I went 10 and 6 last week to bring my yearly total to 81-72-4 and my fantasy team is also on hit, my luck may be changing.  I am a little late on the picks this week, but will get them finished by tomorrow after the injury report is released on a few key games.  Below you will find the spreads and picks for all of the NFL Week 12 matchups.  Stay tuned…

Thursday November 20th

Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers  -10  36
My Pick:  Pitt barely edged out the Chargers, but being part of the only game to ever end 10 to 11 is nothing that anyone wants to remember.  Big Ben got stuffed by the weak Charger D which really surprised alot of people.  He won{t have nearly as much trouble this week against CIncy.  Parker is healthy and should enjoy a nice 100 yard game and I expect that Big Ben will figure out how to quit giving up turnovers.  Cincy is still no good and without Chad Ocho Cinco this week they will not being looking any better.  I really want the Bengals to step up, but I do not think they get it done in Pittsburgh.  Give the points.

Sunday November 23rd

Minnesota Vikings
Jacksonville Jaguars  -2  40
My Pick:  At this point I don’t think Jacksonville can get into the playoffs at this point unless they went on a 6 game win streak.  The Viks still have a fighting chance and I think they will want it more.  AP has been kind of hit and miss lately and the Viks D is also weakening, but against the soft Jags O line I think they bounce back a bit.  I think Minnesota gets it done, they are just too out of whack in Jacksonville at the moment.  Take the points.

Philadelphia Eagles
Baltimore Ravens  -1.5  38.5
My Pick:  Baltimore is actually looking good and as Philly has faultered lately I think they come to play hard and with McScrubs new found knowledge concerning over time and ties I think they actually have a chance to get it done.  I just don’t believe in Joe Flacco yet and you know Westbrook is gonna eat even against the tough Baltimore D.  Take the points.

New England Patriots
Miami Dolphins  -2.5  42
My Pick:  Cassell has seemed to get in the groove and I don’t think Joey Porter can shake him this time around.  I do think it will be close and Ronnie Brown will get alot of touches.  With the return of Sammy Morris he needs to re-establish himself as the starter, but will have his work cut out for him against the not too shabby Miami D.  I think the Pats get it done.  Take the points, but buy it up to +3.

Chicago Bears  -8  43.5
St. Louis Rams
My Pick:  Da Bears….not so good.  Lambs….not so good.  S Jax is hurt so Bulger will be forced to throw against the Bears secondary in the dome where they only get better.  Kyle Orton is not playing like he was, but he is getting back into a rythem.  I like the Bears, but beware -9.  Give the points.

Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons  -1  41.5
My Pick:  Both teams are on fire right now despite a few trip ups.  The handicappers think both teams are evenly matched as illustrated by the -1 which is like a pick and in a pick spread you alwaystake the home team.  I think Matt Ryan and Michael Turner are going to spank the Carolina D.  Give the lousy point.

Houston Texans
Cleveland Browns  -3  50.5
My Pick:  Neither defense is getting any credit as shown by the 50.5 total.  Both Brady Quinn and Sage Rosenfels can air it out and have the recievers to do it.  Cleveland plays well at home and now the fans are behind the QB they wanted all along so there is that extra little optimism helping them along.  The Texans have failed to put together a team again this year and its back tot he drawing board.  Give the points.

San Francisco 49′ers
Dallas Cowboys  -10 46.5
My Pick:  Dallas barely squeaks by Washington and all of sudden they are on top of the world again.  I’m not buying it and San Fran is not as bad as the spread makes them look.  Dallas is still suspect to me and I think the 9ers come to play.  Take the points.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers  -8.5  41
Detriot Lions
My Pick:  This spread has got to have gone up by now, but I still think the Buc’s whip them.  Detroit is already jockying for draft position and are a complete mess on both sides of the ball.  Tampa D is top rated for a reason and Dunn should get plenty of carries.  This is going to be a long day for the Lion cubs.  Give the points at -9, but take the points if it goes to 10.

Buffalo Bills  -3  43.5
Kansas CIty Chiefs
My Pick:  Trent Edwards has proven yet again that hes a scrub.  Tyler Thigpen is giving the Chiefs fans something to get excited about and against the Buffalo D I think he has a great game and should be hooking up with Dwayne Bowe more than a couple times.  Marshawn Lynch tore it up last week and I think he has a pretty decent game against a suspect KC run defense.  I think that the Chiefs play well enough to get the win at home.  Take the points.

NY Jets
Tennessee Titans  -6  40
My Pick:  This could be a big test for the Titans who are still the only undefeated team in the league, but at 10-0 in November the Titans are feeling the pressure.  The Jets are looking good and the new balance that Thomas Jones has brought to the offense has made Favre a little more comfortable and less apt to throw an INT.  The Titans are still tough at home and they will most likely exercise the run option of White and Johnson against the Jets D.  I think Brett ol’ boy keeps this one close, he could even win…  Take the points.

Oakland Raiders
Denver Broncos  -9.5  43
My Pick:  Everyone likes to get cute with the spread against the Raiders.  Cutler has been hit or miss for the past couple weeks and they seem to have taken refuge with the run game.  I know the Raiders are not that good on either side of the ball, but they enough talent on that team to make something happen from time to time. I’m sure you can get +10 by now and I think you should take it. 

NY Giants  -3  48.5
Arizona Cardinals
My Pick:  Ummm…Brandon Jacobs is healthy and Eli can go throw for throw with Warner, Giants have a better defense.  Give the points.

Washington Redskins  -3  40
Seattle Seahawks
My Pick:  Oh my beloved Seahawks are soo bad this year and injury plagued that I am rooting for a high draft pick.  They will still play to win and Jim Zorn returning to his old team will be motivation enough.  Portis is looking strong and I think Jason Campbell will be able to exploit some holes in Seattle’s D.  The Seattle offensive situation is depressing, I don’t think Hasselbeck will ever get back to form and none of his receivers can stay healthy enough to get into a rythem and start producing. Sadly, I have to go against my boys again this week.  Give the points.

Sunday Night Football

Indianapolis Colts
San Diego Chargers  -3  50.5
My Pick:  As much as I dislike the Chargers they may have gotten screwed last week in Pittsburgh.  LT has shown signs of life and if Norv Turner will end his campaign to ruin yet another team they may win some games.  Indy is very shaky on run defense as exploited by Steve Slaton last week.  Phillipe Rivers should be able to find some holes in the secondary as well.  Indy is just eeking by lately and they are not able to put teams away anymore.  This could be a problem for them in San Diego where they are deperate for a win.  I think the Charger D has stepped up a little more in the past few weeks and they should be able to handle Addai and Manning.  They have got to stop Reggie Wayne and keep Harrison from getting the big plays.  Easier said than done I know, but I think they are due and at home the Chargers should be able to get it done.  Give the points.

Monday Night Football November 24th

Green Bay Packers
New Orleans Saints  -2.5  53
My Pick:  The Packers made a statement last week when they crushed the Bears.  New Orleans got into a good rythem but is was against the Chiefs so I don’t read into it too much.  The resurgence of Ryan Grant has many fantasy owners including myself relieved after being soo patient for soo long this year and Monday night game is even more of a reason to believe that he will blow up again against the weak New Orleans run D.  Aaron Rodgers has also broke out of his mini slump and is just as productive as he was at the beginning of the season.  Brees is STILL the most productive QB in the league and the Green Bay secondary is a bit beat up so I expect him to put up some points.  The difference will be made on the ground where Grant should be more successful than McCallister and I think the 2.5 is a soft spread.  Take the Pack take the points!

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