I ended up going 9-6-1 as the Packers ended up laying down like a drunk prom date and KC having no shame or self respect at home.  My updated yearly total is 90-77-5 which makes breaking 100 wins this week very attainable.  Its a short week this week with Thanksgiving on Thursday and the traditional teams like Dallas and Detroit playing.  With the addition of the NFL Network we will have 3 games this Thursday.  Below you will find a list of NFL Week 13 matchups with spreads, totals and my pick.  Stay tuned as I will be updating more and more picks throughout the week.  Happy Thanksgiving…

Thursday November 27th

Tennessee Titans  -11  44
Detriot Lions
My Pick:  The Titans faultered last week against a tough looking Jets team and are now no longer carrying the the pressure of being undefeated.  They are by no means weaker after the loss and if anything it made them stronger.  This is bad news for the dismal Lion cubs who are looking to jeopardize the 76′ Bucs winless record.  I can’t stress enough the one rule I always follow: Never give the home team double digits!  Plus, its Thanksgiving and the Lions have shown flash in the pan signs of life as they scored 21 points against the top rated Tampa D.  The Titans will win, but I cannot condone giving the hometeam double digits.  Take the Lion Cubs, take the points and enjoy your Turkey.  

Seattle Seahawks
Dallas Cowboys  -12.5  46.5
My Pick:  TO complains that he wants the ball and Romo delivers.  It looks as if the Cowboys are back in the saddle and wanting to make a last ditch effort to the playoffs this year.  They shouldn’t have too much trouble with the Seahawks this week as they still have nothing going on to get excited about.  Its killing me to write this as I am a life long Seattle fan, but the truth hurts sometimes, they just suck!  With the departure of Holmgren after this season paving the way for Jim Mora JR. to take over I gotta hope that they use their draft to bring in a new QB and let Hasselbeck out to pasture.  That being said I think you don’t have to worry too much about the upset and the way Dallas is playing this should be a blowout in the dome.  Give the points.

Arizona Cardinals
Philadelphia Eagles -3  46.5
My Pick:  For the first time in his career, Donavan McScrubb got benched for poor performance.  Westbrook hasn’t been playing like himself and the defense is basically just average for an NFL team.  This is all kinds of bad news for the Eagles and perhaps a coaching change is in order.  AZ took a tough loss to the New York football Giants without the help of Brandon Jacobs.  The Cards are still a top threat in the air and the Eagles secondary is gonna get beat up, also Tim Hightower is now a certified threat on the ground and will keep the Philly linebackers guessing all day.  The key for Philly is Westbrook coming to play.  If he does then they should enjoy some clock control as well as a few scores on the ground.  Based on past performance and the fact that I think Andy Reid needs to go, I doubt they get it done and the AZ trifecta or Warner, Boldin, and Hightower will be too much for them even at home.  Take the points.

Sunday November 30th

Denver Broncos
NY Jets  -8  47.5
My Pick:  The Jets running game is too much for the soft Denver D line and Brett ol boy can go pass for pass with the Broncos.  I think the win in Tennessee last week has them pumped and Cutler has been weak lately.  Give the points.

Miami Dolphins -9  43.5
St. Louis Rams�
My Pick:  Miami isn’t that good, even though that the Lambs are that bad and without Marc Bulger I don’t they stand a chance and Ronnie Brown rolls over their weak run d.  Give the points.

NY Giants  -3  42
Washington Redskins
My Pick:  This is a rematch from week 1 of this season where the Giants barely egded out the Skins 16-10.  Now in week 13 both teams are more mature and more in the groove.  The only problem is that the Giants are still the better team.  Regardless, if Jacobs plays this week or not they proved last week against the Cards that they don’t need him, but its always nice to have him.  I really think the Skins have the talent to get the job done, but the fact that the Gigantes are playing soo tough right now that I have to give the points. NEWS FLASH!!! NY Giants WR Plaxico Burress accidently shot himself in the leg at a New York Nightclub on Friday night.  It has been determined that the wound is not life threatening, but you can bet that he is out for the rest of the season.  It was already stated that Burress would not play this week so don’t expect a line move and the Giants should still be able to cover no problemo.

New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers  -3.5  48
My Pick:  Are the Saints as good as the 51 points they put up against the Pack last week?  NO!!!  Tampa at home is waay too stong for them and they are going to get a harsh reality check this week when the Bucs light them up.  Give the points.

Indianapolis Colts  -4.5  46
Cleveland Browns
My Pick:  Quinn is out with a broken finger for the rest of the year, it seems as though Cleveland fans will have to wait until next year for the start of the Quinn dynasty to start.  Anderson is back in the saddle and he knows how to win.  The Manning and the Colts are pumped after a win in San Diego last week and they don’t look to be slowing down at all, perhaps Anthony Gonzalez may even get started on my fantasy team finally after 12 weeks of waiting for an excuse.  I don’t like the half point hook on this spread and I actually think the Browns come to play which makes me have to take the points in this one.

