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June 25th, 2008

Pacquiao vs Diaz Betting Odds and Pick

This Saturday, June 28th at the Mandalay Bay Casino and Resort in Las Vegas, Nevada WBC Super Featherweight Champ Manny “Pacman” Pacquiao will move up in weight class to the 135 pound lightweight division to challenge WBC Lightweight Champ David Diaz in a 10 round bout to be broadcast on HBO pay per view.  Currently the bookies have Pacquiao an overwhelming favorite at -410 (risk $410 to win $100) with Diaz a long shot at +260 (risk $100 to win $260), this may seem a little high considering that Diaz is the current champ at the lightweight division, but then again the competition at that weight class may have been a little weak.pacman Pacquiao vs Diaz Betting Odds and Pick

Manny Pacquiao -410 is coming off a close split decision over Juan Manuel Marquez in which he suffered a severe cut over his right eye that many feared would not be healed in time for this bout.  Pacquiao has definantly shown that he can go the distance pound for pound with anyone and his tolerance for taking punches has been tested time again from Barrera and Marquez.  Pacman will need to rely a lot on his speed to out manuever Diaz and hope to make it a tacticle fight in which he can wear him down.  His punching power may be suspect especially against an opponent who is naturally a bigger boxer.

David Diaz +260 is no slouch himself and really should get some more respect than the odds let on, he is diaz Pacquiao vs Diaz Betting Odds and Picknaturally bigger and from past experiences he looks to hit harder, while not a power puncher he still carries enough to keep Pacman at bay.  If Diaz can control himself and defend against Pacquiao’s hand speed he can stun him enough to work in the combos that he will most likely need to have a chance to defend his title.

My Pick:  Both fighters need to make this a tacticle fight, Diaz needs to be calculating and in control to avoid the flurry of combos and jabs that Pacquiao will throw his way and Pacman will need to use caution to avoid catching a hard right which has been known to make him buckle.  If the fight goes the distance then Pacquiao will no doubt win based soley on the punch count, but if Daiz can hurt him early and contiue the pressure I like his chances. With the spread so high on Pacman I cannot advocate taking the favorite, chances are he will win, but one punch could change all of that so if you must beat a winner then take Diaz for a $20 fun buck bet, what I really like is the over 9.5 rounds -140, its not high enough to get over exposed and the odds are good it will come in. Take the over!

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June 23rd, 2008

2008-09 NFL Futures Odds to Win the Superbowl

superbowl 2008 09 NFL Futures Odds to Win the Superbowl The draft is over and traing camp has begun, apart from the usual hold outs and contract negociations the season is gearing up and just around the corner.  This season the superbowl is being held in Tampa Bay’s Raymond James Stadium on February 1st 2009.  GamblersPalace.com is pleased to be offering preseason futures odds in all the NFL Categories including; Odds to win the Superbowl, Conference Odds, Divisional Odds, MVP and Rookie of the Year Odds. Below are the Odds to win Superbowl XLIII for each team as well as the current payout odds for every $100 bet:

New England +350
San Diego +600
NY Jets +8000
Miami +11000
Kansas City +11000
Oakland +10000
St. Louis +5100
Atlanta +13000
Indianapolis +630
Jacksonville +1200
Dallas +700
NY Giants +1900
Green Bay +3100
New Orleans +1800
Seattle +3100
Arizona +2600
San Francisco +4000
Washington +4000
Philadelphia +1800
Tampa Bay +4000
Carolina +4000
Minnesota +1900
Detroit +4000
Chicago +3100
Pittsburgh+2100
Denver +3900
Cleveland +3900
Cincinnati +3900
Tennessee +3900
Baltimore +5200
Buffalo +4200
Houston +5300

My Pick:  Even though the Giants are the defending champs they clearly are still not getting any respect with odds of +1900 however if you consider the fact that they are losing Michael Strahan to retirement and we have yet to see how the offense is going to shape up with a balance of Brandon Jacobs on the ground and Manning and Burress in the air these odds are fair. I think that San Diego at +600 is a little over optimistic with Norv Turner a.k.a. Team Killer still at the helm and Michael Turner sold off, I doubt that lil Philly Rivers and LT can do it themselves especially with Norv Turner calling the shots.  Seattle at +3100 is waay too much when you consider the competition in the NFC, sure they have lost DJ Hackett and that hurts, but if Bobby Ingram shows up to play this season like last year the Seahawks should be considered contenders as the ground game should be much more effective without the hinderance of over the hill Shaun Alexander.  The favorite of course is New England at +350, but they had a slight shake up of the offense and while that should not have too much of an effect its their aging defense that worries me the most, I do not think the Pats can repeat last seasons performance and you should not waste your money on them.  I really like Cleveland in their division, but eventually they will have to play Indy but at +3900 its worth at least a $10 bet.

