A quick view to what each team has to offer for this coming season. (Ranked by favoritism)
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Rk |
Team | Last Wk | Rise/Fall | Comment |
| 1 | 1 | - | Chien-ming Wang is out until late April, and Andy Pettitte won’t be ready by Opening Day. Pitching woes aside, the Yankees are still the best team in baseball. The gap, however, has narrowed. | |
| 2 | 2 | - | Cliff Lee will be sidelined until mid-April, but the Indians can abide his loss (so long as it’s a short convalescence). With Adam Miller ready for duty, they’ve got plenty of pitching depth. The improved bullpen and the Indians’ strong run differential from a year ago (in tandem, of course, with a tremendous offense and underrated rotation) are the big reasons the Tribe is the team to beat in the brutal AL Central. | |
| 3 | 7 | (+4) | The most pressing concern in |
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| 4 | 5 | (+1) | The decision to move Jonathan Papelbon back to the bullpen strengthens the relief corps but leaves a gaping void at the back of the rotation. Julian Tavarez is no one’s idea of an adequate fifth starter. The Sox’s best hope right now is that Jon Lester can have a hot couple of weeks at |
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| 5 | 3 | (-2) | The decision to give Mike Pelfrey the fifth starter’s job is good for the rotation and good for the bullpen (Chan Ho Park will help the right-handed setup corps). On paper, the Mets are the NL’s best team. | |
| 6 | 4 | (-2) | The Tigers optioned Chris Shelton to Triple-A, but fortunately for Tigers fans, that doesn’t mean Sean Casey will be playing all the time against lefties. Manager Jim Leyland has indicated that Marcus Thames, the team’s most consistent power source a year ago, will see some time at first base this season. Getting
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| 7 | 9 | (+2) | Yes, the Snakes are legitimate pennant contenders. The concern right now is getting — and keeping — Carlos Quentin healthy. He’s got a small tear in his labrum, and he’s doubtful for Opening Day. However, he should be able to be in the lineup before the middle of April. With Jeff DaVanon likely to open the season on the DL, the Snakes are thin on outfielders at the moment. | |
| 8 | 15 | (+7) | The Phils will of course have plenty of thump, and the rotation should also be improved. That’s why they’ll be in the race in the East, and if nothing else they’re the favorites to take the Wild Card. One key will be whether Shane Victorino can replace Bobby Abreu’s production. With the bat, he’ll come closer than you might think, and he’s also a substantial defensive upgrade. | |
| 9 | 12 | (+3) | Rookie Kevin Kouzmanoff may be the key to the season. Last year, Padre third basemen combined to hit .230 AVG/.304 OBP/.356 SLG, while the average NL third baseman in 2006 authored a batting line of .282 AVG/.354 OBP/.472 SLG. That’s a serious deficit. So the Pads are hoping that Kouzmanoff’s strong minor league numbers and hot spring lead to a serious upgrade at the hot corner. | |
| 10 | 8 | (-2) | The Angels may be licking their wounds at the moment (Jered Weaver, Chone Figgins, Bartolo Colon and Juan Rivera are all laid up at the moment), but they remain the best team in a down-cycled AL West. | |
| 11 | 6 | (-5) | They may be a fourth-place team, but it doesn’t mean they’re a bad team. That’s just how tough the AL Central is this season. Left field—whether it’s Scott Podsednik or Darin Erstad holding down the fort—will still be a serious liability, and the rotation, so strong in 2005, is now a source of concern. Bobby Jenks’ spring troubles are also something to worry about. | |
| 12 | 16 | (+4) | The Cubs may have the NL’s most powerful lineup (Alfonso Soriano, Aramis Ramirez and Derrek Lee should combine for 100-plus homers), but the rotation behind Carlos Zambrano will be the key. In particular, Jason Marquis and Wade Miller need to defy expectations. It’s a weak division, so the Cubs have a very real shot at the post-season. | |
| 13 | 18 | (+5) | If Ben Sheets stays healthy, and the young bats (Prince Fielder, Rickie Weeks, J.J. Hardy) come through, then this team will be a serious threat to return to the playoffs for the first time since 1982. | |
| 14 | 14 | - | Concerns for the Jays: the back of the rotation, and waaaaaay too much Royce Clayton. Oh, and the fact that they toil in the same division as the Yankees and Red Sox. | |
| 15 | 13 | (-2) | The good news is that Jim Edmonds might be able to go by Opening Day. The Cards will open the season with Braden Looper as their fifth starter. He’s not a good bet to succeed in that role. One key will be getting Mark Mulder back as soon as possible. | |
