get wise to the matchup and move the odds down.
Middleweights
Josh “Kos” Koscheck -325 (risk $325 to win $100)
Chris “Lights Out” Lytle +245 (risk $100 to win $245)
My Pick: I was wondering when Koscheck would be back in the octagon I’m a big fan of his and was worried he might fade away after the punishment he took from Georges St. Pierre last year on his way to a run at the welterweight title. Lytle is a good fighter and the line should be a little more balanced than it is, both of these guys can stand up and trade punches, but I expect them to go to the ground and get technical, this will be Koscheck’s road back to contender in that division if he can finish him off fast and in spectacular fashion. The -325 is too high to bet on UFC, but I don’t doubt he will get it done. Koscheck by KO/Submission.
Welterweights
Joe “Daddy” Stevenson -205 (risk $205 to win $100)
Gleison Tibau +155 (risk $100 to win $155)
My Pick: This is a tough one to call, Joe Daddy has a ton of fights under his belt, but is just starting to stick out in the UFC and get some recognition so hes got alot to prove and perhaps earn his chance to move up the ranks. Gleison Tibau is not ready yet for the experience of Stevenson and I thin hes gonna get crushed. Stevenson has to make a statement with this fight and hes gonna punish this guy, bet him now before the line moves up.
Welterweights
Tyson Griffin -350 (risk $350 to win $100)
Marcus “Maximus” Aurelio +250 (risk $100 to win $250)
Welterweights
Jorge Gurgel +115 (risk $100 to win $115)
Cole Miller -145 (risk $145 to win $100)
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