Click here for Odds to win the Superbowl

Click here for Odds to win the NFC

Click here for Odds to win the AFC

Click here for Divisional Odds

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June 9th, 2008

2008 NBA Finals: Lakers vs Celtics Betting Odds

nba 2008 NBA Finals: Lakers vs Celtics Betting Odds

Game 6 betting odds Celtics -4.5 total 191.5
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The 2008 NBA Finals in a nostalgic matchup that takes up back to the 80’s an era of Magic Johnson and Larry Bird what some would say is the most storied rivarly in professional sports.  Now instead of Magic and Bird we have Kobe and Pierce or Kobe and Garnett or maybe even Kobe and Allen. Regardless, we have a great matchup that many pundits, bloggers, self professed handicappers, and basically anyone in any kind of media outlet suggesting that this series would be over in 5 games in LA.  I was the only guy I knew saying the Celtics in 7. I know, I know its easy to say now that they are up 2-0, but I have been busy and am now just getting to my monthly Laker Hating, very slackass on my part and I apologize. So lets get on with it shall we:

Game 1:  Celtics 98 - Lakers 88  Both teams kept it tight and the met all expectiations providing for a high energy, emotional opening to the 2008 finals and preview of what we can expect for the rest of series.  When Paul Pierce went out with hurt knee and they had to carry him off the court there was a slight tremor kobe 2008 NBA Finals: Lakers vs Celtics Betting Oddsthat went off around the world and I will tell you the cause, that was the collective force of everyone around the globe tightening their sphincters at the exact same time. LOL…… And then in the second half a strong wind spurred the globe to move out of alignment with his triumfate return and the subsequent exhale of all those who had tightened up earlier.  Pierce played brillantly and without him I don’t think they can get it done.

Game 2:  Celtics 108 – Lakers 102 Game 2 has been clounded with whining from Lakers fans about the disparity of free throws granted, I mean if Kobe and Odom would have focused more on scoring rather than crying to the refs then perhaps they would have capped off the return from a 24 point deficit and won, but rather than play they did what all Laker fans do, cry cry cry….  I have to admit, I thought the Celtics were celtics 2008 NBA Finals: Lakers vs Celtics Betting Oddsgoing to piss it down their legs after giving up that huge lead and it seemed like the clock couldn’t run down fast enough for them.  This concerns me because they really needed to crush the Lakers before a flight across the country and 3 games at the Staples Center.   Now it looks like we may be heading back to Boston with a 3-2 deficit, unless…… The Triumverate  that is Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce, and Ray Allen can come together and collectively will themselves a win in LA which could completely discombobulate Kobe and the gang and almost guanreentee the Celtics a Championship.

Game 3 is scheduled for Tuesday night at 9pm est. in L.A. the current spread is Lakers -9 which is probably right on considering the Celtics will be a little jet lagged, I don’t expect them to win or cover.  All you Laker babies have a chance to recoup some of thos losses from game 1 and 2 as I expect the Lakers to come out and crush them, give the points.

Updated June 11th

Game 3: Lakers 87 – Celtics 81 Wow I was totally off on my above prediction, the Lakers almost lost it! game 3 2008 NBA Finals: Lakers vs Celtics Betting Odds I mean as bad as KG was playing I thought for sure the lakers would have their way with them like Kobe and a maid in a Colorado Spa.(sorry I couldn’t resist) But really, the Lakers played piss poor Kobe was the only starter who broke double digits in points and they had to rely on a man named Sasha to save their bacon.  Very embarrassing for the Lakers at home despite the win.  They have got to do better than that to hold off the Celtics and Kobe cannot do it by himself, if KG would have just sunk 9-21 instead of that dismal 6-21 the C’s would have all but locked it up.  Lakers fan should be very concerned… 