San Francisco 49′ers
Buffalo Bills  -7 42.5
My Pick:  Either the Bills looked hot last week or KC is just that bad…  The Bills always have the long ball with Lee Evans in play and Edwards knows how to hook up with him.  Mike Singletary is still struggling to find the identity of his team and they are just a mess.  Buffalo at home is the play.  Give the points.

Baltimore Ravens  -7  36.5
Cincinnati Bengals
My Pick:  Joe Flacco is the real thing and the defense is clicking.  LeRon Claine seems to be the go to guy lately and the Cincy defense all around is just straight up weak!  There is nothing to get excited about for the Bengals and the Ravens are in the chase and will play hard.  Give the points.

Carolina Panthers
Green Bay Packers  -3  43
My Pick:  The Pack suffered a blow last week when they allowed Drew Brees to pick them apart.  The defense firms up this week and against a team like the Panther D who you don’t normally run seemed a former version of themselves as Michael Turner picked them apart.  I think the Panthers will be so occupied with Rodgers and co. that things may open up for Ryan Grant on the ground.  Delhomme had a good game last week despite the loss, but at Lambou on the eve of December…I just don’t see it.  Give the points. 

Atlanta Falcons
San Diego Chargers  -5.5  49
My Pick:  Matt Ryan was overshadowed by Turner the Burner last week, but against the Chargers 32nd ranked pass defense I believe he has his day and puts up big numbers.  The Falcons D did succeed in stopping the Carolina run offense which has been on fire lately so I expect it to be a long day for LT who is still just having average days.  The line is moving down and think you should jump on the Falcons while you can still have an edge.  Take the points NOW!!!

Pittsburgh Steelers
New England Patriots -1.5  40
My Pick:  Matt Cassell put up yet another 400yd pass game last week and it seems that he could be the making of the next era in New England should Brady be sidelined.  I still don’t trust their running game, but against the Pittsburgh D it wouldn’t matter even if I did trust them.  This game will be won in the air for the Pats.  Pitt is still the team to beat and with a banged up Willie Parker I think the pressure is on big Ben to not cause turnovers and play safe.  It looks like Randy Moss is back in form so Hines Ward will have to match him.  I think the spread favors the home team and this game will be decided by at least a touchdown anyways so you gotta take the home team.  Give the points.

Kansas City Chiefs
Oakland Raiders  -3  41.5
My Pick:  Run DMC has finally come to play!  I think the Raiders are not holding back anything for the rest of the season and as much young talent as they have on that team they need to start lettin it loose to develop some kind of identity for that team.  I expect psudo komikaze play calling and alot of fun ont he Oakland sideline.  The Chiefs seem to have found a starting QB for next year and Thigpen has earned it, I expect him to showcase his talents again this week against the Raiders pass D as the run game has not been as consistent as it needs to be.  My heart says Radiers at home, but my brain says the Chiefs pass offense is too potent.  Screw it…I’m going with my heart on this and taking the Raiders, giving the points. 

Sunday Night Football

Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings  -3  42
My Pick:  Da Bears were looking tough a couple weeks ago and now they have sort of simmered out and are no longer that threatening.  It seems like Kyle Orton is having trouble finding his rythem and the defense has been handled the last few games.  If they want to turn it around this week Minnesota isn’t going to make it easy for them.  AP is back and running hard and if the Bears don’t figure it out quick he is goign to blow right by them.  Actually I expect both teams to be running for a majority of the day as Matt Forte is proving to be a candidate for rookie of the year.  Based on the total I am looking for a low scoring game without alot of fireworks and when you consider the spread I think that if there is going to be a last minute drive to break the tie I think Frerotte has the better arsenal and home field advantage.  Take Minny give the points.

Monday Night Football December 1st

Jacksonville Jaguars
Houston Texans  -3  48
My Pick:  This will be one of the most uneventful Monday Night games of the year soley on the reason that with both teams at 4-7 neither of them really have a chance to turn it around and catch a wildcard.  I think Garrard had a good day stat wise last week, but was still unable to get the W against a Minnesota team that is not supposed to be able to stop the pass.  Houston nudged out Cleveland, but not because they are that good, but mostly because the Browns were playing so bad that they benched future Wheaties Box cover boy Brady Quinn who was supposed to be the second coming in Cleveland.  So much for that dream…  Houston usually fares well at least average at home and from the looks of the Jags run defense I expect alot of work from Steve Slaton on the ground.  The Jags will most likely want MJD to do the work but I think he finds trouble with the Houston D.  I think the Texans at home are safe and the way the Jags have been playing I don’t think they tunr it around this week.  Give the points.

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