I had a resonable good week going 8-6 to bring my yearly total to 71-66-4.  Who would have thought that the Dolphins were gonna make it easy on Seattle or that AZ was gonna lay an egg and only win by 5.  Anyways, below you will find this weeks matchups with spreads and totals as well as my pick.

Thursday November 13th

NY Jets
New England Patriots  -3  40
My Pick:  The Pats defense is weak and they still don’t have a consistent run game which keeps the pressure on Matt Cassel and while he hasn’t lost games he sure isn’t the reason they are winning.  I still don’t think he is that good, but at least he’s not turning the ball over.  Thomas Jones has been on fire of late and more of the pressure has shifted off of Brett ol Boy and allow him to make some smarter decisions.  The Jets D is also stepping up and they just signed former NE safety Ty Law who is expected to get some playing time.  The Pats whipped them the first time around, but I think the Jets give them a run.  Take the points.

Sunday November 16th

Denver Broncos
Atlanta Falcons  -5.5  51
My Pick:  Jay Cutler may have had a record game of over 400 yards last week, but that was against a struggling Cleveland secondary.  Atlanta has proven to be the diamond in the rough this season and the defense is clicking.  Rookie Matt Ryan is looking like he could make the pro bowl should his play continue this way and Michael Turner is always a threat and big threat to Denver who has a somewhat shabby run defense.  If you can get it under 6 give the points.

Oakland Raiders
Miami Dolphins  -10.5  39
My Pick:  Miami almost blew it against the Seahawks last week and this 10.5 looks pretty big at the moment.  Granted the Raiders are real scrubs this year, but it looks as if Darren McFadden could be back and healthy.  I don’t expect much from Oakland, but I keep saying every week that they are going to cover and the way that Miami played last week I’m gonna keep it rolling and go with the Raiders.  Take the points 

Baltimore Ravens
NY Giants  -6.5 41.5
My Pick:  The Giants are still looking like they are heading back to the Superbowl this year with a great win over Philly.  Jacobs continues to get in the endzone and Eli is still finding a way to be successful in the air.  They have already played some great defenses this year so I’m not too worried about the Baltimore D slowing them down.  Baltimore’s Joe Flacco will have his hands full against the Giants D and with a healthy McGahee I think they key on him all day.  Bottom line, take the Gigantes, give the points.

Minnesota Vikings
Tampa Bay Buccaneers  -4 39.5
My Pick:  Minnesota barely pulled it out last week and Frerotte has been prone to turnovers which the Buc’s defense specializes in causing.  AP will be a threat, but Tampa has been able to contain the run resonably this year.  I don’t like the Minnesota D right now and with the possible return of Caddilac Williams this week I like the Bucs, give the points.

Tennessee Titans  -3  39.5
Jacksonville Jaguars
My Pick:  The Jags are still looking solid, but their true colors will show through this week when the undefeated Titans come to town.  I expect both teams to key on the run and force the pass attack.  Kerry Collins has proven that he can take care of it in the air when forced to and David Gerrard is no slouch either.  I’m looking for the over 39.5 points this game as well as the Titans covering.  Give the points.

Detriot Lions
Carolina Panthers  -14 39
My Pick:  Even on Jake Delhommes worst day they still get the W last week and due to Deangelo Williams no less.  Jonathan Stewart is looking healthy for the moment and against the Lions he should have a good day, but I still expect them to swap carries.  Look for Delhomme to bounce back this week as I’m sure Steve Smith is hungry.  Detriot has nothing good going on at the moment that makes me think they even put up a fight.  Give the points.

Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers  -3.5 43.5
My Pick:  Grossman sucks and the Pack is hungry for a win after the heartbreaker in Minnesota.  Give the points.

Philadelphia Eagles  -9  42
Cincinnati Bengals
My Pick:  Cincy is still not that good and Philly, while they did lose is still looking very efficient and everyone seems to be healthy.  Cincy has been surprising at times this year and at home I think they have another one in them.  At this point I think you have to take the points and buy it up to +10 and you should be fine.  Take the Bengals

New Orleans Saints  -5  47.5
Kansas City Chiefs
My Pick:  The Saints got straight beat last week because of their inability to get into rythem.  I think Thigpen will be able to keep up with Brees in the air and with little running attack for both teams, this could come down to defense.  Bush is still hurt even if he plays so I wouldn’t worry too much about him.  I think Kansas City is due for a win and they should get it at home.  Take the points.

Houston Texans
Indianapolis Colts  -8.5 49
My Pick:  I have said this before, but I’ll say it again.  Houston is the achilles heel of Indy, no matter what the cicumstances Houston always keeps it close they let Indy off the hook earlier in the year and gave up a 24 point lead, they won’t do it again and Sage Rosenfels is good enough to get the job done.  Take the points.

Arizona Cardinals  -3  42.5
Seattle Seahawks
My Pick:  Hasselbeck is back and so is Engrim, Seattle is deperate for a win and at home I think they get it done against AZ who is ripe for a loss.  Take the points.

St. Louis Rams
San Francisco 49′ers  -6.5  44
My Pick:  If Mike Singletary doesn’t tread lightly he could self destruct that team.  Both of these teams are mediocre, but the 9er’s are playing better overall ball while the Lambs are inconsistent.  Give the points

San Diego Chargers
Pittsburgh Steelers  -4  43
My Pick:  Chargers still suck I don’t care what anyone says.  Pitt is as tough as ever on D and Big Ben has control of the offense.  Give the points.  This is the surest spread on the board.

Sunday Night Football

Dallas Cowboys -2  43.5
Washington Redskins?
My Pick:  The Spread on this game is being held up until the health of Tony Romo is determined as the Cowboys desperately need to get back on track.  The Skins got stopped cold 2 weeks ago and they will need to bounce back and beat up Dallas to keep their momentum going.  Portis should be fine and Campbell is healthy, I just wish he would hook up with Santana Moss more often.  Dallas is a mess, they need to re establish the run game.  If Brad ol Boy has to take the Q this week he is gonna have problems with the Washington D, I believe that Jason Taylor will be back, but don’t quote me on that.  Even if Romo does come back and play I still think that the Skins beat them up, they have done it once already in Dallas and now at home they already know the game plan.  As of this moment Portis is questionable, but so is Romo.  The spread is out, take the Skins, take the points. Viva la ZORNE Supremacy. 

Monday Night Football November 17th

Cleveland Browns
Buffalo Bills  -4.5  42
My Pick:  The Browns defense blew it and made a hero out of Brandon Marshall who was looking more like a donkey the whole night.  Brady Quinn did all he could to get the W and he has clearly sent the message that he is the new face of the Cleveland Browns.  Kellen Winslow sure proved that he wants to play and with Quinn they may have a chance make a last minute run as a wildcard.  Trent Edwards didn’t play very well last week and got picked apart by the New England D.  Lynch only had a lousy 46 yards so I don’t see how they got to this spread.  Cleveland was clicking, but then throw in a Jay Cutler and he wreaks havoc.  Edwards is no Jay Cutler so I really think this spread is out of whack and you should take advantage of it now by taking the points before the Bookies get wise and lower the line.

Click here for Live NFL Week 11 Betting Lines

Not a GamblersPalace.com member yet?  Click here for a FREE membership