Updated June 13th

Game 4: Celtics 97 – Lakers 91 The basketball gods had nothing to do with it.  This was all on the Lakers and the typical arrogance they display.  They had the Celtics beaten down to the ground and left for dead when leading by as much as 24 points in the second quarter closing out the half with an 18 point lead.  Lamar Odom looked unstoppable as he continually drove to the hoop without being challanged and was shooting field goals at will without pressure.  It seemed like they had total control of the game, Kobe was game 5 2008 NBA Finals: Lakers vs Celtics Betting Oddsplaying the part of field general attracting all the attention while setting his boys up for the shot, he finished with 10 assists and only 17 points a far cry from his usual 30 points and maybe 4 assists. Everything seemed to be going right for the Lakers while it was going utterly horrendous for the Celtics, they had no fire under them, they weren’t being aggresive on offense and were basically inviting the Lakers to shoot the ball and then……(cue dramatic highlight music) With the start of the second half Paul Pierce led his Celtics out with inspiration and immediatly cut the defecit to 2 points with alot of help from James Posey in the 3rd quarter.  The Lakers obviously stunned by this quizi ressurection of what they thought they had killed off was now trailing by 2 and caught them by surprise, in a desperate scrammble to regroup Kobe tried to rally his troops but it was to no avail and needless to say they were caught with their pants down and no vasiline in sight.  The hats and shirts have already been ordered in Boston and I am issuing a state wide suicide watch for the state of California so should you have friends or relatives that reside there please for petes sake take away ALL of their potentially harmful instruments, I’m talking guns, knives, grenades and most importantly…TOE NAIL CLIPPERS!!!.   Can you imagine the effect that another Boston win in LA to close out the series could do to that town?  All motivation and fun loving antics would cease to exist, Jerry Buss would start dating women over 25!!!(well maybe not 25 but at least 20), a permanent dark cloud would settle on LA, oh and then we would have to hear about the game 2 free throw disperity as being the reason they didn’t win the Finals and how they were robbed by the league because they control the refs and then file formal complaints and then some more bitching and moaning and they maybe even another Kobe holdout this summer, there are so many variables thats its not worth it.  This is why I am calling for the Lakers to win in game 5 and send it back to Boston where they can close it out in game 6.  The Boston fans deserve it.  The current spread for game 5 has the Lakers favored -6.5 with a total of 190.5.   Bet the Lakers, they probably know they are done but they don’t want to lose it all at home, they have more pride than that…

Updated June 16th

Game 5: Lakers 103 – Celtics 98 They almost did it again.  The Lakers seemed to have scrapped the team ball effort in the first quarter and just gave Kobe the damn ball as he had 15 points alone and a huge lead over Boston.  Going into the second quarter with LA up by 18 points it seemed that a routing was inevitable especially after Game 4’s dissapointment, but then Pierce and co. came out swinging and went on a 15-0 run to literally freeze the Lakers who went 7 minutes without scoring once. The Lakers barely got out of the second half with their lead cut to 3 and you could tell the pressure was getting to them, Jordan Farmar of all people started copping an attitude and Kobe should have reached back and pimp smacked him like the little bitch that he is. With the start of the second half you could tell right off the bat that there was a very real possibility that the finals could have ended that night in LA regardless of the desire for the Celtics to win it all at home and at one point I kinda felt like Boston was even holding back a little.  I did see an improvement from the Lakers in the second half as far as spreading the ball out but, they still lacked that finish them off aspect that is required at this point in the season.  The Lakers failed to put together any significant runs in the second half and Pierce who had 38 points and played all 48 minutes kept the pressure on them stalking the Lakers like Dr. Buss at a Senior Prom. *Note, if Paul Pierce does not get MVP then thelakers 5 2008 NBA Finals: Lakers vs Celtics Betting Oddsre is something really wrong with America.  Quick Fact: The Lakers have not covered the spread even once this entire series!  Thats gotta be heartbreaking to the Laker faithful and by the way the state wide suicide watch is still in effect and not so much for the fact that they are undoubtedly not going to win the Finals, but for all of the money LA bettors have lost so far on them.  Not to mention the odds to win the series line which was as high as -350 at some places.  Now the Lakers have to fly all the way across the country just to get whipped in front of a bunch of Bean Towners.  If you read at the top of the post I predicted Celtics in 7 but it looks like 6, these guys have got to be tired, they went 7 games in just about every series to get here and I wouldn’t blame them if they forego the drama and jsut get it over with on Tuesday night, they earned it. The current spread has Boston -4.5 with a total of 191.5, I think the Lakers keep it tight on Tuesday and 4.5 is hard to call its only 2.5 baskets, but I think Boston goes out with a bang and crushes their SOULS!!!  Take Boston and then think about how funny its going to be when Paul Pierce goes up to Kobe after the game and invites him to the after party…

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June 3rd, 2008

UFC 85: BEDLAM Betting Odds and Picks

ufc UFC 85: BEDLAM Betting Odds and PicksThis Saturday, June 7th, at the 02 Arean in London, England Matt Hughes will look to make a run at a 3rd Welterweight Title with the Brazilian up and commer Thiago Alves being the first step on his way back to the top.  Currently the line on the fight has Hughes favored -220 (risk $220 to win $100) with Alves on the comeback at +170 (risk $100 to win $170).