| 16 | 19 | (+3) | The Braves figure to have a fairly potent offense this season, but the rotation is a possible trouble spot. In particular, Mark Redman may not pass muster as the fifth man. Also, Chuck James had a nice rookie campaign, but his fly-ball tendencies may be problematic over the course of a full season. | |
| 17 | 10 | (-7) | Without 200 or so innings from Rich Harden, the A’s haven’t a prayer this season. Mark Kotsay’s out until at least early June, and Bobby Kielty may open the season on the disabled list. That means the A’s will be stretched thin in the outfield to start the season. So you may see prospect Travis Buck in |
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| 18 | 11 | (-7) | The rotation will be among the NL’s best, the offense could be a serious liability. The Dodgers couldn’t hit for power last season, and things might be even worse in 2007. Nomar Garciaparra needs to hit as he did in the first half of 2006 if |
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| 19 | 22 | (+3) | The youth movement has arrived in |
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| 20 | 21 | (+1) | The Astros are solidly behind the Cubs, Brewers and Cardinals in the NL Central. They’ll miss Andy Pettitte, and they’ll trot out one of the worst outfield defenses in recent memory (this is especially bad news for Woody Williams and his fly-ball tendencies). Barring a Roger Clemens signing, the Astros won’t have what it takes to contend. | |
| 21 | 24 | (+3) | Excellent team defense plus King Felix plus a winnable division equals hope for the M’s. They’re certainly not the favorites in the West, but the Angels aren’t so superior that it’s a lost cause. Getting production from Adrian Beltre and the outfield corners will be critical. | |
| 22 | 17 | (-5) | So Jamey Wright will open the season as the Rangers’ fifth starter. That’s not an enviable state of affairs. Sammy Sosa has earned a roster spot, and provided he’s confined to platoon detail, it’s a defensible move. One key for |
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| 23 | 23 | - | Expect the Fish to regress in 2007. The rotation is in a state of disrepair heading into the season, and a number of young hitters figure to take a step back this season. Miguel Cabrera, however, will remain the most under-appreciated hitter in the game today. | |
| 24 | 25 | (+1) | Barry Bonds’ hot spring raises hopes/fears that he’ll break Hank Aaron’s record without much difficulty. On the team level, keeping Bonds healthy, getting a mid-3.00 ERA from Barry Zito and somehow finding runs elsewhere in the lineup will be the thing. Right now, they look like a very expensive last-place team. | |
| 25 | 27 | (+2) | The Rays won’t contend in 2007, but the future remains bright. Delmon Young is a threat to win RotY honors in the American League, and Scott Kazmir is one of the most promising young arms in the game. Getting B.J. Upton his ABs will be the challenge for manager Joe Maddon. | |
| 26 | 26 | - | The Reds will wisely deploy Ken Griffey Jr. in right field this season, which improves the defense and perhaps helps him stay healthy. Overall, though, the Reds don’t have much of a shot. The rotation behind Aaron Harang and Bronson Arroyo (at least until Homer Bailey arrives) arrives is a weak spot, and the offense isn’t particularly special once you correct for their home park. | |
| 27 | 20 | (-7) | The O’s could get better this season (particularly if another year of Leo Mazzone improves last year’s awful pitching staff), but they have no shot at contending. They’ve got a shot at third place, but the cellar is a more likely destination. | |
| 28 | 29 | (+1) | Reigning NL batting champ Freddy Sanchez will open the season on the DL, and that’s a serious blow. Adam LaRoche will give the team some badly needed left-handed sock, but it’s not enough to make the Bucs a threat, even in this division. | |
| 29 | 28 | (-1) | Alex Gordon will open the season as the Royals’ starting third baseman, and he’ll contend for the MVP one of these years. Getting Zack Greinke’s career back on track will be essential this season. Otherwise, it’s a sure last-place finish. Again. | |
| 30 | 30 | - | The rotation is miserable, Alfonso Soriano is gone, and Nick Johnson is hurt. That makes the Nats the worst team in baseball, at least on paper. That said, Ryan Zimmerman is worth the price of admission, and Austin Kearns, if healthy, could turn in a nifty season. |
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