huhges UFC 85: BEDLAM Betting Odds and PicksMatt Hughes is one of the most storied fighters in UFC history holding the Welterweight Championship belt twice and defending it a total of 7 times!  At 34 years old Hughes is most likely looking at his last run at another championship as he has already had a full career twice over and after just recently completing a tour to promote his autobiography hes probably sitting pretty financially and this is all about pride and his love for beating people up.  Hughes is no longer the uncaged animal he was in his early years and now is much more calculating and patient which may be his greatest weapon.  His ground game is arguably one of the best in the division and he will want to utilize it to minimize the risk of Alves catching him with a lucky strike, taking him down early on and wearing him out on the ground is his best option against a much younger, faster and fiercer Alves, look for Hughes to go for the submission right off the bat.

Thiago Alves is one of the most excitign guys in the UFC atalves UFC 85: BEDLAM Betting Odds and Picks the moment, hes riding a 5 win streak which includes most recently Karo Parysian who many thought was next in line to challenge for the belt in the Welterweight division.  Alves likes to primarily standup and use his striking to wear down opponents and go for the complete knockout, thats not to say that hes a wimp on the ground but his past fights would suggest that he prefers to be on his feet when possible.  The younger and some would say more reckless Alves will show respect to Hughes but his youth might make him a little over confident and he will most likely go into the octagon trying to, “knock out the old man” this is a dangerous mistake, but if he can protect from the takedown attempts from Hughes he may have a chance to throw some knees and kicks hes so fond of. 

GamblersPalace.com is pleased to offer fight odds on all the fights of the night:

Welterweights

Matt Hughes -220 (risk $220 to win $100)
Thiago “Pitbull” Alves +170 (risk $100 to win $175)

My Pick:  I like the tenacity of Alves but I think his youth has made him nieve as to the power and experience of Hughes and this will lead to his demise.  It will make him a better fighter for the future and I expect great things from Alves but if he thinks he can keep Hughes at bay and on his feet he is sorely mistaken.  Huges is the play and if you are going to bet then take him now before it moves up, i can see that number settling at -250 before its over.

MiddleWeights

Michael “The Count” Bisping -370 (risk $370 to win $100)
Jason “Dooms” Day +245 (risk $100 to win $245)

My Pick:  Ok read very carefully, THERES NO WAY BISPING LOSES!!! This guy does not lose at home and personally I am shocked that he still does not have a title shot, then again I doubt he really wants to fight Anderson Silva, I don’t think anyone wants to fight Silva.  Bottom line, this is one of the few times I would recommend laying down money at such heavy odds.  Hes just waay too much for Jason Day and this will be a quick one, I’m looking for the first round KO.

Welterweights

Marcus “The Irish Hand Granade” Davis EV (risk $100 to win $100)
Mike “Quick” Swick” -130 (risk $130 to win $100)

My Pick:  This is an intresting spread on the odds.  Davis is a bit older but has a more established record than Swick.  Swick is a bit taller which means Davis will have to punch up which will take a little bit of the bite out of it, but still I think Davis is alot more dangerous than the spread gives him credit for.  Swick will want to keep it a standup fight I’m sure which will play right into Davis’ plan.  At even money Davis is a steal and you should jump on him before we see something silly like -115 on both sides.  Take Davis and the even money while you still can.

Middleweights

Nate “The Great” Marquardt -180 (risk $180 to win $100)
Thales Leites +140 (risk $100 to win $140)

Heavyweights

Fabricio “Vai Cavalo” Werdum +150 (risk $100 to win $150)
Brandon “The Truth” Vera -190 (risk $190 to win $100)

Middleweights

Jorge “El Conquistador” Rivera +190 (risk $100 to win $190)
Martin “The Hitman” Kampmann -250 (risk $250 to win $100)

Lightweights

Matt “Handsome” Wiman +320 (risk $100 to win $320)
Thiago Tavares -470 (risk $470 to win $100)

Welterweights

Roan “Jucao” Carneiro -110 (risk $110 to win $100)
Ryo “Piranha” Chonan -120 (risk $120 to win $100)

Light Heavyweights

Luiz “Banha” Cane +125 (risk $100 to win $125)
Jason “The Punisher” Lambert -155 (risk $155 to win $100)

Welterweights

Paul “Relentless” Taylor -250 (risk $250 to win $100)
Jess “The Joker” Liandun +190 (risk $100 to win $190)

Heavyweights

Antoni Hardonk -375 (risk $375 to win $100)
Neil Wain +250 (risk $100 to win $250)

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